NCSNOW Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 wonder if that guy that bought frying pan shoals from the govt is living out there still. He's gonna get plastered if he is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 wonder if that guy that bought frying pan shoals from the govt is living out there still. He's gonna get plastered if he is Chase? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 It still a little more west than the 12z at hour 48. We really don't need much. I dont want to see a NW trend until tomorrow night lol....baby steps is what we want. This thing is right where I want it.....better to be sitting on a chance of a little snow and trend to a lot than be in the bullseye and watch it slip away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
QC_Halo Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Fixed I trust this forum much more as far as What I want to hear goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goldman75 Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 That isn't what I said. What I said is I trust a more honest answer here than a meteorologist on tv playing it safe to cover his ass for the masses watching. Don't fix what isn't broken brother! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RubiksDestroyer Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Looks to me like the 18z GFS trended west just slightly. Not much improvement, but it's a start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Looks to me like the 18z GFS trended west just slightly. Not much improvement, but it's a start. it did, 50-75 mile shift w with enc getting a nice snow. need to see another shift w at 00z. im still not giving up as the euro ens has several members a good deal W of the op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 wonder if that guy that bought frying pan shoals from the govt is living out there still. He's gonna get plastered if he is Yep --- they have quite an active Facebook page. https://www.facebook.com/fryingpan.tower/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Weather Channel did a story on them as well... So yeah, a chase would work https://weather.com/series/great-outdoors/video/the-scariest-bed-and-breakfast-in-the-world?pl=pl-editor-picks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Quick check of the 15z SREF plumes shows a mean of 1-2" for MYR to ILM, NMB suite is more excited. Prob map for >1" in the 20-30% range south of MYR and up towards PGV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Quick check of the 15z SREF plumes shows a mean of 1-2" for MYR to ILM, NMB suite is more excited. Prob map for >1" in the 20-30% range south of MYR and up towards PGV. sref.JPG I think your area definitely has the best chance of seeing at least a little bit of snow. Not so sure about my area; I'm on the line of a chance of something and nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 There a plume that shows 20" in Raleigh and 9-10" here. Carolina Crusher repeat? Haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Quick check of the 15z SREF plumes shows a mean of 1-2" for MYR to ILM, NMB suite is more excited. Prob map for >1" in the 20-30% range south of MYR and up towards PGV. sref.JPG Slowly reeling this one in, 6" or bust though......ok 4" since that will give us 100% climo.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Quick check of the 15z SREF plumes shows a mean of 1-2" for MYR to ILM, NMB suite is more excited. Prob map for >1" in the 20-30% range south of MYR and up towards PGV. i really dont see the models having the qpf shield nailed down perfectly 3 days out, i think we see this tick w as we get within 48. not sure itll be enough for my area, but id love this look in eastern/coastal sc/nc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 5, 2016 Author Share Posted February 5, 2016 Sure had a lot of rain today here. Was that much rain in the forecast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 5, 2016 Author Share Posted February 5, 2016 There a plume that shows 20" in Raleigh and 9-10" here. Carolina Crusher repeat? Haha. Oh yeah! Carolina Crusher 2: Electric Boogaloo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Sure had a lot of rain today here. Was that much rain in the forecast? Oh yeah! Carolina Crusher 2: Electric Boogaloo I had to check to see if I was in the banter thread... I wasn't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Sure had a lot of rain today here. Was that much rain in the forecast? Wrong thread ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 5, 2016 Author Share Posted February 5, 2016 Just wondering if the amount we received was forecasted right. Maybe we could get more than forecasted with this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 18z Frenchie went boom! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 5, 2016 Author Share Posted February 5, 2016 Viva la France! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Next frame, B? What's the link for this model? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Next frame, B? What's the link for this model? http://meteocentre.com/models/models.php?lang=en&mod=arpege And wtf @ the 540s on that frame. Cold rain here.. speaking of the devil. Oh nevermind.. that's the 534 line haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 http://meteocentre.com/models/models.php?lang=en&mod=arpege And wtf @ the 540s on that frame. Cold rain here.. speaking of the devil. Oh nevermind.. that's the 534 line haha. Haha thanks man! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 http://meteocentre.com/models/models.php?lang=en&mod=arpege And wtf @ the 540s on that frame. Cold rain here.. speaking of the devil. Oh nevermind.. that's the 534 line haha. Meh, 850's look ok for you. If I were you I'd take my chances with heavy precip and hope for the best. I think Columbia would do fine if they could get in on a heavy pivoting band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 I just want to put this comparison for two storms here. It means nothing, but I am going to ride it until the 00z runs ruin my hopes. ARPEGE: FEB 1973: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHawk Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 I just want to put this comparison for two storms here. It means nothing, but I am going to ride it until the 00z runs ruin my hopes. ARPEGE: FEB 1973: Feb. 1973? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Feb. 1973? http://www.americanwx.com/models/raleighwx/studies/feb73.html Allan has a good writeup on it. The odds of this storm being anything like it for parts of GA/SC/NC are like 2%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disco-lemonade Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 at hour 36 the nam looks... dare I say, better? A little bit more digging on the NW side Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHawk Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 http://www.americanwx.com/models/raleighwx/studies/feb73.html Allan has a good writeup on it. The odds of this storm being anything like it for parts of GA/SC/NC are like 2%. Wow, 20" at Lake Marion...Thanks for sharing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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