Fozz Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 I think Ravens94 wants to be the Jebman of Maryland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 8, 2016 Author Share Posted February 8, 2016 Took a break from models for most of the afternoon and eve. Reading the thread it looks like that was smart. Lol Para euro is a fairly uniform .3-.4" qpf. The only suspect part is NEMD doesn't get crushed. Cecil county is kinda dry. Euro can be stingy with precip sometimes. Not saying this is the case this time but it's certainly not infallible. Especially with micro scale stuff like we are likely going to see. I'm just glad to still be in the game. How this breaks for folks south of 70 will have more to do with temps than precip. If there is a big lull on Tuesday during the day and temps spike into the mid to upper 30's then it's lights out for good accumulations obviously. Unless some convective uber band takes over. And I'm not even going to make a wag where that happens. 0z has been kind so far. Hard not to feel ok overall for having "an event" and not a total bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 8, 2016 Author Share Posted February 8, 2016 I think Ravens94 wants to be the Jebman of Maryland Why are you insulting Jeb? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Come on man, I thought we were done with this. pretty sure he's not self aware Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cae Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 I think he meant the QPF max is drier compared to the 18z run, which gave southern PA widespread 10"+ totals. But it's certainly a better run for our forum. Yup, total qpf has been going down all day (with the possible exception of the 12z to 18z runs). It might not be obvious because the 18z run shifted more of the qpf into PA, but the 00z run is clearly drier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Congrats Maryland? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Friend is on Anthem and posted this two hours ago. "We are on the Anthem right now, left NY yesterday, we sailed in a storm that intensified very quickly, Captain tried to turn ship but waited too long. We have been stuck in 125+ mph winds 30+ foot waves for 4 hours. Captain said they are in communication with the coast guard, struggling to point ship into wind but can't move forward. All passengers told to stay in cabins water entered ship on upper decks, large white structure broke off top of ship landed in pool. At the height of storm waves breaking above the top of life boats and ship listing almost 45 degrees, with wind looked like a total white out. Conditions are improving but damage all over ship, crew look concerned and sounded very concerned on intracom. Some passengers sitting in muster stations." A cruise ship listing 45 degrees? Highly doubtful unless it's sinking. Regardless, I wouldn't want to be on that ship Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 18z parallel GFS looks good for DC-BWI with NE MD jackpot. 0.5+ regionwide with 0.75+ from BWI NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 next Sunday morning GFS has BWI at -17.5C lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 pretty sure he's not self awareI think it's an intentional act. To make it worse it's not even remotely funny. Jeb is funny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 man, the 60 hr map on the GGEM has a 26mm spot in S Jersey/NE MD http://weather.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/695_100.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Yeah GGEM crushes....You can see why too with that potent little shortwave @ 48 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Sorry Fozz, better view GGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Sorry Fozz, better view GGEM cmc_snow_acc_harrisburg_14.png It's cool... I'll just remember to click Harrisburg next time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Raven94 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 UKMET Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Congrats Highzenberg! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman. Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 UKmet jackpots philly lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman. Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Still not bad though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 GEFS is awesome...http://imgur.com/F7CBreE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 UKMET jackpots W of Philly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 UKmet jackpots philly lol I do okay, but the jackpot is a good bit W of me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 that's it. Ukie looks great. The he!! with the Euro. I'm going to bed. Good luck to all, especially those hearing impaired in NE MD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 A cruise ship listing 45 degrees? Highly doubtful unless it's sinking. Regardless, I wouldn't want to be on that ship the obs from that post are are hyperbole. Winds and waves are not that sustained for 4 hours. Ship lists that much and the First Wolrdies are down in Davey Jones locker fighting ove the last of the shrimp cocktail and remaining air pockets. Anybody that books a February cruise out of NY needs to better travel agent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Euro is 32-34 for all of DC metro by midnight or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Nice set-up for anywhere north of I-95, my guess is 4-8 inches fairly widespread north of DC and BAL, 2-4 in the cities, pockets of 8 to 12 near MD-PA border and 3-6 in Philly, most of s NJ. Very sharp southern cutoff seems likely, once this starts I think it's just cold enough to manage to stay mostly snow except very close to Bay and Ocean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Euro wetter for the usual jackpotters....I'll post QPF maps in a few Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Euro wetter for the usual jackpotters....I'll post QPF maps in a few Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Euro is a good run for the usual suspects...A decent amount falls Tuesday during the day, but temps are generally 33-35 for all of DC metro....And we know the usual suspects will be at the lower end of that range...maybe even 31-32 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 significantly wetter.... .5-.6+ as snow for all of Baltimore metro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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