BuffaloWeather Posted March 16, 2016 Author Share Posted March 16, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 20, 2016 Author Share Posted March 20, 2016 This is why Spring is my least favorite season. To warm for snow and to cold to do anything outside without feeling chilly. Upper 30s/40s with clouds is the absolute worst weather IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 20, 2016 Author Share Posted March 20, 2016 Looks like Devin might cash in on some good snow over the next day or so. Hopefully he can cash in before he moves back later this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 21, 2016 Author Share Posted March 21, 2016 Now I know why I usually plan my yearly trip to the tropics in late March/April. This year I waited until April 30th for reasons out of my control. Just brutal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted March 21, 2016 Share Posted March 21, 2016 Definitely looking icy Wednesday night into Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southbuffalowx Posted March 21, 2016 Share Posted March 21, 2016 Definitely looking icy Wednesday night into Thursday.What is the Euro showing? The gfs and Canadian don't look too bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted March 21, 2016 Share Posted March 21, 2016 What is the Euro showing? The gfs and Canadian don't look too bad. It's actually the coldest model from what I can see, it would be a serious ice storm if it verified. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southbuffalowx Posted March 21, 2016 Share Posted March 21, 2016 It's actually the coldest model from what I can see, it would be a serious ice storm if it verified.Really hoping that doesn't verify. After our taste of spring the last few weeks, going back to colder weather will be rough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted March 21, 2016 Share Posted March 21, 2016 Really hoping that doesn't verify. After our taste of spring the last few weeks, going back to colder weather will be rough. Yea, from the looks of it, gfs is farther north with the warm front, euro furtheast south. ECMWF south of the UKMET, then the gem/nam, then the gfs. GFS is usually horrible at handling low level cold air drainage anyway. Maybe some big snows from Michigan into Ontario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted March 21, 2016 Share Posted March 21, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted March 21, 2016 Share Posted March 21, 2016 KBUF HWO: DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO SET UP ACROSS THE LOWER GREATLAKES BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THERE REMAINS A GOOD DEAL OFUNCERTAINTY WITH THE EXACT PLACEMENT OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY...WHICH WILL DETERMINE TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE REGION. THERE IS THEPOTENTIAL FOR TEMPERATURES TO BECOME COLD ENOUGH WEDNESDAYAFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR A PERIOD OF WINTRY MIX...INCLUDING LIGHT TO MODERATE FREEZING RAIN ACCUMULATIONS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 21, 2016 Share Posted March 21, 2016 Mood flakes!! With a temp of 39..Gfs op continues to show cold right through the 1st week of April.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 21, 2016 Share Posted March 21, 2016 We jumped up to 41° and the snow is sticking to the grass... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Revracer800 Posted March 21, 2016 Share Posted March 21, 2016 Picked up a quick inch of snow here lol... don't think it snowed that hard all winter haha. Crazy weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted March 21, 2016 Share Posted March 21, 2016 Looks like Devin might cash in on some good snow over the next day or so. Hopefully he can cash in before he moves back later this year. Observer in Westerly reported 2.3 inches. Event busted low to south and east, although higher elevation spots like Mount Tolland verified warning criteria (barely). RIP winter 2015-16. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted March 22, 2016 Share Posted March 22, 2016 Hey guys, i actually live in Warwick, RI now which is about 45 minutes NE of Westerly but I still did pretty poor here as well. About 4" here all of which was gone by 3pm. Woke up to only 2 1/2" around 6am and caught a nice burst of snow between 8-9am which dropped another inch and a half bringing me to 4". As soon as the sun came out at noon it was all gone by 3. That's a melting rate of over 1"/hr lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted March 22, 2016 Share Posted March 22, 2016 Two things to watch going forward for the wintry event potential Wednesday night into Friday...the strength of the confluence over Quebec provided by the big storm going through the maritimes right now, and then the strength of the ohio valley low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 22, 2016 Author Share Posted March 22, 2016 Hey guys, i actually live in Warwick, RI now which is about 45 minutes NE of Westerly but I still did pretty poor here as well. About 4" here all of which was gone by 3pm. Woke up to only 2 1/2" around 6am and caught a nice burst of snow between 8-9am which dropped another inch and a half bringing me to 4". As soon as the sun came out at noon it was all gone by 3. That's a melting rate of over 1"/hr lol. Still a pretty good event for late March. Some good rates in some of those bands for awhile. Can't expect much to