UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Checked my phone radar, saw there were some decent returns overhead.. Out of nowhere... Light snow, mood flakes falling... Can't believe it actually Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Euro? Out to lunch... Decreased totals... Didn't even look right off initialization Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Checked my phone radar, saw there were some decent returns overhead.. Out of nowhere... Light snow, mood flakes falling... Can't believe it actually Decent snows incoming. .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Out to lunch... Decreased totals... Didn't even look right off initialization Smoking dope with Upton? For once the radar looks great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 36 w/ very lgt snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 The Euro isn't bad at all. It looks almost the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Smoking dope with Upton? For once the radar looks great. Maybe, but temps need to start crashing. Still mostly around 40 around the Big Apple. Bed time - I hope you guys wake up to a winter wonderland in the am . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Maybe, but temps need to start crashing. Still mostly around 40 around the Big Apple. Bed time - I hope you guys wake up to a winter wonderland in the am . 850s and 925s are crashing pretty hard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 NWS in Mt. Holly says slightly delayed changeover for the I-95 corridor to the coast, with more warm air to overcome than thought, but that they don't expect any change to snowfall amounts (just delayed by an hour or so - with 4-9 am being the snow time) 1115 PM UPDATE...MADE SOME EDITS TO THE HOURLY POP AND WX GRIDSTO HOPEFULLY BETTER ACCOUNT FOR THE TIMING OF THE CHANGEOVER FROMRAIN TO SNOW OVERNIGHT. BASED ON THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS ANDMODEL GUIDANCE, THE TREND WAS TO DELAY THE EASTWARD PROGRESSIONOF RAIN-SNOW LINE BY 1-3 HOURS DEPENDING ON THE LOCATION AS THEREIS A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF WARM AIR IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER TOOVERCOME INITIALLY.DESPITE THIS DELAY IN THE CHANGEOVER, SNOW AMOUNTS WERE NOTLOWERED AS STRONG DYNAMICAL COOLING AND HEAVIER PRECIP RATESHAVE THE POTENTIAL TO YIELD SNOWFALL RATES OF AROUND AN INCH ANHOUR DURING RUSH HOUR (ESPECIALLY IN EASTERN NJ) UNDER AMESOSCALE BAND FORMING TO THE NW OF THE DEEPENING COASTAL LOW.THE BULK OF THE ACCUMULATING SNOW IS EXPECTED TO FALL BETWEEN 4-9AM FOR THE I-95 CORRIDOR AND BETWEEN 5 AND 10 AM FARTHER EASTTOWARD THE NJ AND DE COAST. THIS COINCIDES WITH RUSH HOUR, SOPLEASE GIVE YOURSELF CONSIDERABLY EXTRA TIME TO GET TO YOURDESTINATION IN THE MORNING AND EVEN CONSIDER DELAYING YOUR TRAVEL(IF POSSIBLE) IF THE ROADS BECOME SNOW COVERED DURING RUSH HOUR.ARGUABLY THERE IS A SLIGHT BOOST OF CONFIDENCE THAT SNOWFALLFORECAST IS IN GOOD SHAPE WITH THE SIMULATED SNOWFALL FROM THELATEST 00Z HRRRX USING A VARIABLE DENSITY JUST ABOUT MATCHESOURS. THIS FORECAST PARAMETER FROM THE HRRRX PERFORMED EXTREMELYWELL WITH THE BLIZZARD TWO WEEKS AGO THOUGH THE SETUPS FOR THESETWO EVENTS ARE VASTLY DIFFERENT. NOTE THE PARAMETER FROM THEHRRR/HRRRX OR ANY OTHER MODELS THAT ASSUMES A 10:1 SNOW RATIO FORTHIS EVENT WILL BE OVERDONE AS IT DOESN`T TAKE INTO ACCOUNTTHERMAL PROFILES THAT ALTER THE MICROPHYSICS, MIXING AND SURFACEMELTING (WHICH ALL ARE IMPORTANT FACTORS IN THIS EVENT). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Rjay - thanks for the Euro maps - looks almost identical from 12Z earlier to 0Z now. Hoping we get our 3-4" in northern Middlesex County... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Sleet really coming down here. Temps falling into the upper 30s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Some pretty strong wind gusts within the past 5 mins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 KOKX radar went down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 LGA reporting RASN now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Light Snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 ARW has 30 cm + / 12 in + out near Port Jeff / Mt Sinai...its well above freezing at the moment... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Temp down to 38 with rain and snow falling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 I just noticed they put in a permanent ASOS at HTO. I guess we lost another real observer although they didn't always issue an observation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Sound of moderate sleet woke me up. Kew Gardens , near jfk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 good burst of snow moving though. Temp 33.7 Highland Lakes, NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Snowing at a good clip here in White Plains. No stickage yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 37 and light snow at 3am CPK. Light mixed near JFK now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 65% snow 35% rain Kew Gardens Hills. All out transition near Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Light snow falling here, starting to stick on some of the colder surfaces. Temp 35 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 GSP from exit 123 to 151, rain the whole way. Things need to happen fast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JohnnyDop Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Mostly if not 100% snow here central Nassau. Grass and cars turning white. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JohnnyDop Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Even my street has begun to whiten up. Commute is going to be a mess at this rate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Just started the flop to snow in bloomfield Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Temp dropping like a rock, now down to 34. Should fall below freezing over the next hour or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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