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February Med/Long Range Discussion Part 2


WinterWxLuvr

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The shortwave associated with the storm is MUCH weaker and sheared. Honestly though I'd rather work from this point then to see a cutter and have to work backwards. 

 

Yeah,  kind of have to agree on that.  It either implies the shortwave is a lot weaker and/or the cold air is more entrenched this run (thus causing the incoming wave to shear out more).  The solution seems very GFS-like to that point thus far.

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By 168, the 850s are long gone, even with the low in an apparently good spot off the southeast coast.  But there's a low approaching the GL region from Minnesota, I guess that doesn't help.  Nor does the high pushing way off the northeast coast.

 

Really not a good evolution and not sure there's even much on the front end.  Bleah.

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Pretty annoying if that happens, It would be like MLK weekend again with the low in a decent position but torching.  Perhaps like wes alluded to this airmass won't be as putrid as that one and we can get some CAD and ice.

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