walthsnow Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 On 2/7/2016 at 11:14 PM, CoastalWx said: The hype is out of control right now. I agree. The 12z models were awesome though. Seems like things are swinging back the other direction now, will be happy with a few inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Conservative call from earlier this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 On 2/7/2016 at 11:17 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: ? i don't hear or see any hype is what I'm saying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 On 2/7/2016 at 11:18 PM, Bostonseminole said: i don't hear or see any hype is what I'm saying. I mean the media.....and the NWS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 SCW's take on things, a collaboration between Don(WxWatcher007), Tim and myself. We were debating going 4-8 in the eastern zone but thought 3-6 with some allowance for lollies higher would cover it. Discussion: http://www.southernconnecticutweather.com/forecasters-discussion/forecasters-discussion-and-snowmap-for-282016-storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 On 2/7/2016 at 11:18 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I mean the media.....and the NWS. i guess I've had it on the SB since 3 so not sure, as for NWS we will see how they do, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 On 2/7/2016 at 11:18 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I mean the media.....and the NWS.Meh. Most are around 6" BOS metro. Up to a foot in far SEMANot really much hype. Blizzard warnings will stir the pot though. Justifiably so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 nice CT maps fellas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ackwaves Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 On 2/7/2016 at 10:35 PM, Ginx snewx said: it's not like it's 24 hrs out though. Literally for the Cape it's a difference of potentially life threatening daytime conditions to something not unusual. High stakes stuff on a Monday. Tough forecast for out here. Rain to start. When does changeover happen? Intensity? OES factor? Many questions. I say 9" for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 On 2/7/2016 at 11:22 PM, NorEastermass128 said: Meh. Most are around 6" BOS metro. Up to a foot in far SEMA Not really much hype. Blizzard warnings will stir the pot though. Justifiably so. Yea, no hype. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 On 2/7/2016 at 9:58 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: WCVB I love on these maps how the snow amounts never end, all the way to the Pacific and to Canada. On 2/7/2016 at 11:13 PM, walthsnow said: Boston public schools closed already. Hoping for 6+ here That's ridiculous. If I can get 3", I'll call this a big win for western zones. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 I haven't heard any hype, must be a Boston thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 On 2/7/2016 at 11:25 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, no hype. lol, it's not like we all have blizzard warnings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 On 2/7/2016 at 11:27 PM, Ginx snewx said: I haven't heard any hype, must be a Boston thing. localized hype lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Nice map SR! Pretty similar call... bearish right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Diego Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 I think it's fair to say that the surface lps will be passing somewhere between Diamond Shoals and the East Hatteras Buoy-41001, where the bp is now 29.32, and the wind is from 97 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
walthsnow Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 On 2/7/2016 at 11:27 PM, moneypitmike said: I love on these maps how the snow amounts never end, all the way to the Pacific and to Canada. That's ridiculous. If I can get 3", I'll call this a big win for western zones. Definitely pulling for you to get 3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 On 2/7/2016 at 11:27 PM, Bostonseminole said: lol, it's not like we all have blizzard warnings.The NWS hypes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 a few people on FB or twitter equals hype. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 On 2/7/2016 at 11:33 PM, Ginx snewx said: The NWS hypes? talk to ray, he said it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 On 2/7/2016 at 10:54 PM, jhj said: shocking! FWIW, for the last storm we had more than NWS and the other 3 stations in CT. We are way under NWS on this one - while I think their forecast is possible I think it is an unlikely scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 On 2/7/2016 at 11:09 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I still think we could see somewhat of a positive bust. Agreed...I should have known better than to mention some sort of mechanics from Mar 2013 because now everyone started spinning it into a direct comparison of that storm. But what I meant was that when you have a 5H low well out out to the east but it is interacting with another one from the west...it will tend to pull the height lines back W and NW. That causes lift and divergence much further NW than is typical...Mar 2013 was an extreme example...we nearly got a full phase and it produced a huge easterly flow....this won't be like that, but the mechanism of drawing the lift much further NW is similar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 On 2/7/2016 at 11:33 PM, Ginx snewx said: The NWS hypes? Not sure if you can call it hype - but I think their forecast is probably overdone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 I've seen zero hype..... There is definite potential for serious hazards. I guess we should just forecast 2 inches and if you get 15 and blizzard conditions just shrug your shoulders and say "oh well" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Pretty soon we should see the surface low start to move SE for a few hours. NAM had it between 21z and 0z, curious if we see it in the mesoanalysis at 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 On 2/7/2016 at 11:38 PM, CT Rain said: Not sure if you can call it hype - but I think their forecast is probably overdone. Or most likely? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 On 2/7/2016 at 11:14 PM, CoastalWx said: The hype is out of control right now. I must say, I have to seriously agree! Blizzard warnings and what not? Bust potential is definitely a distinct possibility. Even up here where 3-6 is forecasted, is a bit on the high side I think! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 I live in the Boston area. I haven't heard hype. Btw it's a good bet that Wankum spoke to Harv and that's his forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 On 2/7/2016 at 11:40 PM, kdxken said: Or most likely? It's certainly possible but I would personally go with something lower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 On 2/7/2016 at 11:30 PM, Diego said: I think it's fair to say that the surface lps will be passing somewhere between Diamond Shoals and the East Hatteras Buoy-41001, where the bp is now 29.32, and the wind is from 97 degrees.Euro has a huge jump east by 0600, will be interesting to see what transpires from this point on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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