Ginx snewx Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Yeah your area may do pretty well with the added elevation.strict 10-1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 12km NAM has freezing height at 1200' at onset of precip. It should cool rather quickly with heavier precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randy4Confluence Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Seems like ratios would be higher with those cold temps ( relatively ) at 850...particularly Around BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 6-12" over the Cape and Martha's Vineyard according to that model above my post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Snowfall ratios depend on how the lift is in the DGZ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Seems like ratios would be higher with those cold temps ( relatively ) at 850...particularly Around BOS.ratios are very complex not just 850 temps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 SREFs pretty steady, maybe a hair increased. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 BID ftw? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 12km NAM has freezing height at 1200' at onset of precip. Yeah, 4km drops 850s about 3 hours later than 12km. Arpege another 3-6 hours after the 4km. Ukie was still borderline another 3 hours after that. Not sure what to make of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 The wienerschnitzel model looks similar to the frenchie/ukie. I'd be pumped from ginxy east to Boston. Cautious here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 The 0z RGEM is pretty far NW at hr 36 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Give 6-10 for SE MA near bob. Yeah, it's gonna snow. How much? I don't know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 The 0z RGEM is pretty far NW at hr 36 I_nw_EST_2016020400_036.png That's another bump Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Geez on the RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 The 0z RGEM is pretty far NW at hr 36 I_nw_EST_2016020400_036.png Wow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 That's another bump It is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Geez on the RGEM He left off some good frames before that for us. Pretty much starts me as snow, flips you in an hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 ratios are very complex not just 850 temps Most of it is lift within the snow growth zone, not that you don't know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 The wienerschnitzel model looks similar to the frenchie/ukie. I'd be pumped from ginxy east to Boston. Cautious here. Euro and Ens being so stout so close are intriguing to me. One of the very few times I am glad I am not a Met and very very glad we are closed on Fridays, (although I will be there ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Euro and Ens being so stout so close are intriguing to me. One of the very few times I am glad I am not a Met and very very glad we are closed on Fridays, (although I will be there ) Well at this point it's a ptype issue if anything for SE Mass. For CT, it's just living on the edge of a razor sharp gradient...again. GFS gets thrown out at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 He left off some good frames before that for us. Pretty much starts me as snow, flips you in an hour. Did not want to fill up a page with panels Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Did not want to fill up a page with panels Or...he picked the one that looked best for Boston. CT gets thumped before then. And his caption was "pretty far west" but he didn't show the western extent of the heavy snow by a long shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Most of it is lift within the snow growth zone, not that you don't know.Bufkit is a great tool for showing what's going on above us. I would picture this as a paste job for SEMA as the NAM shows it. Just flips all at once with rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 The bump NW on the RGEM is a good sign for sure. Starting to get into range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Or...he picked the one that looked best for Boston. CT gets thumped before then. And his caption was "pretty far west" but he didn't show the western extent of the heavy snow by a long shot. Jeff lives in Maine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 So the only model not really showing much of anything is the GFS? EURO, UKIE, RGEM, NAM, SREFs, GEFS, and EPS are all solid hits for at least SE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Or...he picked the one that looked best for Boston. CT gets thumped before then. And his caption was "pretty far west" but he didn't show the western extent of the heavy snow by a long shot. Seeing i did the picking, It had no preference as it was only out to 36 hrs and thats the one i picked, It was basically to show the shift in the track......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Jeff lives in Maine I know he does. And I was describing what the model showed before the frame that was posted. So I don't know why he called me out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 WOW at the RGEM! Guessing that's near warning amounts for a lot of eastern MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Seeing i did the picking, Yes, yes you did. I missed that. Anyway, was just pointing out that there were some really good frames for CT before that. You are free to post DE money shots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.