snowstormcanuck Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Yes very similar. Did anything happen then? Slow moving closed upper level low that traversed the OV before becoming a major EC snowstorm. Dropped 3-5" here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan123 Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Yeah...but I'm noticing the trend of not having that arctic front actually pass us. Now it seems to get hung up across the Nickel Belt. So we really don't tap any of the cold air over Quebec. Gonna be tough to get LES without that airmass in play...but the synoptic/upsloping potential could easily make up for it. edit: ugh...forget about LES. looking at the GFS sfc temps, we bet hope we don't flip to rain Well what can you do that's winter 15-16 in a nutshell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Yeah...but I'm noticing the trend of not having that arctic front actually pass us. Now it seems to get hung up across the Nickel Belt. So we really don't tap any of the cold air over Quebec. Gonna be tough to get LES without that airmass in play...but the synoptic/upsloping potential could easily make up for it. Yep, huge difference in the front positioning and antecedent airmass between 18z and 0z. The front will need to sag south like the 18z run or sfc temps will end up too warm. 0z 18z Also a bump north in the sfc low position past 0z tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Well what can you do that's winter 15-16 in a nutshell. Bad run, but far from over. I honestly don't think it's scientifically possible for us to finish a winter with less than a foot of snow in total, so eventually it's gonna have to snow. Odds are in our favour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Yeah, that's no good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 GFS pitches a shut out here, not surprising. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan123 Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Bad run, but far from over. I honestly don't think it's scientifically possible for us to finish a winter with less than a foot of snow in total, so eventually it's gonna have to snow. Odds are in our favour. Take a look at how deep that trough is next week. 00z GFS has it raining with us under that big trough. Only in this lousy winter will you see something like that. This winter has found ways for it NOT to snow and until that changes, I see no reason as to why that won't continue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 5, 2016 Author Share Posted February 5, 2016 GFS pitches a shut out here, not surprising. Good time for a donut gif. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowcaine Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 This winter has felt like 2011-2012, only colder. Did it even snow in 2011-2012?? I can only recall the odd dusting, and mild temperatures (of course). I'd say this winter beats 2011-2012 since we've had 2 events over 2"... (how sad does that sound). Actually, I was on vacation from December 24-January 6 in the 2011-2012 season, and I think it may have snowed while I was away... but by the time I was back, there was only a dusting on the ground, so felt like I didn't miss anything... haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 This winter has felt like 2011-2012, only colder. Did it even snow in 2011-2012?? I can only recall the odd dusting, and mild temperatures (of course). I'd say this winter beats 2011-2012 since we've had 2 events over 2"... (how sad does that sound). Actually, I was on vacation from December 24-January 6 in the 2011-2012 season, and I think it may have snowed while I was away... but by the time I was back, there was only a dusting on the ground, so felt like I didn't miss anything... haha. I'd say to-date, this winter is slightly better. But if we torch/Morch after the cold shot next week and we basically don't see another flake...hands down this will be worse. The worst. Until next time of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 We can do better than this. There was some pretty good snow amounts when the low was lingering over Lake Michigan around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowcaine Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 I'd say to-date, this winter is slightly better. But if we torch/Morch after the cold shot next week and we basically don't see another flake...hands down this will be worse. The worst. Until next time of course. Yup I absolutely agree with you there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 GEM gets the front far enough south to drive the east winds into the GTA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 This wasn't worth a thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 EURO sfc temps looking toasty too. Man, this sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 lol hard times Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan123 Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Can't wait for next winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 can't wait for training MCS season fyp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan123 Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 fyp Meh MCS don't happen here as often as they do out in your area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 5, 2016 Author Share Posted February 5, 2016 I swear it did look promising for at the least few inches yesterday especially on the eastern forum. What u gonna do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Looking like a nice 1-3" refresher here on Sunday with some fairly strong winds. Blizzard conditions possible in S MN. February rules. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 fyp Rain... fun stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 fyp I miss that about N Indiana Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Rain... fun stuff. warm breezy nights, pounding IPAs on the deck, watching a light show roll in...best climo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 warm breezy nights, pounding IPAs on the deck, watching a light show roll in...best climo This, like x100 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 warm breezy nights, pounding IPAs good tasting beer on the deck, watching a light show roll in...best climo I enjoy this. Another 2,300 miles of riding and I'll be ready. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Can't wait for next winter. In La Nina we trust. GFS keeps getting warmer. Maybe we pull off 1-2" on the backside as the colder air deepens but that's pretty much it. Amazing how this took such a sharp turn towards crap in just 18 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan123 Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 In La Nina we trust. GFS keeps getting warmer. Maybe we pull off 1-2" on the backside as the colder air deepens but that's pretty much it. Amazing how this took such a sharp turn towards crap in just 18 hours.[/quote When you're in a crap winter this stuff happens I guess. Oh well now we may as well go for the least snowiest winter record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toronto4 Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 12z Euro looks a bit better for the Toronto area Monday night into Wednesday afternoon. During that time period, about 0.25-0.30" of precip (in the form of snow as temps are below freezing) falls in a long, drawn-out process. The free maps suggests some interaction with the coastal low. Temps are too warm (around 1C) during the day Monday for any snow to stick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 12z Euro looks a bit better for the Toronto area Monday night into Wednesday afternoon. During that time period, about 0.25-0.30" of precip (in the form of snow as temps are below freezing) falls in a long, drawn-out process. The free maps suggests some interaction with the coastal low. Temps are too warm (around 1C) during the day Monday for any snow to stick. Yeah, I'm wondering if the precip Monday is wet snow vs rain. Haven't been bothered to look at soundings but I wouldn't be surprised if the above freezing temps near the surface are shallow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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