TalcottWx Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Harvey went 2-4 SE of BOS PVD so that's what I'll be rolling with. Don't want to put all my eggs in the euro basket. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2016 Author Share Posted February 3, 2016 Either the GFS scores its ultimate coup or Scooters under a warning laughing at me in the morning as Euro/ Ukie/EPS/ Navgem verify Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 On 2/3/2016 at 11:22 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Either the GFS scored its ultimate coup or Scooters under a warning laughing at me in the morning Glad Ryan agrees with me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 I agree with snowskisheep, rgem is a decent ballpark middle ground. Looks like jma lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 On 2/3/2016 at 11:21 PM, JC-CT said: Whoosh x2 Yeah they both whooshed at your failed attempt to be funny. So technically yeah, whoosh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2016 Author Share Posted February 3, 2016 On 2/3/2016 at 11:23 PM, CoastalWx said: Glad Ryan agrees with me.Funny how after the Euro came out you were on board and as soon as an 18z us model came out.. Kevin was getting nothing and you were right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 I'm not saying the GFS is 100% right, but I'm taking the under on euro for now. I still think canal area does well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 On 2/3/2016 at 11:23 PM, SouthCoastMA said: Yeah they both whooshed at your failed attempt to be funny. So technically yeah, whooshI didn't fail to be funny, you just failed to realize it was funny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 On 2/3/2016 at 11:24 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Funny how after the Euro came out you were on board and as soon as an 18z us model came out.. Kevin was getting nothing and you were right. No, you must have missed all my last minute shift east posts. I'm not biting on the euro 8+" for me. Sorry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 There's a good chance IMO that the Euro goes back east tonight on this system. Euro would bring me accumulating snow, I'm not thinking that happens here. Unless more modeling jumps on board with the west trend again at 0z. Which I doubt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 On 2/3/2016 at 11:26 PM, CoastalWx said: No, you must have missed all my last minute shift east posts. I'm not biting on the euro 8+" for me. Sorry.What did the Brit give you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 On 2/3/2016 at 11:21 PM, JC-CT said: Whoosh x2 Lol lol lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 On 2/3/2016 at 11:26 PM, WinterWolf said: There's a good chance IMO that the Euro goes back east tonight on this system. Euro would bring me accumulating snow, I'm not thinking that happens here. Unless more modeling jumps on board with the west trend again at 0z. Which I doubt. Why? I would say there's an equal chance that other models jump on board vs the euro/ukie/rgem caving. Other than the anecdotes of these types of systems (w/elongated mid-levels) ticking SE as they get closer, Im not sure I've seen good reasoning to lean one way or the other. Then again I'm not a met. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 On 2/3/2016 at 11:23 PM, SouthCoastMA said: Yeah they both whooshed at your failed attempt to be funny. So technically yeah, whoosh Well I didn't believe him..but saw Ryan try to explain it, and I said, well maybe the guy is having a senior moment or is drunk?? Whatever! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 On 2/3/2016 at 11:26 PM, WinterWolf said: There's a good chance IMO that the Euro goes back east tonight on this system. Euro would bring me accumulating snow, I'm not thinking that happens here. Unless more modeling jumps on board with the west trend again at 0z. Which I doubt. Its the gfs and nam vs world. Hopefully they jumping board tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 On 2/3/2016 at 11:32 PM, SouthCoastMA said: Why? I would say there's an equal chance that other models jump on board vs the euro/ukie/rgem caving. Other than the anecdotes of these types of systems (w/elongated mid-levels) ticking SE as they get closer, Im not sure I've seen good reasoning to lean one way or the other. Then again I'm not a met.If they say they don't like the look of the mid levels I'm not sure that's anecdotal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 On 2/3/2016 at 11:32 PM, SouthCoastMA said: Why? I would say there's an equal chance that other models jump on board vs the euro/ukie/rgem caving. Other than the anecdotes of these types of systems (w/elongated mid-levels) ticking SE as they get closer, Im not sure I've seen good reasoning to lean one way or the other. Then again I'm not a met. Because I'm thinking the Euro overcorrected, and will go back east tonight. That's my reasoning. I could be very wrong. But that's my feeling. Euro hasn't been to great this season so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 A 20 mile tick SE means 4" to a coating for many areas. That can easily happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 I think the meteorology argues to be cautious. It's like when some of us mets would criticize forecasts of 12-18" in SWFE despite the model QPF being high enough to support it. The meteorology would say slice the QPF a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 On 2/3/2016 at 6:19 PM, ORH_wxman said: Wow, just saw the Euro....I may yet be giving Kevin kudos. What are we giving him kudos for? A guess? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Gfs and nam should make some nervous would need a pretty big west shift tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Some first thoughts for CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2016 Author Share Posted February 3, 2016 A 20 mile tic NW means a coating to 4" inches for many areas. That can easily happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Temps are Met low hanging fruit. Fastballs right down the middle. This is a Sandy Koufax curve. Going to see whose got game. Tough forecast, paste job or nuisance in EMA RI on a Friday is a big deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 4, 2016 Author Share Posted February 4, 2016 Gibbs is in its coming NW camp with ridging east and seasonal trends to bump NW close in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Amerijunk not biting is a flag Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 SREFs pretty steady, maybe a hair increased. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 Srefs' cut qpf on the western side looks pretty similar se ma and up my way with big gradient. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 On 2/4/2016 at 1:27 AM, CoastalWx said: SREFs pretty steady, maybe a hair increased. QPF wise western side was much less Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2016 Share Posted February 4, 2016 On 2/4/2016 at 1:29 AM, Bostonseminole said: QPF wise western side was much less I didn't see that when comparing panels from 15z-21z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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