SouthBuffaloSteve Posted March 25, 2016 Share Posted March 25, 2016 Better late than never I guess?... LOOKING FURTHER OUT...WE MAY BE SEEING A RATHER OMINOUS PATTERN SHIFT DEVELOPING BY NEXT WEEKEND AS GUIDANCE IS CURRENTLY IN REMARKABLE AGREEMENT REGARDING THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE DREADED CROSS- POLAR FLOW OUT OF SIBERIA THAT WILL DIRECT A SOLID SHOT OF POLAR AIR ACROSS THE CANADIAN ARCTIC AND DIRECTLY INTO THE GREAT LAKES...WITH THE POLAR VORTEX SETTING UP SHOP SOUTH OF HUDSON BAY BY NEXT SATURDAY. SHOULD THIS PAN OUT...WE MAY BE LOOKING AT NEAR-RECORD COLD NEXT WEEKEND ALONG WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR LAKE EFFECT SNOW...HOWEVER IT MUST BE STRESSED THAT THIS IS VERY FAR OUT AT THIS POINT AND GUIDANCE SHOULD BE TAKEN WITH A SIGNIFICANT GRAIN OF SALT. NONETHELESS...THIS WILL CERTAINLY BEAR WATCHING OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted March 25, 2016 Share Posted March 25, 2016 Better late than never I guess?... LOOKING FURTHER OUT...WE MAY BE SEEING A RATHER OMINOUS PATTERN SHIFT DEVELOPING BY NEXT WEEKEND AS GUIDANCE IS CURRENTLY IN REMARKABLE AGREEMENT REGARDING THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE DREADED CROSS- POLAR FLOW OUT OF SIBERIA THAT WILL DIRECT A SOLID SHOT OF POLAR AIR ACROSS THE CANADIAN ARCTIC AND DIRECTLY INTO THE GREAT LAKES...WITH THE POLAR VORTEX SETTING UP SHOP SOUTH OF HUDSON BAY BY NEXT SATURDAY. SHOULD THIS PAN OUT...WE MAY BE LOOKING AT NEAR-RECORD COLD NEXT WEEKEND ALONG WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR LAKE EFFECT SNOW...HOWEVER IT MUST BE STRESSED THAT THIS IS VERY FAR OUT AT THIS POINT AND GUIDANCE SHOULD BE TAKEN WITH A SIGNIFICANT GRAIN OF SALT. NONETHELESS...THIS WILL CERTAINLY BEAR WATCHING OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk What a roller-coaster this winter season has been! Would love to see one more major blast of cold before Spring finally takes hold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted March 25, 2016 Share Posted March 25, 2016 It's hard to even believe that is real. Absolutely incredible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 25, 2016 Author Share Posted March 25, 2016 It's hard to even believe that is real. Absolutely incredible. ridgeRRR.gif Yeah, it really is. I'm not even sure what would happen with that set-up. I'm off April 1-4 so will be chasing if any Lake effect bands set up. That set-up in Nov-Feb would be classic LES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 25, 2016 Author Share Posted March 25, 2016 Euro agrees as well. Historic cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coh Posted March 25, 2016 Share Posted March 25, 2016 "HOWEVER IT MUST BE STRESSED THAT THIS IS VERY FAR OUT AT THISPOINT AND GUIDANCE SHOULD BE TAKEN WITH A SIGNIFICANT GRAIN OF SALT." Yeah, it's not like every model and every ensemble member is in agreement. Oh wait, they are. You know, March is March and I can tolerate this kind of crap. But April...come on! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 26, 2016 Author Share Posted March 26, 2016 That is some serious cold. If this happens lake effect would be a concern, but diurnal influences would be quite large. Would have to be night to get a really good band going. The suns angle is equal to September 1st when this hits. To far out to pintpoint wind direction, but first call is gradually going from SW to NW. The GEM has the best set-up for good LES for Metro Buffalo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted March 27, 2016 Share Posted March 27, 2016 Keeping the hope alive... LOOKING AHEAD AT THE FIRST WEEKEND OF APRIL...A NEAR RECORD ANOMALOUS UPPER LEVEL RIDGE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR (PER NAEFS CLIMO) WILL DEVELOP INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA. THIS WILL AID IN THE DOWNSTREAM DEVELOPMENT OF A NEAR RECORD ANOMALOUS UPPER LEVEL HUDSON BAY TROUGH (PER NAEFS CLIMO). THE RESULT WILL BE MUCH COLDER... POLAR SOURCED... AIR MOVING ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. SHOULD CURRENT FORECAST 850MB & 925MB TEMPERATURES VERIFY (850MB: - 17C EC / -20C GFS & 925MB: -12C EC / -14C GFS ) THIS AIRMASS WOULD BE NEAR RECORD COLD VALUES FOR THE MONTH OF APRIL PER SPC SOUNDING CLIMATOLOGY AT BUFFALO. BESIDES THE COLD AIR... THIS COULD ALSO RESULT IN LAKE EFFECT SNOWS AS LAKE TEMPS ARE ALREADY PUSHING 40F... THUS LAKE INDUCED