Heisy Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 EURO digging slightly more than 00z it looks like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Wow EURO...nice improvement! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Looks like on the euro up to 09z is rain for the area so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Between 09z-12z goes to snow entire area. .25+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 The column should cool with the heavier rates considering how cold it is aloft, if heavy enough snow falls at night even at 32-33 it will accumulate everywhere. We have seen this before many times in March where it there's heavy wet snow that sticks to everything despite being warm the previous day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Wow going to eat my words. Hr 27 CCB brushing NYC and costal nj. Mod snow way back to western nj Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Which is it? Better or worse lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 EURO is def W of 00z, but idk about temps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Which is it? Better or worse lol It's better then 00z. But temps have always been a issue. On the euro we are rain until 09z. Between then and 12z we flip. Tons of qpf after Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 The column should cool with the heavier rates considering how cold it is aloft, if heavy enough snow falls at night even at 32-33 it will accumulate everywhere. We have seen this before many times in March where it there's heavy wet snow that sticks to everything despite being warm the previous day. 100% agree with this. This is a light rain to a paste job for the eastern half of the subforum IMO. The areas to the west will be colder but there's less precip. The NNJ posters (east of MMU) should still be able to get at least a couple inches out of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 0.25"+ contour goes back to about Warren County on the Euro. NYC is right around 0.50"+ with a lot more East. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 The Euro max res has NYC sitting at 35 degrees at 12z Friday and 32 at 15z but by then precip is over. It also has the South fork sitting at 40 degrees at 09z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 0.25"+ contour goes back to about Warren County on the Euro. NYC is right around 0.50"+ with a lot more East. Sounds decent. 1 to 3 possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Euro wxbell snowfall NYC...5" JFK....6" FRG...7" ISP.....7" Babylon Jackpot ...8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Euro wxbell snowfall NYC...5" JFK....6" FRG...7" ISP.....7" Babylon Jackpot ...8" sign me up. Time for WWA at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Euro wxbell snowfall NYC...5" JFK....6" FRG...7" ISP.....7" Babylon Jackpot ...8" Thank you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 The BL is very warm on the Euro. You need to get 50-75 miles NW of NYC to find sub freezing surface temps. We don't need sub freezing. It'll be 34-35 with heavy wet snow. Accumulation on pavement will take a while though. In the city probably not at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Euro wxbell snowfall NYC...5" JFK....6" FRG...7" ISP.....7" Babylon Jackpot ...8" EWR? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Gonna be one of those events in the city where you'll have to be near a park to know that accumulation was happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 EWR? 4 / 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 EWR? 4-5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 We don't need sub freezing. It'll be 34-35 with heavy wet snow. Accumulation on pavement will take a while though. In the city probably not at all I think it will accumulate but people are throwing around things like warning criteria event and even though I think someone could approach 6" I wouldn't expect a majority of the area to come close. I'm sure people will be bashing the NWS left and right later when most people are in an advisory and not a warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 4 / 5 4-5" Thanks gents. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Euros 3-6 most of city and immediate areas, near nothing north of Rockland, and 5-8 for most of Long Island Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 I think models will keep shifting more favorable till the event begins. This has huge bust potential written all over it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 What a sht post Hour 24 KNYC 850 - 5 BL 33 .2 Hour 30 KNYC 850 - 8 BL 34 .3 Accumulating snow there /Warning snow E So you re-posted exactly what I just said, thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 So you re-posted exactly what I just said, thanks. Huh " The Euro max res has NYC sitting at 35 degrees at 12z Friday and 32 at 15z but by then precip is over" That`s not implying little in the way of accumulation @ KNYC ? 35 would mean non accumulating S and by the time it`s " cold enough " ITS OVER . Were you implying 2-4/ 3-5 at KNYC ? I missed that .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Huh " The Euro max res has NYC sitting at 35 degrees at 12z Friday and 32 at 15z but by then precip is over" That`s not implying little in the way of accumulation @ KNYC ? 35 would mean non accumulating S and by the time it`s " cold enough " ITS OVER . Were you implying 2-4/ 3-5 at KNYC ? I missed that .. I didn't say anything about accumulations at all. I was just pointing out the BL temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 I said it once and I'll say it again, everyone here needs to be extra cautious with throwing snow predictions out. It doesn't matter if you're inland where the cut off on precip could be quite pronounced or further East where temps might be an issue. I think the odds of NYC seeing 1"+ are high, 3"+ are moderate and 6"+ low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCGreg Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 I said it once and I'll say it again, everyone here needs to be extra cautious with throwing snow predictions out. It doesn't matter if you're inland where the cut off on precip could be quite pronounced or further East where temps might be an issue. I think the odds of NYC seeing 1"+ are high, 3"+ are moderate and 6"+ low. From what I'm reading, I agree. Advisory probably warranted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.