Guest Pamela Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 JFK will probably do okay, the temps now are more within reach for a changeover to be legit at 09z. The measurement at the airport may come in low but the guy across the bay in Cederhurst will measure 5 or 6 in his backyard Not really any arctic air (at the surface at least) plunging southeastward...its 41.5 F at Port Jeff and 34.5 F at Norfolk CT...70 miles to my north and perched at 1337 feet a.s.l. Its going to snow...but in areas that traditionally struggle in these borderline temperature scenarios...odds are, they will be true to form. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshack Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 38F and all liquid here so far.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 38F and all liquid here so far.. Here is Central Park for the past few hours: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherlogix Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 JFK will probably do okay, the temps now are more within reach for a changeover to be legit at 09z. The measurement at the airport may come in low but the guy across the bay in Cederhurst will measure 5 or 6 in his backyard its actually Inwood across the bay.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherlogix Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 This will be like March 99, I had 9 inches in Merrick and JFK despite being under similar echoes had 3 or 4 I was thinking about this exact storm today; I lived in queens at the time, not far from JFK. I can assure you 3-4" was a good measurement at JFK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Canadian Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 I was thinking about this exact storm today; I lived in queens at the time, not far from JFK. I can assure you 3-4" was a good measurement at JFK. When I was young and under a similar situation I would stay up all night looking for the change over that never came. Hopefully for you guys, it does! Times have certainly changed, there was no internet then, no access to models by the average public, etc.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Looking at radar, snow mixing in CT already. Cold air funneling down CT river,which would explain why I'm cooling pretty quick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 2-4 seems like a good number for NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 38F and all liquid here so far.. And it should remain liquid for next few hours in your location. Mine too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 2-4 seems like a good number for NYC3-6 is a better call. 3 inches for midtown 6 for the Bronx and eastern queens I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Here is Central Park for the past few hours: Interesting to see the dewpoint drop even as the rain commences. That's the infiltration of colder drier air that is going to make our snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Looking at radar, snow mixing in CT already. Cold air funneling down CT river,which would explain why I'm cooling pretty quick. With the NNE wind you have cooled quickly to roughly the water temperature in the sound. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 44/26 in the park. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Weatherfox mos is already busting with the dewpoints. 44/26 right now at knyc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 LGA dewpoint all the way down to 27 now. This front running precip sort of slows things down a bit, we saw this I believe with the super bowl event 2 years ago, some precip snuck in when we were trying to cool the DPs and everyone panicked but when the dry air is just north like that it's going to get pulled in. My only change right now maybe to delay the snow changeover to 10z in NYC but it could easily still come at 0830-09Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 37/27 63% RH the cold airs coming.. I've dropped 4 degrees since 11pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 LGA dewpoint all the way down to 27 now. This front running precip sort of slows things down a bit, we saw this I believe with the super bowl event 2 years ago, some precip snuck in when we were trying to cool the DPs and everyone panicked but when the dry air is just north like that it's going to get pulled in. My only change right now maybe to delay the snow changeover to 10z in NYC but it could easily still come at 0830-09Zit was a Monday day after the Super Bowl. Monday February 3rd 2014 if I remember correctly. It was 64 degrees on that Super Bowl Sunday, Monday morning was raining and than it changed to heavy snow. It was a bit of a colder solution and different outcome. NYC ended up with 8 inches of nice snow!I'm excited for tomorrow cause it'll be a heavy wet snow but I don't think we'll get 8 inches. 5 would be a great win! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Dew point is 35° and temperature is 40.0 roof and ground level. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 LGA dewpoint all the way down to 27 now. This front running precip sort of slows things down a bit, we saw this I believe with the super bowl event 2 years ago, some precip snuck in when we were trying to cool the DPs and everyone panicked but when the dry air is just north like that it's going to get pulled in. My only change right now maybe to delay the snow changeover to 10z in NYC but it could easily still come at 0830-09Z Warmth is always overrated in the height of winter, with the heavy precip NYC/LGA WILL BE 30-33 and dumping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Short terms indicate the changeover starting to commence around 0300... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 By 4am NYC is heavy snow, mod/light into LHV, and it just dumps from there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Warmth is always overrated in the height of winter, with the heavy precip NYC/LGA WILL BE 30-33 and dumping. With an isothermal sounding and heavy precip, it would dump in April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Sleeting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 With an isothermal sounding and heavy precip, it would dump in April.or October. Both have happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Sleeting Lovely, id love to lose QPF to sleet as accumulation would be quicker...as you said that I heard pinging, probably 70/30 rain sleet. Happy days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 34.9F dewpoint - 29F expect all snow at my house Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 By 4am NYC is heavy snow, mod/light into LHV, and it just dumps from therewhat time does it show it ending Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Sleet in Manhattan. Pretty loud...love the sound. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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