RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 HRRR keying on the same weenie band from ELI thru NRI to BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Yeah, I'm mildly skeptical but also trust Burbank has a met and it seems like the precip shield on this beast is pretty robust E to W unlike some of our more tightly wound nukes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FRWEATHA Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Does it keep snowing into Wed. as was depicted yesterday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Yeah, I'm mildly skeptical but also trust Burbank has a met and it seems like the precip shield on this beast is pretty robust E to W unlike some of our more tightly wound nukes.here's a thought, we are weenies and know the difference but look at the GFS evolution would anyone else know that there are two separate systems potentially. Look at the 3 day qpf map. Since every Met here hates any type of snowfall map,I will just post the QPF map.You figure out using your own wit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobertSul Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 18z GFS through 36 hour total, valid Tuesday 6z. GFS.png Don't get too giddy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Do most of you agree that this will be a "fluffy snow" vs what we had on the last event ? Yes, this won't be backbusting like the last one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 here's a thought, we are weenies and know the difference but look at the GFS evolution would anyone else know that there are two separate systems potentially. Look at the 3 day qpf map. Since every Met here hates any type of snowfall map,I will just post the QPF map.You figure out using your own wit. I was thinking that too. Box could just extend the through time of their map if the coastal is light. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 18z gfs is off already.I know only one thing for certain...don't trust the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Not too impressed looking a bit more closely. I guess I could see 3"-5" for HFD/HVN but model soundings and other things aren't really getting me stoked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Wow wankum just went big. Says someone's doing 15-16. Fluff is his favorite term. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RI Rob Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Yea based off these models I'm thinking 4-8 in Boston. Not overly impressive yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 NECN going 10" from North Shore down through Boston and the south shore, 6" from outside 128 to 495. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Where's my OES enhancement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Wow wankum just went big. Says someone's doing 15-16. Fluff is his favorite term.He's just ripping and reading BOX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Wow wankum just went big. Says someone's doing 15-16. Fluff is his favorite term. OES...localized. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 It's still a game of 30-40 miles really. We just have to watch that initial arc of moisture. Models seem to struggle with that. This is not like the last one and expectations should be kept in check Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 This is not like the last one and expectations should be kept in check How so? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Wow wankum just went big. Says someone's doing 15-16. Fluff is his favorite term. Mike Wankum @MetMikeWCVB NewsCenter 5 is on right now. I'm detailing tomorrow's snow storm with @jcmonahan & @ReidLamberty . #wcvb pic.twitter.com/8QziSlWGlg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 This is not like the last one and expectations should be kept in checkit's not like it's 24 hrs out though. Literally for the Cape it's a difference of potentially life threatening daytime conditions to something not unusual. High stakes stuff on a Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Diego Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 This is not like the last one and expectations should be kept in check Interesting nowcasting situation though. At 5pm, bp at 29.52 at Hatteras, while 29.40 at the Diamond Shoals platform, 13 miles to the ese. In addition, winds now from a northerly component at Hatteras, but at 51 degrees at Diamond Shoals. So the center of the lps shouldn't be that far to it's se, closer than depicted by the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 How so? The last system the slp was moving back NW as we had higher heights out ahead of the system, This one we are relying on the mid levels centers to be further west with some influence of the ULL to tug the precip shield further NW, The track of the slp has been steady and It comes down to how the upper levels are handled Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 it's not like it's 24 hrs out though. Literally for the Cape it's a difference of potentially life threatening daytime conditions to something not unusual. High stakes stuff on a Monday. It looks to be more in the track of the mid level centers as the slp seems to have not wavered in track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 I like 3"-5" for most of CT. Maybe a heavier band out east but I think 3-5 is a good call now. Here's my latest thinking in case anyone is interested ----> http://www.ryanhanrahan.com/2016/02/07/another-storm/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 School closings beginning to role in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Interesting nowcasting situation though. At 5pm, bp at 29.52 at Hatteras, while 29.40 at the Diamond Shoals platform, 13 miles to the ese. In addition, winds now from a northerly component at Hatteras, but at 51 degrees at Diamond Shoals. So the center of the lps shouldn't be that far to it's se, closer than depicted by the models. At E Hatteras buoy about 150 miles E of Hatteras, winds are still from 90º, so it looks like the low is still south of there. Quite the pictures of those 20+ foot seas. http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=41001 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cja1987 Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 I dont hate the BOX map, lets stop living and dying by each model run. I think we get a nice firehose somewhere like early march 13 south of BOS. Low was way off the coast then too and i dont think many models had more than 6". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
butterfish55 Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 No school for Bridgewater-Raynham. Makes sense due to the Blizzard warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 I like 3"-5" for most of CT. Maybe a heavier band out east but I think 3-5 is a good call now. Here's my latest thinking in case anyone is interested ----> http://www.ryanhanrahan.com/2016/02/07/another-storm/ Always interested. Are you just forecasting through tomorrow or including any snow that might come from the ivt? I do feel that is a bit of a wildcard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 I like 3"-5" for most of CT. Maybe a heavier band out east but I think 3-5 is a good call now. Here's my latest thinking in case anyone is interested ----> http://www.ryanhanrahan.com/2016/02/07/another-storm/ "Way too much snow" in some forecasts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 I dont hate the BOX map, lets stop living and dying by each model run. I think we get a nice firehose somewhere like early march 13 south of BOS. Low was way off the coast then too and i dont think many models had more than 6". which storm early march? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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