INSTABILITY WOULD BE LARGE IN SUCH A COLD AIRMASS. AT THE LEAST... EXPECT SOME PASSING SNOW SHOWERS BY THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 27, 2016 Author Share Posted March 27, 2016 Bad year across most areas east of the Rockies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted March 27, 2016 Share Posted March 27, 2016 Bad year across most areas east of the Rockies. look at that snow hole in NE PA with less than 6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted March 27, 2016 Share Posted March 27, 2016 Sounds like something like this could be in order... Think this brought more than a foot to Cleveland metro as well as over 2' just SE of there. https://web.archive.org/web/20080706183530/http://www.erh.noaa.gov/buf/lakeffect/lake0607/n/stormnsum.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 27, 2016 Author Share Posted March 27, 2016 look at that snow hole in NE PA with less than 6" id like to see if the Arctic outbreak for next weekend still looks at cold as it does now on Wednesday. Really would be cool to see some significant lake effect snow at this time of the year. Yeah Eastern NY and NE PA did terrible this year. WNY also did terrible, but not in comparison to that. The last really big LES even in April came on April 4-8 2007. https://web.archive.org/web/20080706183530/http://www.erh.noaa.gov/buf/lakeffect/lake0607/n/stormnsum.html Maximum Snowfall: Lake Erie 26" (Perrysburg); Lake Ontario 38" (Redfield) Duration: 90 hours +/- Prime Feature: Remarkable long lasting out of season event. Strong diurnal flavor. This event capped off a memorable 2006-07 season as one of the most intense and long lasting cold periods for so late in the season set off some impressive lake snows east and southeast of the Lakes. It was the first "named" event in the month of April in the 13 year history of lake storms. This combined with the massive October storm to bracket the winter season with the earliest and latest events on record. The event began late Wednesday the 4th following a sharp cold front. A massive upper level low then set up over Quebec and poured near record cold across the eastern two thirds of the nation for several days. Most of the Lakes were open again after mild weather in late March, but eastern Lake Erie still had a good deal of ice cover. Still, the moist northwest flow brought residual moisture from the Upper Lakes and impinged on the Chautauqua ridge and dropped up to a foot of upslope/lake enhanced snow there. Several inches also fell down into the Jamestown area. For the next few days, lake snows became more organized during the late night and early morning periods, breaking up into cellular activity during the afternoon and early evening hours. The heavier accumulations were at night. The Thursday night-Friday morning period brought 6-12" to much of Oswego county and southern Tug Hill and also another 6 to 12 across Chautauqua county, and a surprise 4 to 7 inches across Niagara County. Then, Friday night-Saturday morning period saw an intense band across southern Jefferson county, with somewhat of a repeat along the south shore of the Lake Saturday night and Sunday morning. During the afternoon and early evenings, brief heavy snow showers occurred, but accumulated little. Conditions finally moderated enough to shut down any lake snows late Sunday as inversion lowered and 850 mb temps rose slightly. The totals were impressive, but settled fast due to the season, so no more than a foot was on the ground at any one time anywhere. Very little fell in the Buffalo area, and Rochester caught a bit only Sunday morning. This event was long lasting and out of season. The totals were impressive, but fell mainly at night in light populated areas, melting off on roadways during the day. It therefore earns three *** stars. Here are some representative reports. Off of Lake Erie... Location Snowfall Perrysburg 26 inches Mayville 23 inches Arkwright 18 inches Jamestown 15 inches Warsaw 15 inches East Aurora 9 inches Buffalo metro less than 2 inches Off of Lake Ontario... Location Snowfall Redfield 38 inches Parish 24 inches Hooker 24 inches Highmarket 18 inches Fulton 16 inches Constantia 15 inches Wolcott 11 inches Watertown 6 inches Lowville 4 inches Rochester metro 2 to 4 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 27, 2016 Author Share Posted March 27, 2016 Sounds like something like this could be in order... Think