rochesterdave Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 New lake snow advisory for roc. Probably will get more in Monroe County than previous set up. Hoping anyway I think that's very possible Tim. I did rcv about 6" here in Itondequoit but most of Monroe county got Butkus. WNW doesn't work for us. NNW is better, question is if we can get any dendrite structure. I bet we do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Think there is still enough heat in Lake to make up for dry artic air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 12, 2016 Author Share Posted February 12, 2016 Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Euro goes boom all of WNY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Trying to post map. 985 over Scranton Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Hope to see snow map. Great track for roc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 This track is ideal for Rochester. A 2' deal. One model, others went east with smaller precip fields. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Would guess that tracks up to Burlington or adirondacs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 12, 2016 Author Share Posted February 12, 2016 GEFS have many hits for WNY out to Syracuse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 The perception field on gfs looks iffy to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 12, 2016 Author Share Posted February 12, 2016 Ill take panel # 17 please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 The euro track is best possible track for roc and western ny. Plus isn't this the best time frame for euros track record Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 12, 2016 Author Share Posted February 12, 2016 The euro track is best possible track for roc and western ny. Plus isn't this the best time frame for euros track record No, best timeframe is a day before when all model guidance has a consensus and even then you can get 100 mile variations in tracks. It's way to far out still. I'd say anywhere from Detriot, Toronto, Buffalo, Rochester, Syracuse, to Albany can jackpot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Euro gives roc region 1 to 2 feet. From city east. 6 to 12 buffalo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Euro snowmap: The pivot point of the R/S line sets up right over Ithaca and Syracuse, hence the sharp cutoffs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Hoping this is our storm. Been very long overdue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Hoping this is our storm. Been very long overdue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 12, 2016 Author Share Posted February 12, 2016 Look at that blocking on Euro, this thing is going to be an inland runner 100%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 12, 2016 Author Share Posted February 12, 2016 Here comes the lake effect, should be a fun day. To bad I work 9-7...Good night all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Snowing decent here..Better then radar would indicate.. Models Starting to look pretty good with the synoptic storm.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Would not be shocked if there were some electric in squalls as front comes through tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Front passage tomorrow should be fun. I like the set up for Tuesday's storm. A moderately narrow geographical region, from south to north, will see a big, heavy snowstorm! Classic inland runner. This massive high, which will be over Atlantic, will prevent yet another OTS. Energy over the upper Midwest should keep it from Great Lakes runner. Someone from wva, through western/ central PA on thru wny and cny should have a chance. Including cities like Cleveland on the west and Albany on the east. Somewhere in between gets the crush job. If it's along the thruway, the NE wind would bring big bonus snow. Buf, Syr, roc? Eastern finger lakes looks sweet right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Inch of new snow all from this little streamer.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Upgraded to a warning LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THISAFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST SATURDAY......WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM SATURDAY TO10 AM EST SUNDAY...* LOCATIONS...OSWEGO COUNTY.* TIMING...THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM LATETHIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE WIND CHILLWARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE SUNDAYMORNING.* ACCUMULATIONS...AN INCH OR LESS TODAY...5 TO 9 INCHESTONIGHT...AND 1 TO 3 INCHES SATURDAY...LEADING TO STORMTOTALS OF 7 TO 13 INCHES IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS.* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH.* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Already 2 inches down, hammer city in buffalo right now!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 3.3" as of 5:50am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 So much for that band being on the weaker side this morning, kicking pretty good right now. Hopefully that's only a little kink on the radar looks like it might just get pushed on shore and loose connection. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Lots of huge hits on the ensembles, only 4 of the 51 goes west of cny ..Many more "misses" the rain...Euro control goes through eastern NY and is a tremendous hit ..The 6z gfs was west and has much more mixing/Rain...The euro had a crazy amount of precip (3.5") but it wasn't all snow..Many more runs to go, hopefully we start to see some consistency sooner rather then later... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 So much for that band being on the weaker side this morning, kicking pretty good right now. Hopefully that's only a little kink on the radar looks like it might just get pushed on shore and loose connection. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk 3.3" in an hour not bad, maybe a sign of things to come? a see some definte northward movement on CLE radar so we should be back in the game within the next two hours.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 6z GFS trends west and drops a nice foot over WNY.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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