Connecticut Appleman Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 To my untrained eye, the water vapor imagery has a fairly strong northerly component to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 I'm pretty sure this will correct NW a little more. Guidance appears to be behind the curve again. I'm skeptical on a monster blockbuster but a solid warning event is definitely becoming more likely. We will have to watch the blizzard potential on the Cape and South Shore though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 NWS BOX just tweeted out this 6 minutes ago. Twitter › NWSBoston Guidance trending NW with the storm so risk for heavy snow will likely extend further west across SNE with heavier accum near the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Just a really nice moisture feed on tbe RGEM, long duration periods of snow for with light to moderate amounts for many interior folks, 2-4, 3-6 type amounts through 48 with more in that deform band to the east. We take. Wintry appeal followed by the Artic express. I know we need some more big boys to try and reach climo inland but it's certainly better than a week of dry/ cold or warmth/ rain/melting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Ive been a HRRR whore with the events so far, and its done very well imo. Looking forward to hugging it once again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nwbostonwx Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfenn1117 Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Super Bowl Sunday with incoming snow much of the week and an arctic blast for the long weekend. There will be some winners and losers but that's life. Enjoy it folks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Canadian with warning snows back to NYC/NY border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Is this thing really still over 1000mb? Someone in the southeast forum was saying as much, but satellite imagery certainly suggests otherwise to me. I still think the models are going to be playing catch-up. 18z and 00z cycles may pique my interest more than the football game lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 It has been bust in a positive sense for these last two storms, Don't recall seeing that happen twice in a row inside 48 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 started an obs thread http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/47828-feb-8th-monster-ocean-storm-obs-and-hallucinations/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 ggem jacks ORH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Nice shift on the GFS. Definitely worth getting excited about for eastern areas. Several inches of snow likely. Higher ceiling where enhancement/coastal front/banding develops. Regionwide heavy snow is still unlikely. I liked your enthusiasm until i read that last sentence Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Canadian with warning snows back to NYC/NY border Get me over 4" and I'll be mailing you hard to get IPA's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 I'm pretty sure this will correct NW a little more. Guidance appears to be behind the curve again. I'm skeptical on a monster blockbuster but a solid warning event is definitely becoming more likely. We will have to watch the blizzard potential on the Cape and South Shore though. Like this assessment ... but with the caveat urgency with tidal concerns with the schedule spring/new moon... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Get me over 4" and I'll be mailing you hard to get IPA's. LOL..I think we can deliver the goods Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 ggem jacks ORH. ????? I'd say James and Bergen County, nJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 ?????Look at ORH on that map. Brighter colors than surrounding areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Definitely a SE Mass winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 ????? Congrats Hazey Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 ????? I'd say James and Bergen County, nJ tropical tidbits clown maps are awful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FRWEATHA Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Definitely a SE Mass winterAs has been the last two. This will make the third year in a row the Cape gets a blizzard warning if it materializes. Can't remember a streak like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Look at ORH on that map. Brighter colors than surrounding areas. Gotcha. Not much of a jp--it's pretty uniform for the areas that have had snow this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 tropical tidbits clown maps are awful. Wow--that's just a little different than the other one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 tropical tidbits clown maps are awful. I think if you grabbed the 10:1 off of pivotal they would be the same seeing thats what tidbit's are based on, Kuchera method is based off of higher ratios Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 tropical tidbits clown maps are awful. Why would that show so little on the Cape? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 I think if you grabbed the 10:1 off of pivotal they would be the same seeing thats what tidbit's are based on, Kuchera method is based off of higher ratios yea, your right. dunno why such a big difference esp in NH/ME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 ????? I'd say James and Bergen County, nJ Confused. Which GGEM map is more accurate. One shows 5 to 6 for wester CT. The other 2 to 3? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 ah, kuchera derived ratios take into affect greater than 10:1 in areas that are ripe for it and less than 10:1 in coastal sections. but should that be the case instead of using a smoothed out 10:1? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 I think most of us get it good going all in for this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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