CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 And elongated mid-levels.Yep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2016 Author Share Posted February 3, 2016 Beware the American models vs the world Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Beware the east tick. Gfs vs world Hi res nam is better than op nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Beware the east tick. Yup. We're forecasting 1-3" for SE areas of CT but 0" wouldn't surprise me at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2016 Author Share Posted February 3, 2016 This is very very telling Take em west BUT 51 MEMBER ECMWF EPS HAS 50 PERCENT PROBS FOR 6 INCHES SE MA AND 90 PERCENT FOR 3 INCHES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 18z RGEM. I think this is a solid middle ground forecast right now pending a shift westward by the GFS or NAM in which case I'd consider upping totals. I'll try not to fall into my whole projected 1". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Yup. We're forecasting 1-3" for SE areas of CT but 0" wouldn't surprise me at all. I see the labels for the blue and the purple, but there are all sorts of shades of green and brown on that map too. Like for instance, there is a light brown shade down the middle of the state, and then a darker green shade over by the foothills of Tolland. What snowfall amounts should those respective areas expect? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2016 Author Share Posted February 3, 2016 Euro is really impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 18znavgem is west for friday like the ukie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 18znavgem is west for friday like the ukie pics or it didn't happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2016 Author Share Posted February 3, 2016 18znavgem is west for friday like the ukieBeware the west tic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Beware the west tic If it can be right for next week, wgaf about this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 If it can be right for next week, wgaf about this one. Literally? Based on the Euro outputs , a whole lot of peeps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 The tossing of the Euro so close in is interesting to say the least. I am surprised at what it did, one run wonder? Has to put fear in some though. Friday would be a shi t show for many if that panned out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Harvey isn't buying this much at all. He listed 2-4 from about halfway up Plymouth down to the cape but completely left Boston area (including Weymouth) out of the accumulating snow map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 The tossing of the Euro so close in is interesting to say the least. I am surprised at what it did, one run wonder? Has to put fear in some though. Friday would be a shi t show for many if that panned out. It's been lousy this winter overall I wouldn't trust it entirely unless a bunch of the other 00Z models jump on the idea Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2016 Author Share Posted February 3, 2016 The tossing of the Euro so close in is interesting to say the least. I am surprised at what it did, one run wonder? Has to put fear in some though. Friday would be a shi t show for many if that panned out.Mets last night said if it came NW they'd be on board. Not only did it come NW. It gets advisory snows to the river and warning snows SE areas. Suddenly it's wrong and the Nam and GFS are right. Yet it's got support from GGEM, Ukie, Rgem , ENS , Gefs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 I see the labels for the blue and the purple, but there are all sorts of shades of green and brown on that map too. Like for instance, there is a light brown shade down the middle of the state, and then a darker green shade over by the foothills of Tolland. What snowfall amounts should those respective areas expect? It's just the blue and purple... the rest is just the base maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 The tossing of the Euro so close in is interesting to say the least. I am surprised at what it did, one run wonder? Has to put fear in some though. Friday would be a shi t show for many if that panned out. continuity is why I have a hard time biting right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 It's just the blue and purple... the rest is just the base maps.So the greens and browns aren't snowfall forecasts?Lol whoosh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2016 Author Share Posted February 3, 2016 So the #1 and #2 performing models are completely tossed for the US models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 continuity is why I have a hard time biting right now. Exactly. I've always said I would watch RI east, and I have had an eye on it. Let me see some continuity from the Euro before putting a lot of weight in that extreme a solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 So the #1 and #2 performing models are completely tossed for the US models. Not tossed dude, relax. You could get an inch or two, you could also get nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Mets last night said if it came NW they'd be on board. Not only did it come NW. It gets advisory snows to the river and warning snows SE areas. Suddenly it's wrong and the Nam and GFS are right. Yet it's got support from GGEM, Ukie, Rgem , ENS , Gefs. Less than 1" for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 So the #1 and #2 performing models are completely tossed for the US models. Those stats are not always very telling because they include days where no significant weather systems were going on, often times the model that has performed best over a 2-3 month period statistically hasn't been the same model that's performed best on major weather systems Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2016 Author Share Posted February 3, 2016 Less than 1" for you.Ok. Cool Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 The GEFS following the OP. A shade SE of 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 So the greens and browns aren't snowfall forecasts? Lol whoosh Please tell me you're kidding? You really thought that the base map were colors for snowfall forecast?? WHOOSH is right!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 If the EURO was alone it would be a big flag..but it at least has support from the rgem and ukie. If those hold serve tonight, then I'd probably punt the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Please tell me you're kidding? You really thought that the base map were colors for snowfall forecast?? WHOOSH is right!!Whoosh x2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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