MacintoshPro Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 It might be insane, but its probably rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ezweather Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 186 hour panel looks very good. the signature there for a big storm looks good. Won't even get into precip type issues, but the overall look is very encouraging. I think a lot of folks will be happy when they look over this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Again, I love Highzenberg, but we know how this is gonna go....WOW! Looks great! It's coming!!! OMG! Well, not this run, but next time! Haha, idk if you're able to see the EURO as it comes out, but if you saw it right now your eyes would be glistening. N VA getting snowed on @ 186 hours...992mb low and bombing on cape hatteras Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Oh? Its pretty good. About perfect track, a little mild to start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 It might be insane, but its probably rain. Likely...Euro probably has some overamped thing on beast mode that gives us rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacintoshPro Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 It might be insane, but its probably rain. or nah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Haha, idk if you're able to see the EURO as it comes out, but if you saw it right now your eyes would be glistening. N VA getting snowed on @ 186 hours...992mb low and bombing on cape hatteras Its pretty good. About perfect track, a little mild to start. Go on.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Its pretty good. About perfect track, a little mild to start. At least we have the mid levels leading in. That's where my pessimism has been coming from. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ezweather Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 192 hour panel is awesome. Great run. Fresh cold air source nearby. Yep, box this run up. Highzenberg pretty much summed up this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 At least we have the mid levels leading in. That's where my pessimism has been coming from. Well ez said the airmass is decent...it's coming in instead of heading to Bermuda like this last system? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 At least we have the mid levels leading in. That's where my pessimism has been coming from. Yeah, what helps is around 135-144 hrs there some mild disturbances that help reinforce the cold. If we can slow down the storm a little bit more this run the HP would have built in even more it looks ike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 192 hour panel is awesome. Great run. Fresh cold air source nearby. Yep, box this run up. Highzenberg pretty much summed up this run. He came through. Kudos to Highzenberg! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 He came through. Kudos to Highzenberg! 1039 H is moving in as the low comes up the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 At least we have the mid levels leading in. That's where my pessimism has been coming from. It's a really nice run.. way out there. I'd take it in a second. Low goes over Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 He came through. Kudos to Highzenberg! It's a nice hit but can't really break the shocker face out. Less than half the blizzard this go around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Just another run that points to a system during this time frame. It isn't a perfect setup, but I like that we saw a HP build in during the storm. If we can slow down the shortwave just a bit and let the cold air build in a little faster it would have been a HUGE run. Basically it was a decent snowstorm this run, but not far off from a MECS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ezweather Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Well ez said the airmass is decent...it's coming in instead of heading to Bermuda like this last system? Remember last week how we saw the high moving out, run after freaking run. How the cold air was moving out. How crappy the low track was. Now you look at this run, yes so much better. Let's hope we trend this way and not later in the week it goes south on us. But based on what DT said with MJO heading into phase 8. Thats good. AO heading into negative. I like to see the NAO head to negative, but won't. Anyway, a model run that will get us into thinking, perhaps something big will happen next week. Anyway, let's see how things trend.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacintoshPro Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 It looks like white rain to just 6-10" of whiteness. Where can I sign? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 After a good ole blizzarding it's hard to jump out of your seat with this run. Nice CCB stuff though. Good stats padder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacintoshPro Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 After a good ole blizzarding it's hard to jump out of your seat with this run. Nice CCB stuff though. Good stats padder meh.JPG DCA has had one 8-12" storm in the last 19 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 It's a nice hit but can't really break the shocker face out. Less than half the blizzard this go around. Well that and it's like two billion hours away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 The same thing goes for the bad scenario too....it was just as close to being a rainstorm as it being a MECS, if that makes sense. Like people have been saying the Atlantic setup isn't perfect, need good timing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Well that and it's like two billion hours awayAsk Matt about the heater we are on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 The same thing goes for the bad scenario too....it was just as close to being a rainstorm as it being a MECS, if that makes sense. Like people have been saying the Atlantic setup isn't perfect, need good timing. Last night's EPS had about 8 or so similar solutions. If that # goes up substantially with the 12z run then it might get more interesting. I'm not sure why but I'm having a hard timing biting on this one. Seems like it would favor further north or elevation and not my yard. I do find the 12z euro op acceptable though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Ask Matt about the heater we are on. He's right though..we're literally on a heater today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 After a good ole blizzarding it's hard to jump out of your seat with this run. Nice CCB stuff though. Good stats padder meh.JPG anytime the european shows a big storm and richmond getting way more than us....thats when i know its our storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Last night's EPS had about 8 or so similar solutions. If that # goes up substantially with the 12z run then it might get more interesting. I'm not sure why but I'm having a hard timing biting on this one. Seems like it would favor further north or elevation and not my yard. I do find the 12z euro op acceptable though. agree...its hard to snow in our area in february Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 DCA has had one 8-12" storm in the last 19 years. Uhm, or four Which three did you forget? 3/99, 1/00, 2/06, 2/9-10/10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 So if we do get a decent snow next week, this winter's got the calendar 'rhythm' of 86/87. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 He's right though..we're literally on a heater today Spring is coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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