WinterWxLuvr Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Let's go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 6, 2016 Author Share Posted February 6, 2016 Ok, I hope I have good luck. I did start the one right about the time the Blizzard showed up so maybe there's some good luck vibes going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Ok, I hope I have good luck. I did start the one right about the time the Blizzard showed up so maybe there's some good luck vibes going. We will remember you as the failmaker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 6, 2016 Author Share Posted February 6, 2016 We will remember you as the failmaker. I'll slink away in disgrace. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 As noted at the end of the previous thread, there is a notable westward shift with the lead low in the SREF today. The SREF did a very good job sniffing out the westward trend with last night's/today's storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 As noted at the end of the previous thread, there is a notable westward shift with the lead low in the SREF today. The SREF did a very good job sniffing out the westward trend with last night's/today's storm. Are you talking about today's storm or the upcoming lead low? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Not sure if it was discussed in the old thread, but the 18z GEFS is very supportive of the 18z Op and 12z Euro solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Are you talking about today's storm or the upcoming lead low? Think he's referring to the upcoming lead low before the Mon/Tue system...but comparing to how the SREF for the system today also trended west as it got closer in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 upcoming lead low << exactly what Zugzwang said >> Are you talking about today's storm or the upcoming lead low? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Not sure if it was discussed in the old thread, but the 18z GEFS is very supportive of the 18z Op and 12z Euro solution. gefs_pd3.gif WOF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Not sure if it was discussed in the old thread, but the 18z GEFS is very supportive of the 18z Op and 12z Euro solution. gefs_pd3.gif Yes, I think Bob described this and maybe showed the GEFS mean SLP plot. It is very supportive. I made a (lengthy!) comment in there that the set-up being advertised has been showing up not just today but even in recent days. And not just a cycle or two of fantasy runs in one model, but it's got solid support in the Euro, GFS, and their respective ensembles. You just couldn't ask for a better textbook look, in all honesty. Yes, d+10 and all that, and we all know the usual caveats, but that kind of pattern and support for it is just remarkable to see at this point. Others in here have targeted that general time frame (next weekend-ish) as well. Whether that all ends up meaning much of anything by next week at this time or so, we'll see I suppose! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 WOF WOOF even Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=neus&pkg=asnow&runtime=2016020518&fh=240&xpos=0&ypos=395 Mitch keeps trying to post in the wrong thread... but look to the west... too bad TT stops at 240 There ya go Mitch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacintoshPro Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Mitch keeps trying to post in the wrong thread... but look to the west... too bad TT stops at 240 There ya go Mitch Tropical tidbits actually has the 12 hourly precip MSLP maps out to 384: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=neus&pkg=asnow&runtime=2016020518&fh=240&xpos=0&ypos=395 Mitch keeps trying to post in the wrong thread... but look to the west... too bad TT stops at 240 There ya go Mitch 36" over Indianapolis?? Sorry, that just caught my eye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=neus&pkg=asnow&runtime=2016020518&fh=240&xpos=0&ypos=395 Mitch keeps trying to post in the wrong thread... but look to the west... too bad TT stops at 240 There ya go Mitch Thread themes are for wimps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Here ya' go. Gfs total snowfall. http://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=GFS&p=accsnow&rh=2016020518&fh=384&r=ne&dpdt= Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 00z GFS looks great in SE Canada & the Atlantic, but the energy out west is digging deeper and slower. So I hope we don't lose the look by the time it heads East. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 storm enters west coast in northern california fwiw Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 GFS is a southern stream disturbance this run instead of a northern one. Kicking too much of the wetern ridge east for my liking but the -EPO ridge is in a good spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Speed of that western wave is also key. If it takes too long we lose the look out East. Anyway, here is the 00z GGEM @ 144 hours, really solid setup. Look at that pig forming in SE Canada I have the GGEM to 183 HRs on SV and it looks identical to the 18z GFS @ that time period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 GFS is a southern stream disturbance this run instead of a northern one. Kicking too much of the wetern ridge east for my liking but the -EPO ridge is in a good spot. Wouldn't get too down if this ends up sending it to the Lakes or something. The 00z GGEM is much faster with the wave. 9 days out so who knows, but the setup is prime, just need it to head East faster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 GFS about to **** this up real nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Yeah GFS took WAY too long so we lose the East look and it cuts....Wouldn't fret too much about it. Now we all know one thing we don't want to see happen thats all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 kinda what i expect the gfs to do off and on for a couple more days before it locks in Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 kinda what i expect the gfs to do off and on for a couple more days before it locks in Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Couple more weeks you mean? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 GFS about to **** this up real niceWe don't want to track a HECS for 40 GFS runs. Total exhaustion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 We don't want to track a HECS for 40 GFS runs. Total exhaustion. True...i'm cool with it not showing until like Tuesday night tbh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 We don't want to track a HECS for 40 GFS runs. Total exhaustion. that's at least 564 'amped' references.. randy ain't that tastic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 that's at least 564 'amped' references.. randy ain't that tastic It'll get to randytastic. Tuesday. wait for it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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