this brought more than a foot to Cleveland metro as well as over 2' just SE of there. https://web.archive.org/web/20080706183530/http://www.erh.noaa.gov/buf/lakeffect/lake0607/n/stormnsum.html Opps, didn't see the link. The Buffalo snow history book has several large events in April as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted March 27, 2016 Share Posted March 27, 2016 Opps, didn't see the link. The Buffalo snow history book has several large events in April as well. can you post more info on these events? Like dates and snowfall amounts, if time allows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 28, 2016 Author Share Posted March 28, 2016 can you post more info on these events? Like dates and snowfall amounts, if time allows April 10-11 1894. 30" of total snow. 26 MPH winds. Snow was general throughout the Great Lakes. Heavy, wet snow downed many tree limbs, telegraph, telephone, and power lines. Up to 30" buried the Warsaw area in Wyoming county. April. 19-20, 1901. General heavy wet snowstorm. Downed many tree limbs and power lines. 26 MPH winds, temperatures at 32 degrees. Up to 18" fell in Hamburg and Dunkirk. Buffalos streetcar system was crippled. The storm caused structural damage to buildings on the Pan-American Exposition grounds and delayed opening day ceremonies for three weeks. March. 29-30th 1954: Heavy snow began falling shortly before the evening rush hour. A massive traffic jam ensued on the streets of Buffalo, and was not cleared until early the following morning. Hundreds abandoned their vehicles in the streets. The Storm claimed twelve victims. April 3-5 1975: General snowstorm. 20" max totals, 46 MPH winds 17 degree temps. Unusually harsh April storm blanketed all of Western NY beneath a foot of snow with up to 20" in Genesee County. The storm was accompanied with record cold. Highways were closed including the NYS thruway. May 7th 1989: General snowstorm. 1 foot of snow, 37 MPH winds, temps 32. Unprecendented late-season storm shattered all of Buffalos May snow records. Up to a foot of snow fell in Genesee, Wyoming, Catt counties. I believe the Airport had 8.2"? April 23-24, 2012 http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/34018-potential-late-season-snow-event-for-western-ny-and-pa/ Highest totals: Lynden NY 24" East Otto 18" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 28, 2016 Author Share Posted March 28, 2016 I was surprised October had more events than April. 8 Major events in the month of October in the book. Some bigger than the October storm in 2006. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 28, 2016 Author Share Posted March 28, 2016 Hit 70 degrees today with full sun. One of the best late March days in awhile. Enjoyed the day outside, such an incredible Easter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted March 29, 2016 Share Posted March 29, 2016 Still following... A BIG CHANGE TO THE WEATHER COMES LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY... WITH MUCH BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND SNOW SHOWER CHANCES ARRIVING TO START THE NEW WEEK. THE HIGHLY AMPLIFIED UPPER-LEVEL PATTERN EVOLVES OUT A HIGHLY ANOMALOUS UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE THAT BUILDS INTO GULF OF ALASKA MID TO LATE WEEK... WHICH TRIGGERS DOWNSTREAM DEVELOPMENT OF AN ANOMALOUSLY STRONG HUDSON BAY LOW BY LATE WEEK INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. ARCTIC AIR WILL BE ABLE TO ESCAPE FROM THE POLAR REGIONS AND TRACK ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN CANADA AND THE NORTHEAST CONUS. COMPARING NAEFS ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE 850 MB TEMPERATURES TO THE CFSR CLIMATOLOGY INDICATES AN AIRMASS AROUND THE 99TH COLDEST PERCENTILE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. WITH THIS IN MIND... IT IS LIKELY THAT DAYTIME HIGHS ON SUNDAY WILL STRUGGLE TO MAKE IT OUT OF THE 20S... AND THE COLDEST MORNING WILL LIKELY COME MONDAY WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE TEENS AND POSSIBLE SINGLE DIGITS IN THE NORTH COUNTRY. BESIDE THE COLD AIR... THIS COULD ALSO RESULT IN LAKE EFFECT SNOWS AS LAKE TEMPS ARE ALREADY PUSHING 40F... THUS LAKE INDUCED INSTABILITY WOULD BE LARGE IN SUCH A COLD AIRMASS. AT THE LEAST... EXPECT SOME PASSING SNOW SHOWERS BY THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted March 30, 2016 Share Posted March 30, 2016 THE ARCTIC FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL LIKELY RESULT IN A BLUSTERY AND GENERALLY UNPLEASANT DAY ON SATURDAY WITH VERY STRONG WINDS ACCOMPANYING THE FRONTAL PASSAGE...WITH POSSIBLE GALES ON THE LAKES...AND ADVISORY OR POSSIBLY EVEN WARNING LEVEL GUSTS INLAND ALONG WITH RAIN SHOWERS CHANGING OVER TO SNOW SHOWERS AS TEMPERATURES FALL THROUGH THE 40S BACK INTO THE 30S SATURDAY EVENING. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO PLUNGE INTO THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 20S SATURDAY NIGHT AS THE ARCTIC AIRMASS ARRIVES IN EARNEST. THESE COLD TEMPERATURES WILL INDUCE A ROBUST LAKE RESPONSE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY WITH EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS CLIMBING IN EXCESS OF 10KFT ON REASONABLY WELL-ALIGNED WNW FLOW. THIS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE AT LEAST SEVERAL INCHES OF ACCUMULATION SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES...THOUGH THE BUFFALO METRO SHOULD BE LARGELY SPARED ANY SIGNIFICANT SNOWS. LAKE EFFECT SNOWS SHOULD TAPER OFF ON SUNDAY AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE REGION...BOTH DISRUPTING DIMINISHING THE LOW- LEVEL FLOW OFF THE LAKES AND SENDING EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS CRASHING. HOWEVER BY LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...A NEW THREAT EMERGES EVEN AS THE CORE OF THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND THE COLDEST PORTION OF THE ARCTIC AIR BEGINS TO LIFT OUT THE REGION. AS UPPER AND MID-LEVEL FLOW BECOMES MORE ZONAL SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY...MODELS INDICATE THAT A SHARPENING BAROCLINIC ZONE WILL SET UP ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES. A SHORTWAVE DROPPING OUT OF THE CANADIAN ROCKIES AND POTENTIALLY INTERACTING WITH THIS THERMAL GRADIENT MAY SEND A SURFACE LOW RIPPLING ALONG THE ZONE...IN TURN GENERATING A ZONE OF STRONG ISENTROPIC UPLIFT ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK THAT COULD BRING A LATE SEASON SNOWSTORM TO AREAS SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO. THIS WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED CLOSELY AS THE FEATURES INVOLVED WILL HAVE TO LINE UP JUST RIGHT AND WE ARE STILL QUITE A WAYS OUT TO PREDICT SNOWFALL TOTALS WITH ANY CERTAINTY. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted March 30, 2016 Share Posted March 30, 2016 THE ARCTIC FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL LIKELY RESULT IN A BLUSTERY AND GENERALLY UNPLEASANT DAY ON SATURDAY WITH VERY STRONG WINDS ACCOMPANYING THE FRONTAL PASSAGE...WITH POSSIBLE GALES ON THE LAKES...AND ADVISORY OR POSSIBLY EVEN WARNING LEVEL GUSTS INLAND ALONG WITH RAIN SHOWERS CHANGING OVER TO SNOW SHOWERS AS TEMPERATURES FALL THROUGH THE 40S BACK INTO THE 30S SATURDAY EVENING. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO PLUNGE INTO THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 20S SATURDAY NIGHT AS THE ARCTIC AIRMASS ARRIVES IN EARNEST. THESE COLD TEMPERATURES WILL INDUCE A ROBUST LAKE RESPONSE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY WITH EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS CLIMBING IN EXCESS OF 10KFT ON REASONABLY WELL-ALIGNED WNW FLOW. THIS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE AT LEAST SEVERAL INCHES OF ACCUMULATION SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES...THOUGH THE BUFFALO METRO SHOULD BE LARGELY SPARED ANY SIGNIFICANT SNOWS. LAKE EFFECT SNOWS SHOULD TAPER OFF ON SUNDAY AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE REGION...BOTH DISRUPTING DIMINISHING THE LOW- LEVEL FLOW OFF THE LAKES AND SENDING EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS CRASHING. HOWEVER BY LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...A NEW THREAT EMERGES EVEN AS THE CORE OF THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND THE COLDEST PORTION OF THE ARCTIC AIR BEGINS TO LIFT OUT THE REGION. AS UPPER AND MID-LEVEL FLOW BECOMES MORE ZONAL SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY...MODELS INDICATE THAT A SHARPENING BAROCLINIC ZONE WILL SET UP ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES. A SHORTWAVE DROPPING OUT OF THE CANADIAN ROCKIES AND POTENTIALLY INTERACTING WITH THIS THERMAL GRADIENT MAY SEND A SURFACE LOW RIPPLING ALONG THE ZONE...IN TURN GENERATING A ZONE OF STRONG ISENTROPIC UPLIFT ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK THAT COULD BRING A LATE SEASON SNOWSTORM TO AREAS SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO. THIS WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED CLOSELY AS THE FEATURES INVOLVED WILL HAVE TO LINE UP JUST RIGHT AND WE ARE STILL QUITE A WAYS OUT TO PREDICT SNOWFALL TOTALS WITH ANY CERTAINTY. