Go Kart Mozart Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Pressure falls are in tight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Ok rgem brings me on board for accum snows for wct. Couple more ticks through 0z please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 That's a big shift on RGEM. Now lets get this baby right on the benchmark Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Look, its nice that we are going to have a snowy week....appreciate what we get, etc.....but give me a break with the Feb 1969 and Jan 2011 references. Its ok to not have a KU, but you kind of need to have heavy snow to compare this to some of the snowiest months in history. I mean, why weren't there more Earl and 1938 comparisons? great post...and a foot of windswept snow on the cape is nothing compared to some of the other storms they have had in the past ten to fifteen years...geez be nice to get something like that close enough to the coast so everyone gets in on it...even a foot or so for most of sne before changeover or dryslotting and waist deep in the distant interior...id almost like to see something like that before being waist deep here by some miracle deform band from the perfect noreaster delivered by two blue eyed unicorns high fiving each other Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Lots of snow coming to a lot of places this week.All the way to Eduggles..We ain't done bumping west Glad you're thinking of me. CMC, GFS, and Euro consensus 4 day total for ALB through 4 days is 0.05 in. liquid. And maybe a tenth for me. Call it 0 and 1". But all guidance has been way overdoing QPF to the NW of coastal lows this season. However, there's some evidence on the mesos of a possible weak deform. band (mid-level convergence) way NW of the offshore low, running from PA up through CNY. I'm going to watch for that on today's guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Glad you're thinking of me. CMC, GFS, and Euro consensus 4 day total for ALB through 4 days is 0.05 in. liquid. And maybe a tenth for me. Call it 0 and 1". But all guidance has been way overdoing QPF to the NW of coastal lows this season. However, there's some evidence on the mesos of a possible weak deform. band (mid-level convergence) way NW of the offshore low, running from PA up through CNY. I'm going to watch for that on today's guidance. I'm pulling for you. I had no clue ALB was in such a snow hold recently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 6-12 fir mby and I believe that is the middle ground, not the upper limit. This winter has suddenly turned fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 12z RGEM precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 I'm pulling for you. I had no clue ALB was in such a snow hold recently. Thanks. I'm excited about the ocean storm. I hope places get buried. It's fun when people don't see it coming at all. Around here there's bare ground up to the 2500ft Taconic ridges. I've never seen it this bad. It's much worse up in NNY and VT where the entire economy revolves around winter rec. They are hurting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Easy 1-3/4 west of River 6-12 fir mby and I believe that is the middle ground, not the upper limit. This winter has suddenly turned fun. I'm happy for you, but please don't rub it in to those for whom this winter has absolutely sucked like few others. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Would love to see the global a take at least a step toward the meso's but suddenly it's looking like a 3rd 8"+ event in just over 2 weeks is possible here. 8" would put me around 28" for the season which would be actually slightly above normal I believe. Anyone know what KPVD averages? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Looks like the models want to throw a band back to the west running from Bellingham MA into NW RI and graze ECT, deform band? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 I'm happy for you, but please don't rub it in to those for whom this winter has absolutely sucked like few others. Thoughts and prayers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 To clarify: There is approximately zero chance this trends into a blockbuster We are looking at multiple timeframes between Monday and Thursday that could provide snow The snowstorm's size will be considerably large when it gets to our latitude. It seems it could potentially provide accumulations back to about ORH and even more if it breaks correctly. The first storm on Monday could provide many a moderate snowfall if it trends that way in the next day. There could be impressive localized totals in coastal eastern massachusetts with the onshore flow and coastal front expected to develop. These localized maxes could provide substantial snowfall for people Cape Ann to the Canal. While the two storms are completely different, I could foresee a similar spread of snow from that event in this one The storms most intense rates will likely be confined in the OES regions of the area along the coastal front After the first storm passes there are several chances at snow for the entire SNE area but it remains to be seen whether or not we can formulate areas of steady snow or just off and on localized accums Probably won't be able to narrow down details of this system until some point tomorrow ? that's a pretty big gap there, ...particularly when "details" will mean all or nothing for the western side of this thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 12z GFS looks a tic or two west at 0z Mon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 RGEM confirms it in my eyes.. 6 inches or more at least back to HFD /CEF and 8+ to ORH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Tell ya what, regardless of how this ultimately plays out, this sure is pretty on satellite. Sucker is going nuclear in the Gulf Stream. This is a Bright Boy alert. This is not a drill. Was thinking the same thing a while ago ... going to be a spectacular satellite cinema! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 thing of beauty! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Gfs slowly coming aboard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Mesos lead the way in these events and globals catch up. We may be seeing a shift in wx forecasting from now and beyond Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Mesos lead the way in these events and globals catch up. We may be seeing a shift in wx forecasting from now and beyond lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 mesos and DIT, on fire lately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 I'm happy for you, but please don't rub it in to those for whom this winter has absolutely sucked like few others. The difference between last winter and this is that we might get to pull HubbDave and Whineminster into the Debbie Club too. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rnaude241 Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 12z GFS is West of 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 mesos and DIT, on fire lately. KURO on a heater? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 As we saw with the MA blizzard last month, the mesos, may have an advantage resolving this very deep convection and how this translates into upper level height rises along the coast. Bingo! salient point... That exhaust will/could tend to feed-back in structurally preventing as much east bias in the deep layer track - this has been part in parcel, in addition with the total wave length (by the way) between the ridge over western NA and the trough in the OV being "too stretched" - it could certainly verify that way as an anomaly. Hell, ...anomalies are what this game is usually about. But, I also think that provides a sort of canvas of probability for this whole thing to wind up a bit west, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 The difference between last winter and this is that we might get to pull HubbDave and Whineminster into the Debbie Club too. Lol I know--last year we wound up pretty close to normal, it just sucked missing out on doing really well. This year just plain old sucks the big one. I'll take solace that I'll be in Boston tomorrow, but being in the city for snow doesn't exactly thrill me. Snow in the streets turning into brown slush. At least it'll look nice in the Granary graveyard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Much better persistent mood snows for CNE this run Mon night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanjn Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Quick map I whipped up. I think coastal areas in MA could see a little OE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 I know--last year we wound up pretty close to normal, it just sucked missing out on doing really well. This year just plain old sucks the big one. I'll take solace that I'll be in Boston tomorrow, but being in the city for snow doesn't exactly thrill me. Snow in the streets turning into brown slush. At least it'll look nice in the Granary graveyard. http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/47644-the-debra-spot/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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