Ginx snewx Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 At least you've figured it outRGEM 80 KM/ hr is 45 MPH, have to say with my trees still loaded hope tomorrow is a big melt day, RGEM makes me nervous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Why would anyone think that the NAM nailed the last storm?Yeah it was actually late to the party. Ukie was first and then it was the euro and rgem next tier closer. Nam was pretty east until the last couple runs. I can't remember if one of the clown models had it too...like the navgem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 I'm under a coastal flood watch too. That would be some serious flooding at 225' here. That WSW is for Plymouth county to the Cape only. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 anywho - i have no personal experience with France or Germany throwing their technological 2-cents into the fray of global models. who knows. do you guys know that about 3 days ago, that frankenmodel NAVGEM has a blizzard from NYC to PWM - CMC knows. I sent you the link. And yes. Navgem gets decent snows into most of SNE/Most east That's the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 RGEM 80 KM/ hr is 45 MPH, have to say with my trees still loaded hope tomorrow is a big melt day, RGEM makes me nervous For powdery snow though. This snow isn't gonna be wet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 CMC knows. I sent you the link. And yes. That's the NAM. I know. I answered first question and then posted map to his 2nd comment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 I covered that a few days ago. Late to the party pal.missed your post but you know I know my moon dates lol. Full moon goon to New Moon soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 For powdery snow though. This snow isn't gonna be wetwind bro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HimoorWx Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 That WSW is for Plymouth county to the Cape only.Odd. I got the alerts on my phone for WSW and CFW, and now they're gone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Yeah it was actually late to the party. Ukie was first and then it was the euro and rgem next tier closer. Nam was pretty east until the last couple runs. I can't remember if one of the clown models had it too...like the navgem. Yes the Navgem had it pretty consistently. Lost it a run or two but for the most part was on the northwest fringe on guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 wind bro I saw a story the CL&P was saying the tree damage was as bad as Sandy, is it that bad? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Fwiw navgem is warning snow eastern areas. Probably 0.75+ cape Ann down through Boston and se. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Fwiw navgem is warning snow eastern areas. Probably 0.75+ cape Ann down through Boston and se. Yeah it bumped west a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Yeah it was actually late to the party. Ukie was first and then it was the euro and rgem next tier closer. Nam was pretty east until the last couple runs. I can't remember if one of the clown models had it too...like the navgem. Classes all day. So, I take it the meso models are robust, and the globals snow at the 3"/week rate? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Honestly, given the last few weeks, I don't rule out anything lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Classes all day. So, I take it the meso models are robust, and the globals snow at the 3"/week rate? That's the short version. There are a couple fringe globals that show a hit like the navgem. But the primary globals are not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Honestly, given the last few weeks, I don't rule out anything lol. I think a reasonable aspiration here, not expectation, is for an 8-12" deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 That's the short version. There are a couple fringe globals that show a hit like the navgem. But the primary globals are not. Thanks. We 00z. We wait. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Honestly, given the last few weeks, I don't rule out anything lol. Honestly, given the last few months, we rule most stuff out lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Honestly, given the last few months, we rule most stuff out lol. Honestly, I would have swallowed a ski pole by now if I were you....either that, or rode a lift to the top of Mansfield, and taken a swan dive such that I was impaled by that useless snow stake next to your fabled picnic table. What you have endured is akin to being double-teamed by 2010 and 2012. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Fwiw....18z MAV has a lot of 6s in the eastern half of MA off the cape and south coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Fwiw....18z MAV has a lot of 6s in the eastern half of MA off the cape and south coast.Cuz GFS is so Far East. As it corrects west Mav says take em up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 We snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 In RGEM we trust. We snow (at least some) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 guys... does it really matter who says what, first ? lol... did you just join this board today? Welcome. If you look past all the guesses and AIT's, there's some really good objective analysis in here too Ray, not just globals vs. crazy mesos... toggle GFS and Euro vs. prior 2-3 runs, there's a definite (but small) tick northwest in the low track. Things that could be in flux on guidance to get this to tick even better: - underestimated Atlantic ridge within 24 hour leadtime... twice in 4 days? - correction of Tip's too long axis wavelength? - backing off further north of a CoastalWx s**t streak variant over Nova Scotia? Maybe too little leadtime to correct a bowling ball dropped so far south, but momentum of 12z-18z guidance today is northwest... along with the mechanisms listed above, there's plenty of precedent for this to continue shifting within 48 hours. All eyes on 0z suite... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 We snow I'll drink to that. Do you think it will be moisture starved with it closing off so early? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rnaude241 Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Eric Fisher - "IMO odds favor a significant snow event with coastal issues Monday. Fortunate if we miss, but plan on a hit. 6"+ potential BOS area -> SE" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 I assume that those talking snow are speaking of areas E of ORH? Nothing I'm seeing modeled is inspiring for WNE. Coating to an inch back here? Maybe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 lol... did you just join this board today? Welcome. If you look past all the guesses and AIT's, there's some really good objective analysis in here too Ray, not just globals vs. crazy mesos... toggle GFS and Euro vs. prior 2-3 runs, there's a definite (but small) tick northwest in the low track. Things that could be in flux on guidance to get this to tick even better: - underestimated Atlantic ridge within 24 hour leadtime... twice in 4 days? - correction of Tip's too long axis wavelength? - backing off further north of a CoastalWx s**t streak variant over Nova Scotia? Maybe too little leadtime to correct a bowling ball dropped so far south, but momentum of 12z-18z guidance today is northwest... along with the mechanisms listed above, there's plenty of precedent for this to continue shifting within 48 hours. All eyes on 0z suite... Euro actually has a little less snow than it did on the 00z run...other changes not withstanding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Euro actually has a little less snow than it did on the 00z run...other changes not withstanding. Noted, for posterity. We've a long way to go until I comb through everyone's posts and count the final tallies that determine the Accuracy Awards! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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