packfan98 Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 The 12z GFS piques my curiousity. GEFS agrees. Man the big city folks to our north could be in for a big surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted February 4, 2016 Author Share Posted February 4, 2016 The 12z GFS piques my curiousity. This is what I start threads when my spider senses tingle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 The 12z Euro tries to get that GFS jackpot zone going, but it's not as heavy, but there's still some flakes and maybe some light accumulations. Boston gets a good bit of snow, of course... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Is a cold front coming through? I don't want my surprise to be rain!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 HRRR'ed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 looks similar to the 12z gfs. not a bad look. will be a good indicator tonight when we get in range a little better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted February 4, 2016 Author Share Posted February 4, 2016 HRRR'ed! LOL... I know it's over now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Glad to see the mountains doing work on the HRRR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Maybe whatever the disturbance is, it'll bring it's own cold air?? Currently 58 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 The rpm model showed a blip of precip right over GSP at about 11:30 pm tonight, and then no more! CLT looks golden though! Main problem with this is, it won't be out of the 40s or 50s by 11:30! On to the clipper rain Monday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 The rpm model showed a blip of precip right over GSP at about 11:30 pm tonight, and then no more! CLT looks golden though! Main problem with this is, it won't be out of the 40s or 50s by 11:30! On to the clipper rain Monday! I think just seeing snow fall from the sky will be a huge victory for somebody. No way this accumulates anywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted February 4, 2016 Author Share Posted February 4, 2016 18z GFS still holding on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 As soon as I open my mouth of course the 18z GFS shows a little more change over snow for portions of NC & SC. Still would be minimal accumulations but maybe we see some flakes fly: http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?image=data%2Fgfs%2F18%2Fgfs_namer_018_dom_precip_type.gif&model=gfs&area=namer&storm=&cycle=18¶m=dom_precip_type&fhr=018&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=M&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20160204+18+UTC&ps=model&use_mins=no&scrollx=0&scrolly=0 Edit: beat me to it Josh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted February 4, 2016 Author Share Posted February 4, 2016 As soon as I open my mouth of course the 18z GFS shows a little more change over snow for portions of NC & SC. Still would be minimal accumulations but maybe we see some flakes fly: http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?image=data%2Fgfs%2F18%2Fgfs_namer_018_dom_precip_type.gif&model=gfs&area=namer&storm=&cycle=18¶m=dom_precip_type&fhr=018&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=M&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20160204+18+UTC&ps=model&use_mins=no&scrollx=0&scrolly=0 Edit: beat me to it Josh I never expected to be a big event... but a dusty to a half inch isn't out of the realm of possibility in the CLT and surrounding areas. At the right time it could even delay or cancel school in the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 I never expected to be a big event... but a dusty to a half inch isn't out of the realm of possibility in the CLT and surrounding areas. At the right time it could even delay or cancel school in the morning. all we can do now is track the radar and temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted February 4, 2016 Author Share Posted February 4, 2016 all we can do now is track the radar and temps. With 528s overhead, I'll take my chances! And then there's this... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Been falling through the 50s all day and I'm now well into the mid 40s. Raining moderate and steady for the past few hous again, And of course its a cold rain. Latest NAM for tomorrow morning. Since the general consensus was that the NAM got a lot right about the last event, lets see how well this verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Scools are going to have a tough call with this here. Don't think much would stick on the roads, but it hasn't taken much in the past to cause a mess if everyone leaves school and work at the same time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Can't believe nobody posted this: HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 403 PM EST THU FEB 4 2016 NCZ007>011-021>027-038>041-052115- PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE- ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-WAKE- 403 PM EST THU FEB 4 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. RAIN MAY BRIEFLY MIX WITH OR CHANGE COMPLETELY TO SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT BEFORE QUICKLY ENDING FROM WEST TO EAST. AN ISOLATED DUSTING OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE ON GRASSY AND ELEVATED SURFACES. NO TRAVEL IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 SREF plumes snowfall trend for GSO: 03z: 0.00" 09z: 0.02" 15z: 0.20" 21z: 0.34" All-in! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Scools are going to have a tough call with this here. Don't think much would stick on the roads, but it hasn't taken much in the past to cause a mess if everyone leaves school and work at the same time. Low around 39. Don't thing rapid freezing of roadways is going to be an issue for work or schools this time around, Brick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 latest hrrr, looks good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderwolf Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 I don't think temps will drop fast enough here. Currently at 45/43 after being at 47/44 last hour. Nice NNE wind though 13G18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Temps dropping here alot faster than I would have thought! Down to 43 from 56 at 5, and a ripping N wind! Some light rain returns showing up near Shetleyville Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Temps dropping here alot faster than I would have thought! Down to 43 from 56 at 5, and a ripping N wind! Some light rain returns showing up near Shetleyville There UL is about to cross the mountains. So next couple of hours expect the radar returns near GSP to GSO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Turner Team Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Snowing and sleeting lightly in Roanoke, VA. 38 F Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 If you look on radar the virga returns are really growing. From LYN ROA to GSO. This may turn into a 1-2 somewhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southernskimmer Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Light to moderate sleet in Browns Summit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 42/26 (WB 35.8) with -RN at 1 AM. The BL is on fire... Need to wet bulb quickly and hope for more CAA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southernskimmer Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Now light rain in Browns Summit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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