CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Monday still is barely a brush to me I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 6, 2016 Author Share Posted February 6, 2016 Lots of worry over nothing. It's going to snow in the Monday thru Wednesday period. That much we know. Amounts TBD Use an ensemble approach until tonight's 00z runs when the op runs will begin to get a clue and tomorrow we start looking at hi res stuff I agree. It will definitely snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 6, 2016 Author Share Posted February 6, 2016 Monday still is barely a brush to me I think. I bet we get a drastically different set of model solutions about 24hrs from now. It's a tricky little setup again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 6, 2016 Author Share Posted February 6, 2016 But it would seem the second storm will be the one we watch and not the prior Monday system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 eduggs bringing the reality stick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 6, 2016 Author Share Posted February 6, 2016 ALB is 357 days since their last 2" snowstorm. That's the mark I'm aiming for. Holy christ? Really? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 An if its not the second, It will the third, Lot of lobes of vorticity in the trough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 When does the Ukie come out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Man that 4km Nam is nice. Snowy day Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Your reading comprehension is subpar. The collective ability of this sub forum to sniff out snow threats has been dreadful for the past few weeks. Often hyping the long shots and downplaying the legit storms. I interpret it as a combination of being massively spoiled in recent winters and many not having more than a few years of model watching experience under their belts. yup, esne has had so many big snow events and those not as big but still where they capitalized best i think it has produced some weenie goggleism in many of those fine folks. even some of the best at times. it is understandable and i think just part of human nature. still though their contributions are immense and have given many hobbyists like myself an insight to weather i never could have dreamed of in past years. no more waiting for box afd or even more years back the 11pm or 5am news and as we all know by now that even that information is old by the time it airs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Go melt in a different thread then. no...you are wrong, he makes important contributions here just as you do. please be nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 eduggs bringing the reality stick There seems to be two conversations going on....those looking for a "storm" and those talking about 2-5" over 2-3 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Holy christ? Really? This is like the 2011-2012 period in Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 12z gfs shows ~6"+ for most of ct, ri, and eastern ma through 120 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 I bet we get a drastically different set of model solutions about 24hrs from now. It's a tricky little setup again. I just think Monday isn't really for SNE. Maybe the Cape is grazed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 There seems to be two conversations going on....those looking for a "storm" and those talking about 2-5" over 2-3 days. It was easier looking a few days back when that first s/w was moving east of the FL coast and was non factor which allowed the second wave to develop and move north up the coast, Now we have a series of weak s/w in the trough that just bring mood snows over several days to the area kind of IVT like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Lol how many little lows does the GFS pop in the next week? Five? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 12z GGEM looks similar to the 12z Nam with the monday system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 6, 2016 Author Share Posted February 6, 2016 I just think Monday isn't really for SNE. Maybe the Cape is grazed. That thing is plowing OTS it seems. Trough will produce an event of some type here though after. Everything has been trending NW this winter though so I'm hesitant to rule anything out right now especially after I laughed at this past one that gave me 7". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Mood snows over 3 days here Varying levels of overcast It is what it is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 The inverted trough is going to be really hard to pinpoint it. GFS has it near NYC while GGEM and Euro have it further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 6, 2016 Author Share Posted February 6, 2016 I'm not even buying it as an inverted trof yet. Definitely wait 24hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 INV love coming north. Usually when modeled in SNE end up in Maine. Bring that's it's now modeled in NJ is good for SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 http://boston.cbslocal.com/2016/02/05/more-snow-chances-ahead/ Fisher thinks it jiggles west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 There seems to be two conversations going on....those looking for a "storm" and those talking about 2-5" over 2-3 days. That is often the case in here. We could get like 7" over 40 hours...and both sides would spike footballs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Despite that, Monday could just turn into one of those widespread light snows with maybe a few heavier embedded bands near the coast. After that, what a mess. The lack of baroclinic zone makes the low pressure develop not very classic looking with an inv trough appeal on the GFS. As the troughs digs in and little pieces of energy round the bend, it keeps an inv trough look just offshore. This screams of weird mesoscale features going on. Someone may do very well while other only grab a little snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 6, 2016 Author Share Posted February 6, 2016 That is often the case in here. We could get like 7" over 40 hours...and both sides would spike footballs. It could be either at this point, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 http://boston.cbslocal.com/2016/02/05/more-snow-chances-ahead/ Fisher thinks it jiggles west Can someone post the CMC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 @Harveywcvb Could be a snowy week coming up..may b snowing more often than not, although amts. uncertain #wcvb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Snow Mon into Wed. Who is going to say no to that?Maybe down your way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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