Ericjcrash Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 RGEM significantly west thru 24. .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 RGEM 4"+ city east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Gfs west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Alot of people are going to be in for a shock especially on Long island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Alot of people are going to be in for a shock especially on Long island. TWC just had a map with 0 in NYC and I think 3 in Boston Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshack Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Alot of people are going to be in for a shock especially on Long island. Uptown actually cut the accumulation forecast here (I'm near Riverhead). With temps around 50 today and only down to freezing tonight the roads will probably stay clear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 This is going to be a very wet snow. Temps are running in the 50's today. So the early part of the event will lose some accumulation to melting since it will be mild at the start. Look for it to first accumulate on car tops and grass before sticking on the paved surfaces especially across Long Island. The western most fringe may mostly be a colder surfaces event that don't get into the heavier rates necessary to dewpoint down the temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Uptown actually cut the accumulation forecast here (I'm near Riverhead). With temps around 50 today and only down to freezing tonight the roads will probably stay clear. Upton is playing conservative like always Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Alot of people are going to be in for a shock especially on Long island. ..liking where i live..gonna be quite a transformation in 24 hours.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 ..liking where i live..gonna be quite a transformation in 24 hours.. All the models hit Eastern Long Island the hardest. Could turn into a branch buster if the models with the heavier accumulations work out with such a heavy wet snow. So try not to park under any trees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 IMO eastern LI is getting 4-6+, 1-3/2-4 for most the city , nothing west or north of NYC, with the exception of maybe southern Rockland/westchester Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 RAP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxWeatherwatcher Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 RAP someone is going to get rocked by intense banding once again,and my gut tells me this west trend means warmer on the east end and coastal southern ne,colder just a bit west in the city for all snow.also means the best forcing is right over the city for a time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 I think advisories should be posted from NYC east and a wsw from central suffolk east if these trends continue in the 00z suites Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redbanknjandbigbasslakepa Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Hi res nmm and wrf want no part of it but not their best range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Nam is coming in slighty west of 6z through 18 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redbanknjandbigbasslakepa Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Nam wet but much warmer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 12z nam bumped further west mod snow for 95 and costal areas tomorrow morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Good hit for coastal areas on the Nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 .5+ for NYC Less nw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxWeatherwatcher Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 might be a case where the best accumulations might actually be west of l.i and right thru the city at the end of the day,esp if this is way west.the capes and eastern l.i get shafted by rain and warmer temps at the onset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 The 09z SREF mean was actually a tick drier than 03z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 If those NAM totals verified east out across LI we could be talking some power outages from heavy wet snow snapping large branches. Saw an event like this back in the 90's were the snapping branches were making really loud pops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 might be a case where the best accumulations might actually be west of l.i and right thru the city at the end of the day,esp if this is way west.the capes and eastern l.i get shafted by rain and warmer temps at the onset. ...that is certainly on the table..anymore of a west trend would make ELI stay warmer and have less snow accum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 If those NAM totals verified east out across LI we could be talking some power outages from heavy wet snow snapping large branches. Saw an event like this back in the 90's were the snapping branches were making really loud pops. Yea. The soundings support snow after a couple hours of rain. Suffolk Co could see 6"+ of heavy wet snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 The 09z SREF mean was actually a tick drier than 03z. Huh? The .5 line is close to Abe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 4K nam 2-4 metro area and 6+ LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Huh? The .5 line is close to AbeYup. Not east at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 The 09z SREF mean was actually a tick drier than 03z. .75+ NYC and .5+ is west of ewr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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