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Upstate NY/North Country + adjacent ON, QC, VT: End of Winter/Into Spring!


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This intrigues me. About 0.2" falls before 7z: 

attachicon.gifhrdps_qpf_syracuse_22.png

 

It's a very strange scenario, and I don't know what to make of it. We're back to riding the northern fringe of this band, but its snowing nonetheless. Radar suggests to me at least that this band may end up going a bit north over the next couple hours. I'm going to have a very busy/rough day ahead of me tomorrow but the possibility of watching another 8" or so fall is tempting...

That map completely discounts really any snow in Monroe county. This band has been north of progs all day. Glad to see a model catch on! Good luck Fulton! You look to double down!

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Pure whiteout to the point where I can't actually see the cars on the street about 100 feet away. Absolutely crazy. Seems to be settled in for a little while. HRDPS for the win here?

Nice man. Jealous. The stars are out in Rochester! NWS snowmap a huge bust for northern Monroe. Imagine any other part of the country they predict 18-24" and just 2" falls. I do love the randomness.

Sorry for negative posts, this seasonal 20" thing is getting hard to bear. Luckily, I can live vicariously through some of the posts and pics of the traditional LES posters. Keep them coming!

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Nice man. Jealous. The stars are out in Rochester! NWS snowmap a huge bust for northern Monroe. Imagine any other part of the country they predict 18-24" and just 2" falls. I do love the randomness.

Sorry for negative posts, this seasonal 20" thing is getting hard to bear. Luckily, I can live vicariously through some of the posts and pics of the traditional LES posters. Keep them coming!

I understand. BUF has been frustratingly bad this winter, and BGM to some extent too. We'll see what the NW flow produces tomorrow, but getting Syracuse to 12" may be a stretch. The chief TV met at the college here just reported 12" of snow, and I'd imagine that's pretty close to being accurate. 

 

If it's any consolation, I had only seen about 8" of snow to this point with the way my college schedule had worked (5" in Oz, 3" back home). Now if only I could get my classes cancelled... 

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Wouldn't doubt it honestly. Have to be somewhere between Oswego and Fulton where the snow never truly stopped. I've been watching Oswego's LES events for a few years and I don't remember a time where we were hit by a firehose type band like this... 

attachicon.gifRAD_KTYX_N0R_ANI (1).gif

Got off the phone with my sister in Parish.....she's "guessing" about 2.5', still whiteout conditions...

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More precise measurement from my sister....since 4pm yesterday...38" ON THE GROUND....nothing on the ground yesterday at 3pm...so without an official measuring technique (i.e. clearing a board every 6 hours.) that 38" is probably more like 43-45" due to settling, and based on my experience that we lose 3-4" per 6 hours due to settling....she said that she "thinks" it was snowing near 6"/hr. late last night!!!

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More precise measurement from my sister....since 4pm yesterday...38" ON THE GROUND....nothing on the ground yesterday at 3pm...so without an official measuring technique (i.e. clearing a board every 6 hours.) that 38" is probably more like 43-45" due to settling, and based on my experience that we lose 3-4" per 6 hours due to settling....she said that she "thinks" it was snowing near 6"/hr. late last night!!!

Wow that is impressive!

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24-30" for So. Oswego, is laughable at best.  I understand its tough to forecast such a narrow corridor but I got 8", on the other hand places 5 mils to my North, got close to 30" as LEK stated above.  I just think they need to come up with  better method for forecasting these events.  

 

The band dropped South and fizzled out unless its getting overshot by the radar and its hitting Syracuse and points South? Awesome event nonetheless and Congrats to South Central Oswego County!!

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Sun's trying to poke out here in liverpool at work. That lake band looks like it swept south and collapsed, as usual. Seen it 100 times before. Weak multi bands look like they may be setting up now, with a stronger one up in central Oswego county where it snowed last night. This has the look of a 2-4" advisory type snowfall for today south of roughly a Fulton - Parish line.

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Looks like the 00z Euro shifted to a less amplified and/or further east solution for the Tuesday system, more in line with GFS. Plenty of time left for model gyrations. Given the seasonal tendency though, you'd have to think Albany and points east have the best chance for a snowstorm out of the system.

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From WSYR Newschannel 9:

SYRACUSE (WSYR-TV)

Heavy lake effect snow fell over parts of Oswego County late Wednesday afternoon through Wednesday night. At times, snowfall rates were 2-4 inches an hour. Here are some of the snow totals received by the Storm Team overnight:

Parish 37"

New Haven 24"+

Palermo 24"+

Oswego 27"

Minetto 30"

Fulton 24"

Westdale 19"

Mexico 37"

Hannibal 15"

Mapleview 15

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Fixed and lol'ing!!!

 

Hey technically I'm still right. ^_^

 

NEW YORK

...OSWEGO COUNTY...

PARISH 37.0 652 AM 2/11 BROADCAST MEDIA

MEXICO 37.0 655 AM 2/11 SOCIAL MEDIA

HASTINGS 31.0 600 AM 2/11 TRAINED SPOTTER

OSWEGO 26.5 600 AM 2/11 COCORAHS

SCRIBA 20.0 500 AM 2/11 TRAINED SPOTTER

...WAYNE COUNTY...

WILLIAMSON 5.0 832 AM 2/11 TRAINED SPOTTER

**********************24 HOUR SNOWFALL**********************

LOCATION 24 HOUR TIME/DATE COMMENTS

SNOWFALL OF

/INCHES/ MEASUREMENT

NEW YORK

...ALLEGANY COUNTY...

