JC-CT Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 no but lol on kevin for referencing a hot linked imageYeah lolHere is the actual image Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 My (very) unprofessional assessment is probably off and maybe I shouldn't be focusing on the dew point for this type of event - but when I see a dew point in the upper 30's and not budging (except for one nudge up) that has a history of not always boding well for much snow down this way. But then again - my meteorological 'education' ends at watching John Ghiorse on channel 10 for 30 years and living next to the ocean for 50! You'll probably be raining heavily for a time...but then it will just flip to parachutes and you'll get smoked for a few hours. RGEM has you flipping around 7-8am. NAM is similar...around 8am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 I think you and I end up in the 7-10" range That could happen but I'm thinking at the moment it would be closer to the low end of your range...probably close to 6" but we'll see. That's my call ATTM. If Enfield gets the banding that most models are showing, it's 3-6 as we WETBULB down to freezing. If the rates aren't there than yes 1-3. We'll see how it sets up. I just don't think the western fringe is going to do that well and for a time I could see rain there while it's snowing at higher elevations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jenkins Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 My (very) unprofessional assessment is probably off and maybe I shouldn't be focusing on the dew point for this type of event - but when I see a dew point in the upper 30's and not budging (except for one nudge up) that has a history of not always boding well for much snow down this way. But then again - my meteorological 'education' ends at watching John Ghiorse on channel 10 for 30 years and living next to the ocean for 50! Check the Nam soundings on Pivotal Weather. It's cold overhead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 My (very) unprofessional assessment is probably off and maybe I shouldn't be focusing on the dew point for this type of event - but when I see a dew point in the upper 30's and not budging (except for one nudge up) that has a history of not always boding well for much snow down this way. But then again - my meteorological 'education' ends at watching John Ghiorse on channel 10 for 30 years and living next to the ocean for 50! One look says your name is thumpy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 There could be a crazy band in there somewhere...the way this is trending, you're going to have probably a nice stripe of -EPV as Tip mentioned and overlaid on the fronto....so don't be shocked to get a really intense band for a time. With that -EPV instability, might the possibility of a few rumbles show up? Also, at what height is the strongest fronto? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 That ginxy band on the Rgem would mean business Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 With that -EPV instability, might the possibility of a few rumbles show up? Also, at what height is the strongest fronto? Jim Cantore at the Mastiff? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 So is OceanStateJobLotWx meeting me at Springsteen or what? #SnowBeers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Woah, look at the total accums map. 18 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIcoastalWX Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 You'll probably be raining heavily for a time...but then it will just flip to parachutes and you'll get smoked for a few hours. RGEM has you flipping around 7-8am. NAM is similar...around 8am. Thanks. I respect your knowledge and education. (And I'll ignore the now 2 degree dew point rise in the last hour… lol). Seriously - thanks for the info.. I'll be reporting my obs starting in the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 So is OceanStateJobLotWx meeting me at Springsteen or what? #SnowBeers Well why didn't you pm him when he was on? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 RGEM laughs at earlier boundary layer issues for SE MA and CC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jenkins Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 RGEM continues with the idea that interior SE Mass gets lit up. Nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Well why didn't you pm him when he was on? I just got home. Dad is sick so I had to bring him to the Doc. Was on mobile. Gotta go back a few pages and find his account. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Woah, look at the total accums map. 18 12 Delivering the goods to SE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 RGEM laughs at earlier boundary layer issues for SE MA and CC. I have been ripping on BOX but.... What in the hell? Boundary issues? I'm looking at a column that should flip with these rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 4, 2016 Author Share Posted February 4, 2016 Rgem with an inch melted back to the River. Low guys better take em up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Would be nice if the now cast show this continuing to come further west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 GFS is west Let the trends continue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Gfsssss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Heights over the atlantic go up up up with our snow totals each run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 I just got home. Dad is sick so I had to bring him to the Doc. Was on mobile. Gotta go back a few pages and find his account. Sorry about Dad, wife is the same. look for the tall guy sweating his Uranus storm off wondering if things go south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 GFS is juiced. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 GFS still looks good! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 I am expecting incrementally smaller ticks until go-time. Every six hours, strengthen the shortwave a little and pump the ridge a little right from the get-go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Keep coming left baby, that a girl. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 I like the area by Foxboro/Sharon. Maybe a tick NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 There is an ULL that is moving west and causing the ridge to pump west. Look at the ULL NE of the Antilles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 4, 2016 Author Share Posted February 4, 2016 Feet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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