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Feb 8-9th Miller Boom or Bust Disco


Bob Chill

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The link Ian posted to twitter has another link with disco from people on the ship. It's apparently taken such a hit and so damaged that everyone is getting off tomorrow. Ceiling collapse on the 14th deck. People on the 7th and 8th floors says waves were crashing at eye level, etc.

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There's a cruise in that storm. Damn, scary. https://twitter.com/ryanmaue/status/696534166037467136

Friend is on Anthem and posted this two hours ago.

"We are on the Anthem right now, left NY yesterday, we sailed in a storm that intensified very quickly, Captain tried to turn ship but waited too long. We have been stuck in 125+ mph winds 30+ foot waves for 4 hours. Captain said they are in communication with the coast guard, struggling to point ship into wind but can't move forward. All passengers told to stay in cabins water entered ship on upper decks, large white structure broke off top of ship landed in pool. At the height of storm waves breaking above the top of life boats and ship listing almost 45 degrees, with wind looked like a total white out. Conditions are improving but damage all over ship, crew look concerned and sounded very concerned on intracom. Some passengers sitting in muster stations."

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The tenacious  QPF blobs southeast of Atlantic City on the GFS looks odd,  Unless there's a blob of 10C warmer ocean temps there I wouldn't expect QPF bullseyes to keep popping up there. The 18z looked more believable.


co-Northern Balt-Most of Carroll near 1 inch liquid 20s through the whole event 

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GFS BWI

Tue 7PM 09 FEB   2.3    -5.0    1006      85      99    0.03     534     529    Tue 1AM 09 FEB   0.3    -4.0    1002      95      99    0.20     529     527    Tue 7AM 09 FEB  -0.2    -4.3     999      95      92    0.23     526     527    Tue 1PM 09 FEB  -0.6    -5.7     999      95      99    0.16     524     525    Wed 7PM 10 FEB  -2.5    -7.3    1001      95      96    0.07     522     521    Wed 1AM 10 FEB  -0.9    -8.1    1002      87      99    0.03     521     520    Wed 7AM 10-FEB  -3.2    -9.9    1006      85      90    0.01     520     515    
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Its actually wetter everywhere (save far NE MD where it went from 1.2 to .9) than 18z. Read a model ;)

 

I think he meant the QPF max is drier compared to the 18z run, which gave southern PA widespread 10"+ totals. 

 

But it's certainly a better run for our forum.

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GFS BWI

Tue 7PM 09 FEB   2.3    -5.0    1006      85      99    0.03     534     529    
Tue 1AM 09 FEB   0.3    -4.0    1002      95      99    0.20     529     527    
Tue 7AM 09 FEB  -0.2    -4.3     999      95      92    0.23     526     527    
Tue 1PM 09 FEB  -0.6    -5.7     999      95      99    0.16     524     525    
Wed 7PM 10 FEB  -2.5    -7.3    1001      95      96    0.07     522     521    
Wed 1AM 10 FEB  -0.9    -8.1    1002      87      99    0.03     521     520    
Wed 7AM 10-FEB  -3.2    -9.9    1006      85      90    0.01     520     515

Not bad Mitch. I think temps could be a little cooler too by a degree or two. Most storms have trended a bit colder so far. The Blizzard was much colder in reality than GFS was even forecasting. Will be interesting to watch unfold.

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Yeah, it's definitely more generous with the goods. I did go from .85 to .65, but I'm not complaining.

 

Yeah your area gets maybe a hair less on this run verbatim, but certainly not a big enough difference to worry about. Great run for the entire northern tier of MD.

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