Ginx snewx Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 On 2/3/2016 at 8:30 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Not spiking anything. Just don't think nam is correct and that we see another bump NW on good models this afternoon and night On 2/3/2016 at 8:27 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Stop using the Nam 2-4 for YBY looks good On 2/3/2016 at 8:07 PM, Damage In Tolland said: I'm not worried about nor expecting any shifts east. In fact, I'd bet on another shift west happens st 18z and 00z with that stout ridging. A met this morning said its late in game to be using Ensembles On 2/3/2016 at 8:13 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Scooter kissed his OTS storm all the way to a WSW for his area. Classic On 2/3/2016 at 8:17 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Youre a stones throw away from it there in S Weymouth and when the Euro bumps west tonight to match the Ukie, you'll wake up in a warning in the morning and laugh at Wood Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2016 Author Share Posted February 3, 2016 How is that a spike? Those are my thoughts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 BOX forecast and max maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Issued this morning though On 2/3/2016 at 8:34 PM, SR Airglow said: BOX forecast and max maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 On 2/3/2016 at 8:25 PM, ORH_wxman said: Looks like 18z NAM is worse No Nam humppers today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 On 2/3/2016 at 8:36 PM, ineedsnow said: Issued this morning though Its says 3:22 pm on those Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Hotlinking nws forecast maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 On 2/3/2016 at 8:30 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Not spiking anything. Just don't think nam is correct and that we see another bump NW on good models this afternoon and night If the SREFs hadn't been edging west the last few runs I would believe the NAM could be onto something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 On 2/3/2016 at 8:37 PM, dryslot said: No Nam humppers today I'm taking the 4km 18z NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 On 2/3/2016 at 8:34 PM, SR Airglow said: BOX forecast and max maps Don't hotlink images. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 nam blows either way.. waiting for the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 On 2/3/2016 at 8:39 PM, JC-CT said: Hotlinking nws forecast maps My bad -- fixed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2016 Author Share Posted February 3, 2016 On 2/3/2016 at 8:42 PM, Bostonseminole said: nam blows either way.. waiting for the GFSWhy? It's been terrible Rgem is what you should be waiting for Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 On 2/3/2016 at 8:40 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: I'm taking the 4km 18z NAM. It wasn't as robust as the 6z, but much better than the 12z run. It matches up with the BOX WSW as of now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2016 Author Share Posted February 3, 2016 Kind of opposite the blizzard where the globals weren't bullish, but the hi res were. This time except GFS globals more bullish than hi-res. What would perform better in this setup? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 On 2/3/2016 at 8:43 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Why? It's been terrible Rgem is what you should be waiting for none have performed well, RGEM yes, getting closer to being accurate .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 On 2/3/2016 at 8:45 PM, SouthCoastMA said: It wasn't as robust as the 6z, but much better than the 12z run. It matches up with the BOX WSW as of now. Yeah, Personally I'd take a blend of ALL guidance right now with the 12km NAM & Euro being the opposite extremes. Play it right down the middle. I like what BOX did throwing up the WSW, They may expand that west a bit to cover Bristol but that's still up in the air. At this point I would not have enough confidence to N & W of the BOS/PVD corridor with much more than minor accumulations. I do feel the area right around the Canal is best still for 2-4" possibly more. See what 00z has tomight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 On 2/3/2016 at 8:51 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: Yeah, Personally I'd take a blend of ALL guidance right now with the 12km NAM & Euro being the opposite extremes. Play it right down the middle. I like what BOX did throwing up the WSW, They may expand that west a bit to cover Bristol but that's still up in the air. At this point I would not have enough confidence to N & W of the BOS/PVD corridor with much more than minor accumulations. I do feel the area right around the Canal is best still for 2-4" possibly more. See what 00z has tomight. this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 15z SREF, snow probs. Not looking at specifics, just highlighting the higher percentage areas around the Canal area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 18z RGEM looks like it may have ticked west from 12z, But no real glaring difference Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 RGEM to me looks like it might have gone a touch east with the heavier precip, but the overall precip shield makes it a little further NW. Pretty similar in the grand scheme of things to the 12z solution -- nice middle ground between Euro/UKMET and GFS/NAM as of now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 On 2/3/2016 at 9:02 PM, SR Airglow said: RGEM to me looks like it might have gone a touch east with the heavier precip, but the overall precip shield makes it a little further NW. Pretty similar in the grand scheme of things to the 12z solution -- nice middle ground between Euro/UKMET and GFS/NAM as of now. The RGEM has he an eastward bias this winter on most events beyond 24-30 for some reason, that's a bit out of its usual tendency Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 18z RGEM. I think this is a solid middle ground forecast right now pending a shift westward by the GFS or NAM in which case I'd consider upping totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2016 Author Share Posted February 3, 2016 I'm not sure if the RGEM has an East bias or not..but it about matches what I've been thinking// Far W Ct sees an c-1..with 1-3 from river HFD/CEF east to Ginx where he gets 2-4 and 3-6 Foxboro areas to canal..if they get lucky..someone gets 8 in that area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 On 2/3/2016 at 9:25 PM, SnowGoose69 said: The RGEM has he an eastward bias this winter on most events beyond 24-30 for some reason, that's a bit out of its usual tendencyit definitely was East in Omaha yesterday I watched it closely for my son. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 GFS not budging, basically identical to 12z. Wobbled a hair east if anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Beware the east tick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 On 2/3/2016 at 9:43 PM, CoastalWx said: Beware the east tick. And elongated mid-levels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 With all the American versions of the RGEM available it makes those Meteocentre maps look like they were made on a 1989 Tandy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 On 2/3/2016 at 9:43 PM, CoastalWx said: Beware the east tick. GFS? praying Flava Flav style? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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