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk LOL, that would be great...I've been telling friends and family that winter wasn't done with us yet (regarding cold & snow). I think we've got the cold down, just hope we can pull off one more thumping of the white stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted March 31, 2016 Share Posted March 31, 2016 Quiet around here considering the potential snowfall we may get...everyone got spring fever? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 31, 2016 Author Share Posted March 31, 2016 Quiet around here considering the potential snowfall we may get...everyone got spring fever? Sorry have been busy. Decent setup for higher elevations. Not sure about immediate metro areas though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted March 31, 2016 Share Posted March 31, 2016 Busy here too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 31, 2016 Author Share Posted March 31, 2016 Off of work the next 4 days. Getting giddy to chase the LES event on Sat-Sunday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted March 31, 2016 Share Posted March 31, 2016 What lake effect lol? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted March 31, 2016 Share Posted March 31, 2016 This thing on saturday night is mostly synotic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 31, 2016 Author Share Posted March 31, 2016 What lake effect lol? ? Lake Erie is in the low 40s right now. The air will be cold enough for LES. MOST SNOWFALL AMOUNTS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS WILL BE ON THE LIGHTER SIDE AND PROBABLY NOTHING MORE THEN A COATING TO POSSIBLY TWO INCHES. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE FOR AREAS SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES...WHERE THE PROGRESSIVELY COLDER AIRMASS WILL ALSO LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF AREAS OF LAKE ENHANCED/LAKE EFFECT SNOW OVERNIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING...RESULTING IN SOME AREAS OF ENHANCED SNOWFALL AMOUNTS. WHILE IT REMAINS TOO EARLY TO ESTIMATE EXACT SNOWFALL TOTALS...THE PRESENCE OF SUFFICIENT MOISTURE AND INCREASING INVERSION HEIGHTS CONTINUE TO SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERAL INCHES OF ACCUMULATION...AND POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS ON THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ERIE WHERE TO GREATEST INSTABILITY WILL BE PRESENT SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted April 1, 2016 Author Share Posted April 1, 2016 Tonights model runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted April 1, 2016 Author Share Posted April 1, 2016 Maybe we can add another storm to that list from a few days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted April 1, 2016 Share Posted April 1, 2016 ? Lake Erie is in the low 40s right now. The air will be cold enough for LES. MOST SNOWFALL AMOUNTS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS WILL BE ON THE LIGHTER SIDE AND PROBABLY NOTHING MORE THEN A COATING TO POSSIBLY TWO INCHES. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE FOR AREAS SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES...WHERE THE PROGRESSIVELY COLDER AIRMASS WILL ALSO LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF AREAS OF LAKE ENHANCED/LAKE EFFECT SNOW OVERNIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING...RESULTING IN SOME AREAS OF ENHANCED SNOWFALL AMOUNTS. WHILE IT REMAINS TOO EARLY TO ESTIMATE EXACT SNOWFALL TOTALS...THE PRESENCE OF SUFFICIENT MOISTURE AND INCREASING INVERSION HEIGHTS CONTINUE TO SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERAL INCHES OF ACCUMULATION...AND POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS ON THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ERIE WHERE TO GREATEST INSTABILITY WILL BE PRESENT SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. I get that...but why the lack of focus on the potent synoptic event first? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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