HillsdaleMIWeather Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 IWX's thoughts First call 1.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Oh, definitely... the snow factor was purely for jokes. Yeah I know. Not exactly sure why the city was founded there. I do know Chicago was started where it is because it was short portage from the Great Lakes to the Mississippi River basin. Trade hub Back on topic- 0z NAM still showing that snow hole. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 I can only hope the 0z 4k NAM is on to something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan123 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 15z SREF mean jumped for YYZ...now 4.3". Lol I think we'll be lucky to see an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 I can only hope the 0z 4k NAM is on to something.Oh, it's on something....what I don't know but I want some! Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Looks like the snow in SW OH is aiding by moisture coming off Lake Michigan. Interesting... MSP area has fallen about 20° since the cold front came through and still heading down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Lol I think we'll be lucky to see an inch. Just going by our rotten luck, sure I can see that. Models/meteorology would argue against it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowcaine Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Lol I think we'll be lucky to see an inch. I think 1-3" is a pretty solid call. I would be surprised to see <1" ... but I would be absolutely floored to see 5"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 I think 1-3" is a pretty solid call. I would be surprised to see <1" ... but I would be absolutely floored to see 5"+ Sticking with my 2". Most of that would fall Monday night into Tuesday I would think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowcaine Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Sticking with my 2". Most of that would fall Monday night into Tuesday I would think. Yeah looking at the Monday night time period as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Locking in my call of 2-4" for Toronto. Bust potential is more likely on the high side than low me thinks. Here in London, think we could get 6-8" from the synoptic, especially if the prime band sets up over us. Models have been trending to keep the best rates just west of us but it'll be close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan123 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Locking in my call of 2-4" for Toronto. Bust potential is more likely on the high side than low me thinks. Here in London, think we could get 6-8" from the synoptic, especially if the prime band sets up over us. Models have been trending to keep the best rates just west of us but it'll be close. Did you see the 00z RGEM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Did you see the 00z RGEM? Yeah, it has a little lollipop right over your head. lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan123 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Yeah, it has a little lollipop right over your head. lol. Really develops a nice LE band. Who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 This one is a head scratcher. I have no idea what to think about snow chances here. So many variables, including a warm start and precip type issues and then these areas of 4-6" + lollipops persistently showing up on all the models but moving around with each run. Every model now has CMH 3"+ but I have zero confidence that we get more than a car topper (and ILN seems similarly unimpressed). I can't even think of an analog to this set up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Really develops a nice LE band. Who knows. You bounce between pessimism and guarded optimism admirably. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 8, 2016 Author Share Posted February 8, 2016 GFS making a comeback for SEMI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 GFS making a comeback for SEMI Very interesting turnaround....looks like a retrograding Low pressure, with lower Michigan getting most of its snow this week through a synoptic setup rather than Lake effect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 This one is a head scratcher. I have no idea what to think about snow chances here. So many variables, including a warm start and precip type issues and then these areas of 4-6" + lollipops persistently showing up on all the models but moving around with each run. Every model now has CMH 3"+ but I have zero confidence that we get more than a car topper (and ILN seems similarly unimpressed). I can't even think of an analog to this set up.With steep lapse rates and a very deep layer of moisture through Wednesday...along with vort maxes rotating around the UL adding some synoptic lift and by Wednesday some moisture from Lake Michigan...I have to think parts of Ohio will certainly see more than a car topper...and ILN being unimpressed doesn't mean a ton IMO. With the convective nature of the snow starting tomorrow evening it'll be hit or miss but I think a few weenie jackpots of a few inches occur in Ohio with this. I just have no idea if you or me will happen to cash in or if it'll be somewhere in between. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 At the very least we can expect off and on snow showers wit a few embedded squalls for about 48 hours starting Monday evening in Ohio. Someone will cash in with a few inches and everyone should get a light accum I'd think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 8, 2016 Author Share Posted February 8, 2016 Very interesting turnaround....looks like a retrograding Low pressure, with lower Michigan getting most of its snow this week through a synoptic setup rather than Lake effect. I find it extremely hard to believe that we're going to get completing shutout through Thursday that the nam is suggesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan123 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 You bounce between pessimism and guarded optimism admirably. I know lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 God bless the GGEM and its 8" weenie band in CMH! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osubrett2 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 God bless the GGEM and its 8" weenie band in CMH! There's no way... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 I find it extremely hard to believe that we're going to get completing shutout through Thursday that the nam is suggesting. I wouldn't expect anything more from the NAM. Of course, there is always ONE model that screws an area over...and it often seems to be right. Oh, and back to the snow OTG topic from earlier today...I never actually got out of my sick bed to look out the window (lol) until now, and there is still about 80% snowcover in my yard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Crazy stuff lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Yep. I'll be there in the fall of '16 to wrap up my degree. 1st beer's on me. Sounds good! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 0z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 GGEM keeps on upping totals in OH! Bit of payback for getting missed by the blizzard. Snow trying to back into Detroit... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 I will agree with Buckeye that if this somehow magically produces decently in OH that I can't remember a setup like this that produced well in quite a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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