WinterWxLuvr Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 I heard the rgem is still snowing at 48. Any truth to that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 qpf....very little, if any, after this 54 hrs, total http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=054ℑ=data%2Fgfs%2F00%2Fgfs_namer_054_precip_ptot.gif&model=gfs&area=namer¶m=precip_ptot&group=Model+Guidance&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20160208+00+UTC&imageSize=L&ps=model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Here's the TT map: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 qpf....very little, if any, after this 54 hrs, total http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=054ℑ=data%2Fgfs%2F00%2Fgfs_namer_054_precip_ptot.gif&model=gfs&area=namer¶m=precip_ptot&group=Model+Guidance&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20160208+00+UTC&imageSize=L&ps=model The inverted v is sinking south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacintoshPro Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Overall, precipitation is higher, temps are colder, its a better run for DC proper. NEMD PUMMELED Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Further south than the earlier one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman. Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 0z GFS keep DC at 32-33 all day Tuesday.. much colder run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Thru 6z Wed, BWI: .7 DCA: .5 Westminster: .8 Winchester: .5 M/D line in northern Balt Co: 1" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Overall, precipitation is higher, temps are colder, its a better run for DC proper. NEMD PUMMELED I love NE Maryland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Thru 6z Wed, BWI: .7 DCA: .5 Westminster: .8 Winchester: .5 M/D line in northern Balt Co: 1" I'd be thrilled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 GFS gives me 6". I am almost in NE MD....do I still get my snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 The link Ian posted to twitter has another link with disco from people on the ship. It's apparently taken such a hit and so damaged that everyone is getting off tomorrow. Ceiling collapse on the 14th deck. People on the 7th and 8th floors says waves were crashing at eye level, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman. Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 RGEM is a beauty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Raven94 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Harco-Northern Balt-Most of Carroll near 1 inch liquid 20s through the whole event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 There's a cruise in that storm. Damn, scary. https://twitter.com/ryanmaue/status/696534166037467136Friend is on Anthem and posted this two hours ago."We are on the Anthem right now, left NY yesterday, we sailed in a storm that intensified very quickly, Captain tried to turn ship but waited too long. We have been stuck in 125+ mph winds 30+ foot waves for 4 hours. Captain said they are in communication with the coast guard, struggling to point ship into wind but can't move forward. All passengers told to stay in cabins water entered ship on upper decks, large white structure broke off top of ship landed in pool. At the height of storm waves breaking above the top of life boats and ship listing almost 45 degrees, with wind looked like a total white out. Conditions are improving but damage all over ship, crew look concerned and sounded very concerned on intracom. Some passengers sitting in muster stations." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Point and click says snow may be heavy at times tomorrow! Whaaat?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Waiting for better maps, but 00z GGEM looks like a nice hit 36 - http://weather.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/530_100.gif 48 - http://weather.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/531_100.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cae Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 GFS looks good, but it has been trending drier. That makes sense, as earlier today it was a wet outlier. We're seeing some model convergence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 I don't know why the ship didn't divert.... this uber storm has been modeled for many days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 The tenacious QPF blobs southeast of Atlantic City on the GFS looks odd, Unless there's a blob of 10C warmer ocean temps there I wouldn't expect QPF bullseyes to keep popping up there. The 18z looked more believable. co-Northern Balt-Most of Carroll near 1 inch liquid 20s through the whole event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 GFS BWI Tue 7PM 09 FEB 2.3 -5.0 1006 85 99 0.03 534 529 Tue 1AM 09 FEB 0.3 -4.0 1002 95 99 0.20 529 527 Tue 7AM 09 FEB -0.2 -4.3 999 95 92 0.23 526 527 Tue 1PM 09 FEB -0.6 -5.7 999 95 99 0.16 524 525 Wed 7PM 10 FEB -2.5 -7.3 1001 95 96 0.07 522 521 Wed 1AM 10 FEB -0.9 -8.1 1002 87 99 0.03 521 520 Wed 7AM 10-FEB -3.2 -9.9 1006 85 90 0.01 520 515 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacintoshPro Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 GFS looks good, but it has been trending drier. That makes sense, as earlier today it was a wet outlier. We're seeing some model convergence. Its actually wetter everywhere (save far NE MD where it went from 1.2 to .9) than 18z. Read a model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Its actually wetter everywhere (save far NE MD where it went from 1.2 to .9) than 18z. Read a model I think he meant the QPF max is drier compared to the 18z run, which gave southern PA widespread 10"+ totals. But it's certainly a better run for our forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 GFS BWI Tue 7PM 09 FEB 2.3 -5.0 1006 85 99 0.03 534 529 Tue 1AM 09 FEB 0.3 -4.0 1002 95 99 0.20 529 527 Tue 7AM 09 FEB -0.2 -4.3 999 95 92 0.23 526 527 Tue 1PM 09 FEB -0.6 -5.7 999 95 99 0.16 524 525 Wed 7PM 10 FEB -2.5 -7.3 1001 95 96 0.07 522 521 Wed 1AM 10 FEB -0.9 -8.1 1002 87 99 0.03 521 520 Wed 7AM 10-FEB -3.2 -9.9 1006 85 90 0.01 520 515 Not bad Mitch. I think temps could be a little cooler too by a degree or two. Most storms have trended a bit colder so far. The Blizzard was much colder in reality than GFS was even forecasting. Will be interesting to watch unfold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 I think he meant the QPF max is drier compared to the 18z run, which gave southern PA widespread 10"+ totals. But it's certainly a better run for our forum. Yeah, it's definitely more generous with the goods. I did go from .85 to .65, but I'm not complaining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Raven94 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 00Z GGEM hammmmers NE MD-N eastern shore and N DE very NAM like. HR 48-54 is wrecking. warmest model in guidance but that's no surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 00Z GGEM hammmmers NE MD very NAM like Come on man, I thought we were done with this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Yeah, it's definitely more generous with the goods. I did go from .85 to .65, but I'm not complaining. Yeah your area gets maybe a hair less on this run verbatim, but certainly not a big enough difference to worry about. Great run for the entire northern tier of MD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacintoshPro Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 00Z GGEM hammmmers NE MD very NAM like pummels paralyzes amped dumped rakes buries destroys hammered banged wrecked obliterates decimates vaporizes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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