PB GFI Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 12Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 Ukmet keeps the interiors hopes alive to atleast see a couple inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
F5TornadoF5 Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 12Z 30hrs gives decent amount to nyc east too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 30hrs gives decent amount to nyc east too. ITS LIGHT. ITS NOT THE GFS RUs post was a great one . Think of this like a line of T storms attached to LP . .2 could fall on you and .4 just 10 miles away . Some will be happy tomorrow , some will be pssd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
F5TornadoF5 Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 ITS LIGHT. ITS NOT THE GFS RUs post was a great one . Think of this like a line of T storms attached to LP . .2 could fall on you and .4 just 10 miles away . Some will be happy tomorrow , some will be pssd I know it's foolish to argue but it puts down same amount for LI 24hrs as 30hrs. Regardless it's less than 00z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 30hrs gives decent amount to nyc east too.This is not a steady stratoform snow at all. All of the snow is spotty and convectively driven, this is the equivalent of predicting a line of thunderstorms in July. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
F5TornadoF5 Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 This is not a steady stratoform snow at all. All of the snow is spotty and convectively driven, this is the equivalent of predicting a line of thunderstorms in July. I agree, will be fun to track and I think someone could see 5-6in for a select few in our area while others will be lucky to see an inch or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 During this afternoon and early evening, it might be worth paying attention to upstream developments (precipitation and snowfall) in such cities as Allentown, Harrisburg, and University Park to gain insight into whether the NAM or GFS is doing better in terms of verification. Some comparisons: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JohnnyDop Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 thanks man i'm going to need it,haven't been back to school in quite a few years man.it was time to invest my energy and future in some i enjoy though lol.. SUNY Oneonta, home of the greatest web cam ever! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 I agree, will be fun to track and I think someone could see 5-6in for a select few in our area while others will be lucky to see an inch or two.Wherever the inverted trough/convergence line sets up, there will be a huge screw zone on either side of it because of the compensatory subsidence around the strong lift and rising air in the trough. Some areas will get zippo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 12z euro is .10+ tonight for the area. Less in areas north of the city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 So essentially the lower resolution global models are showing the most and the mesoscale models which should pick up on the IVT are showing the least? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 I would go with 1-3 for the entire area and call it a day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 That call makes sense...and don't be too surprised if you get a dusting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
F5TornadoF5 Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 Latest hrrr so far looks better than previous runs through 9hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 That call makes sense...and don't be too surprised if you get a dusting. Agree. Or a lucky spot gets 4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 Euro says we try the inverted trough again on saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 Euro says we try the inverted trough again on saturday.If that's true the ratio would be astronomical Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Capt. Adam Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 HRRR is not biting on anything that the NAM, GFS, CMC or RGEM are selling for tonite for the city and points southwest... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 Hour6,.navgem has the low further north and pressure at 990. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 Hour 6 on cmc and navgem pressure are identical.. both are further north. But may be too little to late Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 Hour 6 on cmc and navgem pressure are identical.. both are forever north. But may be too little to late Cmc has been out.its good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
F5TornadoF5 Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 HRRR is not biting on anything that the NAM, GFS, CMC or RGEM are selling for tonite for the city and points southwest... It has improved quite a bit from showing nothing for the area for the past 5 runs or so. Now it shows at least a coating. Baby steps into preferred range 8hrs and less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 12z euro is .10+ tonight for the area. Less in areas north of the cityI'm out right now so I didn't get a chance to look, but less than .10 qpf north of the city? Lol. Should be riveting watching the dusting up here tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 Weird. Why doesn't hour 00 show up on nam when you have it in radar mode? Switch to mslp & 850mb winds and it shows hour 00. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 18 Z NAM was not great if you were looking for snow. We toss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 12k and 4K are almost identical, not a good sign, 1-2" of light snow, tops unless your in eastern PA west of NYC sees near nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
F5TornadoF5 Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 No coastal low on 18z NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 Anyone expecting more then a dusting is I for a big disappointment. We blew chunks this week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 9, 2016 Share Posted February 9, 2016 Well, next week could be interesting! Sent from my SM-N910V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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