Heisy Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 OMFG UKMET Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 OMFG UKMET It's probably helpful if you present some analysis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 UMMM...WHAT!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Ggem will do the trick I'm sure It's actually too far out to sea But a good storm. It really deepens the low explosively though...it's like the UKMET but too far east ETA: Crap..I'm looking at the wrong damn maps/time. Cancel that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 GGEM has the initial southern low stupidly too far W and it messes up with the main show....would have been a bomb if it wasn't for that. Ukie is, uh, wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Reposting for Page 2 because it is beautiful. if only this was the 00z EURO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 That's prety far out to sea for a miller b. Remember what I said about a compact qpf pattern. Without seeing how it got there or qpf it's hard to be sure that's actually good. It's definitely more amped but I'd like to see that low ticked in over ocean city not 100 miles offshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 It's actually too far out to sea But a good storm. It really deepens the low explosively though...it's like the UKMET but too far eastThere's precip. Have you seen the maps yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 There's precip. Have you seen the maps yet? I was looking at the wrong damn maps. I need to go to bed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacintoshPro Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Ggem looks like 8" DC with more east, less farther N/W. It's also a 24 hour light/moderate event. Eta: it's more like 6-7 factoring in Tonight's simulated coating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 There's precip. Have you seen the maps yet? I'm looking at the horrible b/w maps now. Looks like some sort of norloun trof thingy going on. I don't know how much precip falls, so I'm not even gonna try to guess with this ****ty maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 That's prety far out to sea for a miller b. Remember what I said about a compact qpf pattern. Without seeing how it got there or qpf it's hard to be sure that's actually good. It's definitely more amped but I'd like to see that low ticked in over ocean city not 100 miles offshore. True, but based on the track it is probably crossing VA and while @ 120 hours its in that position, it still was impacting us before then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman. Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 GGEM is still a solid 4-8". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 GGEM makes a low out of every thunderstorm over 55f+ SST. It has the same issue during hurricane season. Thats the UKMET not GGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cae Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 GGEM really amps the first wave and brings it up closer to the coast. We still get snow from the second wave. I noticed that the GFS has also been trending with a stronger and more western first wave. Is there any chance that trend could continue? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Waiting for Tropical Tidbits to update snow map. I tell you that it's good! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 I'm looking at the horrible b/w maps now. Looks like some sort of norloun trof thingy going on. I don't know how much precip falls, so I'm not even gonna try to guess with this ****ty maps Only look at those maps after a fifth of knob and a joint.. it all comes into focus after that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Includes an inch from to b ight http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gem®ion=neus&pkg=asnow&runtime=2016020500&fh=102&xpos=0&ypos=166 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Thats the UKMET not GGEM Sorry deleted post. Guess it's some sort of a Fujiwara with the southern stream. We'd get a crazy norlun out of the deal if that verified. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 5, 2016 Author Share Posted February 5, 2016 Starting to see a trend with no models missing us. It's the very unusual situation where different solutions with a complicated setup all find ways to put us on the board. Still too far out to feel confident but close enough to take it serious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Includes an inch from to b ight http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gem®ion=neus&pkg=asnow&runtime=2016020500&fh=102&xpos=0&ypos=166 that link starts at 102...if anybody clicks, be sure to click the right arrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman. Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Cut a couple inches from 95 east from tonight's event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacintoshPro Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Includes an inch from to b ight http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gem®ion=neus&pkg=asnow&runtime=2016020500&fh=102&xpos=0&ypos=166 That map is only to 104. Here's 126: http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2016020500/gem_asnow_neus_21.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 The crazy part is that the GGEM had the initial low too close which halted the development of the 2nd one....if that first low scooted farther E it would have been an even bigger hit. I am excited for the EURO tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yuki neko Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 How much precip falls with the UKIE or is it too far out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 How much precip falls with the UKIE or is it too far out?No qpf info on Ukie beyond 72 for some unknown reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yuki neko Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 No qpf info on Ukie beyond 72 for some unknown reason. That's a shame Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 5, 2016 Author Share Posted February 5, 2016 0z gefs is very supportive of a euro type evolution. 2-4/3-6"+ event in the majority. Trends continue to be favorable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 EURO digging for China @ 78 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Might still be ok but euro is back to having that first low hanging around kinda close. Actually gets snow back into New England with that as our secondary is trying to form. Might still work out but the less of that frontrunner the better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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