snow1 Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Gfs update for this storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Gfs update for this storm? Still running, not out far enough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Low is going to form further south on the gfs vort further south and light snow at 00z tuesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 06z tuesday secondary low over the se VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 h5 never closes off ends up being a light to mod hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 h5 never closes off ends up being a light to mod hit But it just keeps going (snowing). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 But it just keeps going.Yeah, the total from 96-132 is more than merely light to moderate, it looks pretty formidable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 But it just keeps going (snowing). lol snows for 24 hrs. powdery event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Ukie is a great hit. GGEM is a strung out mess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 GGEM has the initial southern low too close and it messes things up, would ignore it. UKIE WOW! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Ukie is a great hit. GGEM is a strung out mess.ukie also got tonights storm right. I think I'm going to go on a limb here and say this will be a secs. 6-12 inches areawide.Ant, can you post the ukmet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 ukie also got tonight storm right. I think I'm going to go on a limb here and say this will be a secs. 6-12 inches areawide. Any can you post the ukmet 6-12 area wide would easily be a MECS... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCGreg Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 I'm still holding out hope for a blockbuster, though the odds of two in one winter are low (yes, there have been exceptions). Guess we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 GEFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 ukie also got tonights storm right. I think I'm going to go on a limb here and say this will be a secs. 6-12 inches areawide. Ant, can you post the ukmet? Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 The second storm messes up the third storm. Second storm is west on the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 The second storm messes up the third storm. Second storm is west on the Euro. translation meaning ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 translation meaning ? 2nd storm clips the area and 3rd storm misses Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Navgem is still focusing on the 2nd storm. GGEM ensembles are doing the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 9z SREF shifted northwest for storm 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 5, 2016 Author Share Posted February 5, 2016 Now we know, its either the 1st storm or nothing significant, as now every model is really pumping that initial SE low. HO wfar NW it can come and how it interacts with the 2nd storm are still the big questions. 12z NAM is a fairly close miss with the 1st storm for Sun night/Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow1 Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 This storm looks like a miss all together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 This storm looks like a miss all together. Unless I'm reading the model output wrong, it's snowing at hour 90 and continues for a while. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCGreg Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 From what everyone is saying, it certainly seems like the guidance is pointing away from a major event in this time frame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Remember that every storm has trended NW this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 From what everyone is saying, it certainly seems like the guidance is pointing away from a major event in this time frame. Looks that way at the moment, although I'm sure it will manage to blow up offshore and give LI a foot! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCGreg Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Remember that every storm has trended NW this year True, but many potential big ones have missed anyway (obviously odds greatly favor many of these storms missing, or we would have a much higher seasonal snow average). Some people are talking about an inverted trough in this time frame. Guess it's still something to track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 This storm looks like a miss all together. Just like today, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Remember that every storm has trended NW this year And significantly as well, especially within 48hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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