Mr. Windcredible! Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 On 2/5/2016 at 2:21 AM, eduggs said: Most guidance has between .3 and .6 liquid equiv. for western CT. Most pro and rec. forecasts I've seen show 0-3" I will be interesting to see who's right. I think elevated interior SWCT could rip. Maybe even up towards NWCT for a short while. my concern out west is that they could just miss out on the heaviest banding...and with a marginal boundary layer, they could struggle a bit more with accumulations, whereas just to the east rates will be heavy enough to overcome the marginal BL. But wouldn't surprise me to bust low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 On 2/5/2016 at 2:21 AM, eduggs said: Most guidance has between .3 and .6 liquid equiv. for western CT. Most pro and rec. forecasts I've seen show 0-3" I will be interesting to see who's right. I think elevated interior SWCT could rip. Maybe even up towards NWCT for a short while. Some of that is going to be wasted on rain. Especially at lower elevations/shore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 On 2/5/2016 at 2:23 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I'm going "big": DXR: 5" BDR: 8" HVN: 9" BDL: 7" TOL: 13" IJD: 11" ORH: 15" BOS: 10" PVD: 10" You related to Kevin? Bring em down 3 or so is what I'm thinking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 On 2/5/2016 at 2:23 AM, Chrisrotary12 said: I think this is what I am rolling with. That's a good map IMO Thanks for sharing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 On 2/5/2016 at 2:25 AM, The 4 Seasons said: Some of that is going to be wasted on rain. Especially at lower elevations/shore Temps are good here, just can't get any f'n qpf. 34.5/27 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 pivotal weather's weenie snow maps are much better than tropical tidbits btw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 On 2/5/2016 at 2:26 AM, CTValleySnowMan said: You related to Kevin? Bring em down 3 or so is what I'm thinking.Yeah. At least that for ORH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Only a 4-6" difference between friends across the zones. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 On 2/5/2016 at 2:27 AM, moneypitmike said: Temps are good here, just can't get any f'n qpf. 34.5/27 The Far NW Zone? I bet they are. Not so much so in DXR and BDR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Most of the CT river valley in CT still 42-44. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 On 2/5/2016 at 2:26 AM, CTValleySnowMan said: You related to Kevin? Bring em down 3 or so is what I'm thinking. I go mesos, make your call, i make mine...we see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 On 2/5/2016 at 2:31 AM, JC-CT said: Only a 4-6" difference between friends across the zones. thats pretty bad collaboration, KWST in box's map is 2" for likely but in OKX map just over the border in North Stonnington is at 7-8" in their likely map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 On 2/5/2016 at 2:23 AM, RIcoastalWX said: I think it's more for Central and Western Suffolk. Upton lowered the snowfall totals on the forks and upped them closer to Islip - hence the upgrade I would guess. Unless 4" is warning criteria of Upton. ..you could be right..i think there is a HUGE bust potential w/ re: to some of the #'s i'm hearing..its 930pm and its 43*..long way to go!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 On 2/5/2016 at 2:32 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I go mesos, make your call, i make mine...we see. I would love for that to verify but seems too rich for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 On 2/5/2016 at 2:34 AM, tim said: ..you could be right..i think there is a HUGE bust potential w/ re: to some of the #'s i'm hearing..its 930pm and its 43*..long way to go!! When it starts as rain, be sure to call bust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 On 2/5/2016 at 2:35 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: ...wow..nfw i'm getting 8-12". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 On 2/5/2016 at 2:35 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Box updating maybe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 I wonder when the 48-100 color scale is used. On 2/5/2016 at 2:37 AM, JC-CT said: Box updating maybe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 On 2/5/2016 at 2:39 AM, The 4 Seasons said: I wonder when the 48-100 color scale is used.Les? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 On 2/5/2016 at 2:39 AM, The 4 Seasons said: I wonder when the 48-100 color scale is used. The blacker the berry, the sweeter the juice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 On 2/5/2016 at 2:32 AM, CTValleySnowMan said: Most of the CT river valley in CT still 42-44. I'm 34/32 currently, CT RV in NW MA. I'll gladly trade you a few degrees for some qpf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 RGEM looks pretty good still. Didn't see any big changes on those hour by hour graphics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarverWX Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 On 2/5/2016 at 2:44 AM, CoastalWx said: RGEM looks pretty good still. Didn't see any big changes on those hour by hour graphics.Are we still looking at a change over around 6-7am? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 On 2/5/2016 at 2:44 AM, CoastalWx said: RGEM looks pretty good still. Didn't see any big changes on those hour by hour graphics. It was a pretty big bump up in w sne I think. On second look maybe not. But held serve for sure, much different than the NAM out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 On 2/5/2016 at 2:32 AM, CTValleySnowMan said: Most of the CT river valley in CT still 42-44.we wet bulb like a flash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 precip distribution looks further west to me on rgem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 On 2/5/2016 at 2:49 AM, CarverWX said: Are we still looking at a change over around 6-7am? Probably 7-9 where you are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Is that LP E of the Caribbean something the models didn't do well incorporating and maybe influenced the more NW robust solution? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 i guess its semantics at this point. one goes tick e one goes tick w...but when you live on the edge, it makes all the difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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