dryslot Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 Ray and Jeff are somewhere screaming at the top of their lungs. THESE THINGS NEVER WORK OUT. lol I thought i said it with a lower voice................ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 Euro isn't nothing. Can't post maps but it gets a half inch of snow into most of eastern MA and has advisory criteria on the cape. A half inch of snow with ground temps above 32F. I can't think of a worse event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 2, 2016 Author Share Posted February 2, 2016 NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Maine gets shafted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 GEFS made a pretty sizable shift NW -- looks like about half the members get the .1" line to BOS or further NW. A half inch of snow with ground temps above 32F. I can't think of a worse event. Considering the lack of snowfalls we've seen this winter so far, I'll take a day of mood flakes and wintry appeal with a heavy coating(Although I'm much more interested in this for what I think it could become(A 1-3/3-5 type of deal at least here) rather than what it is currently) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Most kissed this OTS but it's always been prudent in my mind to watch given the season so far. Even if it's 1-3 or 2-4 or whatever. Appears like we have 10-14 days of winter upcoming before flip back to warmth, so let's maximize what we can Its still NBD in my mind, but you are correct in that it most certainly warrants a thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 In the modeled 18Z GFS scenario it's wet flakes melting on contact or cat paws. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 SREF's have been sh*t all year so I wouldn't ride it. Do hope we at least get some light snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 SREF's have been sh*t all year so I wouldn't ride it. Do hope we at least get some light snowfall. Fuk it. Let's sacrifice this for next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 21z SREFS have the .5" QPF line over Scooter with .25" to NW of BOS. 1"+ out on ACK. Another shift NW from the 15z run. Fuk it. Let's sacrifice this for next week. Who says you can't have both? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 21z SREFS have the .5" QPF line over Scooter with .25" to NW of BOS. 1"+ out on ACK. Another shift NW from the 15z run. Who says you can't have both? I'm thinking the appropriate cold to snow may not be available till this system moves past us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2016 Author Share Posted February 3, 2016 I'm thinking the appropriate cold to snow may not be available till this system moves past us. She's coming. By tomorrow morning even Will and Scooter who have been steadfastly against this event..will be in here talking about it. I think accumulating snow gets back to at least BDL/CEF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Next. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2016 Author Share Posted February 3, 2016 Next. Never admit your mistake. Just pretend it's not going to snow and ignore those who mentioned to keep watching it and reasons why Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Never admit your mistake. Just pretend it's not going to snow and ignore those who mentioned to keep watching it and reasons why What mistake. Maybe I'll get a coating. Yawn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Antecedent airmass is a pile of horse **** so it's going to take some good rates to drop anything memorable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 I'm thinking at least 2-3 here flakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 What mistake. Maybe I'll get a coating. Yawn. That coating could put me into double digits for snowfall this season. ...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 2.5" would put me at 20.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 2.5" would put me at 20.0"what's your normal YTD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 what's your normal YTD In the 26 years I have been alive the recorded YTD average is less than 10", the total average for any given season is 29" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Nice jump NW on the NAM. The trend is our friend here, we'll see if we can continue it for another model cycle or two and then we'd have something fun on our hands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 In the 26 years I have been alive the recorded YTD average is less than 10", the total average for any given season is 29"not a ratter there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 YTD or season to date? If we assume a season as NDJFM, you should have more than 10". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 I dunno, these things can vanish last minute. I'd definitely be cautious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Nam with cat paws here, period of modeste rain on th cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 I dunno, these things can vanish last minute. I'd definitely be cautious. I've been gung ho on this since the beginning here, but I definitely wouldn't put out a forecast to the public right now that had anything more than some flurries/shsn unless I was out on the cape. Low probability of something more and it's a fun thing to watch/track regardless of anything happens, so any snow that I do get is a bonus. Updated NAM images. I'm much more intrigued by the shift that it made and the fact that another small shift brings the higher totals into BOS-PVD corridor where temps look to support snow verbatim, especially with heavier precip than I am the actual totals, which are meh for pretty much everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 YTD or season to date? If we assume a season as NDJFM, you should have more than 10".Hyannis CoopNovember 0.1 December 3.9 January 4.3 February 5.2 March 1.9 April 0.2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 People are losing all perspective on this thing. I very much doubt anyone gets accumulating snow but hopefully I'm wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 That is an absolute horrific COOP Steve. That place is so inaccurate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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