Typhoon Tip Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Time soon to start now-casting for what has become, in my recall, one of the most impressive short lead time model corrections ... Have to go back many years to cut it this close, and if it were any closer it would be a flat out positive bust! As it were ...when I saw the Euro come in robust this morning that's all of 'em - here we go - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Time soon to star now-casting for what has become, in my recall, one of the most impressive short lead time model corrections ... Have to go back many years to cut it this close, and if it were any closer it would be a flat out positive bust! As it were ...when I saw the Euro come in robust this morning that's all of 'em - here we go - You mean GFS? Euro came in big yesterday afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 4, 2016 Author Share Posted February 4, 2016 You mean GFS? Euro came in big yesterday afternoon. it continued to amp up since... but yeah, not disputing the trend began yesterday. That's pretty darn impressive considering the day and age ... we figure for some semblance of better performance that just 2 days - nice sobering reminder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 4, 2016 Author Share Posted February 4, 2016 To get us started .. .here's a nice vantage of b-leaf expanding up the coast. note the expansion NNW through eastern PA/NYS http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/eaus/flash-wv.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 44/32 currently. Soggy underfoot, cloudy, breezy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 4, 2016 Author Share Posted February 4, 2016 This is a trickle cool down deal... The sensible air mass at the surface belies what's going on, as the wind field is too light to penetrate the denser lower boundary layer. But 850 mb temps continue to shave, and the critical thickness are falling. The temp will settle back through the 40s during the evening, and we'll find a lot of 37 to 39 in the area with the 850 -sfc thickness cold enough to support snow. What happens is about 2 minutes of cat paws and you go to giant aggregates where it comes down even light to moderate. This is not uncommon in early spring - btw. This sort of gossamer warmth that goes by-by with certain rapidity during dynamics and saturation. I've seen low 60s snow within 4 hours in extreme scenarios. Don't be fooled by the 48 to 52 out there this hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteLawns Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 42.2 and falling pretty steady .6 in the last 15 mins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 45f and cooling as forecast amounts go up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 47/29 Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteLawns Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 39/30Edit... now 38/30 temp dropped 1 degree in 20 mins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jenkins Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 50/34 and absolutely pouring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 49/42. Will be nice to sleep through most of the rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Has dropped to 42f Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 46, beginning to get some seiplers of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 LL has sleet in Fairfield Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 33.7/30.8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 46/30.. not really dropping .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIcoastalWX Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 44.0/40 Light to Moderate Rain showers. 0-5 mph NNW wind. temp/dew change in the last 3 hours: Temp: -8.3 and Dew: +4. Temp and Dew have been not changed in the last 30 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarverWX Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Down to 44 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Light sleet and rain 45 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 34.4 Palpable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 42/26 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Nashua, NH 42F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Connecticut Appleman Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 42/26 Nice to see a dew point drop off not too far from here. 42/31 currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Had a couple sleet pellets a few minutes ago off the skylights. 39/29 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 46F here with heavy rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Just started raining here in North Haven. I could swear I heard some sleet bouncing off the skylight but not 100% on that. Temps still warm in the 40s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Just started raining here in North Haven. I could swear I heard some sleet bouncing off the skylight but not 100% on that. Temps still warm in the 40s. You're the third person to say that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 36 here, dark Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 I hope it is dark right now, the sun is gone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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