weathafella Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Hyannis Coop November 0.1 December 3.9 January 4.3 February 5.2 March 1.9 April 0.2 Wtf....is that actually New England?...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 This event will suck. Better off looking at the storm near the 10th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 That is an absolute horrific COOP Steve. That place is so inaccurate.CHH,God Coop data the reason I despise NCDC dataDecember 4.6 January 7.7 February 11.8 March 3.4 April 0.8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 This event will suck. Better off looking at the storm near the 10th. What event? There is no event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 I'm in the west trend camp for the Thurs. night/Fri. deal. I think this has room to come west. These waves can bring sneaky heavy precip that trains and backbuilds. Lower level temps look problematic though. Some combination of elevation and a bit more SLP development is needed. Next week threats are still very iffy. Gotta try to maximize what you can get in the short term. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Wtf....is that actually New England?...lol. Yeah but it's completely inaccurate...even CHH is probably low from everything I know of the Cape. ACK used to keep good records when they had an FAA observer, but that discontinued in like 1980 or 1981. ACK had averaged around 28-29". Anyways...off topic. I'm quite meh on this threat...maybe a sloppy coating for SE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 I average more than CHH and less than HYA. However if the NAM was right the sounding data from coolwx.com suggests 6" at least of snow on the back end of the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 GFS was pretty similar to 18z -- touch SE. GGEM on the other hand has accumulating snow for a lot of SNE and is probably close to advisory criteria in eastern areas. Euro made a big jump NW at 12z -- I'd want to see it do that again before I believe a solution like the one depicted above. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Better image. There's that advisory criteria from BOS-PVD and SE that I called for a few days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Tell me you're not just a little bit interested after the Ukie drops warning criteria amounts over most of the region(I don't have temps yet(Edit: From the meteograms I can see, I think it's about .5" of rain followed by ~8" of snow at BOS and .25" or so of rain followed by ~6" of snow at BDL), but I'm assuming everything in the second panel is snow considering that's after 12z Friday when guidance is in pretty good agreement on a snow column and I'd bet a bunch of the first panel is snow for interior areas as well. Regardless, WOW!!) While I don't buy it completely and won't until something else comes onboard like that, it's worth noting that sometimes, we fail to notice what's right under our noses as we chase longrange ideals. This might be one of those times... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 The snow line is probably around 495 on the Ukie at 60 hours based on 850 maps and 2m temps. It's pretty warm early on. I'll be intrigued if the Euro shows a big jump NW, but this one still isn't doing it for me right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Better image. There's that advisory criteria from BOS-PVD and SE that I called for a few days ago. Now wait for it to verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteLawns Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 out to 72. Hows it lookin folks? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2016 Author Share Posted February 3, 2016 The snow line is probably around 495 on the Ukie at 60 hours based on 850 maps and 2m temps. It's pretty warm early on. I'll be intrigued if the Euro shows a big jump NW, but this one still isn't doing it for me right now. It did Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2016 Author Share Posted February 3, 2016 Ukie is low end warning snows for a lot of folks This could be quite the surprising little event for folks that suddenly see snow in the tv forecasts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 EPS mean has flakes even making up to here. 0.25" line runs from IJD to BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 GFS is still a no-go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2016 Author Share Posted February 3, 2016 EPS mean has flakes even making up to here. 0.25" line runs from IJD to BOS. Quickly turning into a fun event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2016 Author Share Posted February 3, 2016 Also..there's now some some nice hits on JC-CT's GEFS whereas yesterday there was none Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Also..there's now some some nice hits on JC-CT's GEFS whereas yesterday there was noneWhich ones?I'm keeping one eye on it, and I have lost a lot of confidence in the gfs suite this year. I still favor a scraper though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2016 Author Share Posted February 3, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2016 Author Share Posted February 3, 2016 Which ones? I'm keeping one eye on it, and I have lost a lot of confidence in the gfs suite this year. I still favor a scraper though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Euro took a decent jump NW -- not as exciting as the GGEM/Ukie, but it brings the 1" of snow line to just NW of BOS-PVD and the 2" line just SE with 3-5" on the cape and low end warning snows on ACK/MVY. Ensembles are more bullish(Similar to the GGEM from last night) as Dendrite said. 6z RGEM also looks pretty good at the end of it's run through 54 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 I did notice the 4km NAM dropping a 6 spot in E Mass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 In a departure from the norm, all but one of the NMB members have snow at ijd. The ARW members have several shutouts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 I did notice the 4km NAM dropping a 6 spot in E Mass. We ride the 4km NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2016 Author Share Posted February 3, 2016 UKie has done well on this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 UKie has done well on this.It verified? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 It verified? Lol I was thinking the same thing. An inch of QPF at ORH. We'll run verification in a few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2016 Author Share Posted February 3, 2016 It verified?As far as everything playing catchup to it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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