ALFRED 1.2 700 AM 2/11 COOP OBSERVER

1 E WHITESVILLE 0.2 647 AM 2/11 COOP OBSERVER

...CATTARAUGUS COUNTY...

LITTLE VALLEY 3.0 700 AM 2/11 COOP OBSERVER

...CAYUGA COUNTY...

8 SSE AUBURN 0.8 600 AM 2/11 COCORAHS

...CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY...

1 WNW FREDONIA 1.5 500 AM 2/11 COCORAHS

1 SW DUNKIRK 0.5 700 AM 2/11 COCORAHS

1 S DUNKIRK 0.5 700 AM 2/11 COOP OBSERVER

...ERIE COUNTY...

2 S WALES 5.5 700 AM 2/11 COOP OBSERVER

ENE EAST AURORA 5.1 600 AM 2/11 COCORAHS

3 WSW ELMA 5.0 700 AM 2/11 COCORAHS

2 SE GLENWOOD 4.5 800 AM 2/11 COCORAHS

2 NE BOSTON 3.0 730 AM 2/11 COCORAHS

WSW HAMBURG 2.3 700 AM 2/11 COCORAHS

2 SSW BLASDELL 2.0 700 AM 2/11 COCORAHS

BUFFALO AIRPORT 0.6 700 AM 2/11 COOP OBSERVER

7 N BUFFALO 0.6 750 AM 2/11 COCORAHS

2 NW CHEEKTOWAGA 0.6 740 AM 2/11 COCORAHS

1 NW KENMORE 0.3 600 AM 2/11 COCORAHS

ESE KENMORE 0.2 750 AM 2/11 COCORAHS

...JEFFERSON COUNTY...

FORT DRUM AIRFIELD 1.0 658 AM 2/11 AWOS

...LEWIS COUNTY...

5 SSW HARRISVILLE 4.0 530 AM 2/11 COCORAHS

6 N CROGHAN 2.0 700 AM 2/11 COCORAHS

HIGHMARKET 2.0 344 AM 2/11 COOP OBSERVER

1 NW CONSTABLEVILLE 1.5 500 AM 2/11 COCORAHS

LOWVILLE 0.2 700 AM 2/11 COOP OBSERVER

...LIVINGSTON COUNTY...

4 WSW DANSVILLE 0.1 600 AM 2/11 COCORAHS

...MONROE COUNTY...

ROCHESTER AIRPORT 0.9 700 AM 2/11 COOP OBSERVER

5 W ROCHESTER 0.6 730 AM 2/11 COCORAHS

...NIAGARA COUNTY...

2 NE YOUNGSTOWN 2.5 700 AM 2/11 COOP OBSERVER

6 E NIAGARA FALLS 1.5 645 AM 2/11 COCORAHS R

1 NNE NORTH TONAWAND 0.5 700 AM 2/11 COCORAHS

NIAGARA FALLS AIRPORT 0.3 700 AM 2/11 COOP OBSERVER

...ONTARIO COUNTY...

3 W GENEVA 0.2 800 AM 2/11 COOP OBSERVER

...ORLEANS COUNTY...

MEDINA 1.4 600 AM 2/11 COOP OBSERVER

...OSWEGO COUNTY...

SE MINETTO 33.2 730 AM 2/11 COCORAHS

5 ESE OSWEGO 26.5 600 AM 2/11 COCORAHS

FULTON LOCK O3 16.3 700 AM 2/11 COOP OBSERVER

2 SSE PALERMO 15.4 600 AM 2/11 COOP OBSERVER

1 NNW FULTON 15.4 700 AM 2/11 COCORAHS

7 NNE PHOENIX 14.5 600 AM 2/11 COCORAHS

3 NE BENNETTS BRIDGE 7.0 700 AM 2/11 COOP OBSERVER

4 SSE LACONA 1.5 700 AM 2/11 COCORAHS

1 NE PULASKI 0.7 600 AM 2/11 COCORAHS

...WYOMING COUNTY...

3 W WYOMING 5.9 700 AM 2/11 COOP OBSERVER

7 SW ATTICA 4.8 600 AM 2/11 COOP OBSERVER

6 SW WARSAW 4.7 730 AM 2/11 COOP OBSERVER

3 N SILVER SPRINGS 2.1 700 AM 2/11 COOP OBSERVER

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Pretty harsh out there this morning, 8 deg and lots of wind and blowing snow. Guess this is mother nature's way of preparing us for the weekend!

 

With the 1" of new snow overnight, I've officially broken the 20" barrier for the season. I'm not really complaining, after last winter I've enjoyed the break from cold and snow. But it is pretty amazing to be sitting here, almost mid February, with only 20" of snow for the entire winter to date.

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Some light-moderate snow on and off for the past few hours. Nothing significant though. I've heard reports of 24-32" here in Oswego. The snow likes to just blow away right next to the lakeshore, but I would bet a few miles south of here easily hit that. We'll see if we can add some fluff to those totals through the day. 

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This potential storm is the first event which has created enough interest to get me back on here this winter. The CMC looks very nice and the other models have a fairly similar solution. It's been so long since there was a nice inland runner.

 

I_nw_EST_2016021112_120.png

You forgot the clown maps!!

 

gem_asnow_neus_40.png

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