stick around anywhere this late in the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 22, 2016 Author Share Posted March 22, 2016 Two things to watch going forward for the wintry event potential Wednesday night into Friday...the strength of the confluence over Quebec provided by the big storm going through the maritimes right now, and then the strength of the ohio valley low. I'm thinking there is just to much warm air to get any meaningful ice across WNY. I think the Tug has a much better chance of staying cold enough for ice, the system is just going to far NW and will flood us with some warm air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 22, 2016 Author Share Posted March 22, 2016 We jumped up to 41° and the snow is sticking to the grass... Picked up a quick inch of snow here lol... don't think it snowed that hard all winter haha. Crazy weather. Yeah we had off and on snow all day with coatings that came and melted. Some really good burst of snow at time throughout the afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted March 22, 2016 Share Posted March 22, 2016 Can someone post the Euro's LP track when the 12z run completes? It seems the NWS is leaning on its solution. Even with its further south track, it still may be a bit too warm for the southern LO bordering counties for ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coh Posted March 23, 2016 Share Posted March 23, 2016 Cold air seems to be coming in faster than predicted, already precip has turned over to sleet and now a sleet/wet snow mix. I think some places could wind up with a fairly significant ice accumulation tonight. BTW, that cold shot in early April looks like it could be pretty nasty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted March 23, 2016 Share Posted March 23, 2016 Seeing flakes here as well. Seems the cold air may be a bit deeper than forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted March 24, 2016 Share Posted March 24, 2016 What a ridiculous temp contrast across the region. Oh my!! I'm freezing... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
champy Posted March 24, 2016 Share Posted March 24, 2016 Yeah it was nuts. I drove out of Ithaca today at 70 and by Trumansburg it was 42. Then the push north with the warmth has come here, all of the Eastern FL are in 60s 70s now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 24, 2016 Author Share Posted March 24, 2016 What a ridiculous temp contrast across the region. Oh my!! I'm freezing... image.png Just unreal! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 24, 2016 Author Share Posted March 24, 2016 Who is ready for some April lake effect snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted March 25, 2016 Share Posted March 25, 2016 Who is ready for some April lake effect snow. its super far out there but there has been several runs in a row showing some really cold temps in that timeframe. I mean for April -25C 850s has to be a record for this area.That's insane. That's like single digit to low teen highs even in with the sun angle. Sure it won't even come close to verifying but definitley shows that there is some potential for some real cold during that period. Even -15C would be pretty dang cold for April and with very warm lakes there probably would be some good lake effect snow, especially at night once the diurnal effects of the strong April sun wear off and allow the what would likely be very cellular bands of lake effect during the day to consolidate into solid bands of lake effect...I know I know I need to slow down, getting WAY ahead of myself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 25, 2016 Author Share Posted March 25, 2016 its super far out there but there has been several runs in a row showing some really cold temps in that timeframe. I mean for April -25C 850s has to be a record for this area.That's insane. That's like single digit to low teen highs even in with the sun angle. Sure it won't even come close to verifying but definitley shows that there is some potential for some real cold during that period. Even -15C would be pretty dang cold for April and with very warm lakes there probably would be some good lake effect snow, especially at night once the diurnal effects of the strong April sun wear off and allow the what would likely be very cellular bands of lake effect during the day to consolidate into solid bands of lake effect...I know I know I need to slow down, getting WAY ahead of myself. Haha! At least you're finally hopping on the fun train, would be cool to see but all cold air this season beyond 7 days never comes to fruition. Lake Erie will be near 40 degs by that time so won't take much to get some lift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted March 25, 2016 Share Posted March 25, 2016 While it didn't gather the same amount of attention as the BUF/ROC temperature gradient last night, there was an even tighter gradient just north of the Tug Hill last night. At one point last night, Watertown was at 29F while Fort Drum, about 15 miles away, sat at 50. More fun stats: Fort Drum (KGTB) record the following hourly observations over a period of 6 hours: 29F... E @ 2mph 49F... S @ 16mph 50F... SE @ 8mph 51F... SE @ 10mph 51F... S 29 G 39 mph 31F... NW @ 5mph. With an intra hour 58F max. After that 31F observation they managed to rise back up to 51F later in the night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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