Ericjcrash Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 I had 1.5" of sleet.. Have not seen ANY snow this seasonOh that's better than nothing. You'll get your late season paste job. Patience. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 There have been jump zones with these but there is an omega block over the top with this one that would slow this down and deepen to your S . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Oh that's better than nothing. You'll get your late season paste job. Patience. I'd rather a strike out then a March storm followed by 60 degree weather...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 GGEM and last nights euro look fairly similar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCGreg Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 As people have discussed here, I won't trust a Miller B until I see the snow on the ground. It's nice if the models say it's a go, but they've been terrible this winter, and were awful with the busted blizzard last year. I almost discount everything the Euro does at this point because that model has been horrific in our big events lately. Of course, with the big one in the bag, this is fun to track. Just don't want to get my hopes up only to have them crushed. 6-7 days out is simply an eternity in weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 UKMET for Friday . This would be rain changing to snow . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaPo Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Slight banter, I know, but the models have done extremely well this year. They had the blizzard 8-9 days out. There's always room for improvement, but they've done fine this winter. That said, yes, I agree with you; it's a Miller B after all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 I had 1.5" of sleet.. Have not seen ANY snow this season I feel for you man and hope you luck out sooner than later. The Big One was painful Im sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 ggem is a 988 into sne, nyc and northern nj crushed Perhaps a December 2000 repeat? The positive NAO might get this one further east though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 I feel for you man and hope you luck out sooner than later. The Big One was painful Im sure. Lol thanks... It would be rather epic to go a whole season without any measurable "snow" per say, in my area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Lol thanks... It would be rather epic to go a whole season without any measurable "snow" per say, in my area Unthinkable! Betcha you are over a foot by Feb 17! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 3, 2016 Author Share Posted February 3, 2016 Seperate threads now for Friday wave and next week Miller B....too confusing in here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Seperate threads now for Friday wave and next week Miller B....too confusing in here... Seperate threads is a good way to go, will end the confusion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Unthinkable! Betcha you are over a foot by Feb 17! From NEPA, Extreme NW NJ up into the HV and into most of NE majority are <10" for the year. Its pretty amazing actually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Wave 2 is a lot closer to the coast on the 12z euro. Gives the area light snow on monday and sne gets 3-6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Euro has a late capture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Wave 2 is west and has precip in here. Way 3 is messed up by wave 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 What?? NYC had 9.5" many of us in northern ct and western mass which is CERTAINLY sne saw 5 to 10 after being forecast ridiculous high amounts like you guys...it was really just the eastern half of sne that had a big blizzard and the 5 to 10 in western and some west central areas was .25 inch hr arctic sand type stuff on a 24-30 hr storm at least parts of nyc had that stripe of two inch hr snows in the afternoon, please be careful not to generalize. not all of sne is boston to worcester to the cape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 many of us in northern ct and western mass which is CERTAINLY sne saw 5 to 10 after being forecast ridiculous high amounts like you guys...it was really just the eastern half of sne that had a big blizzard and the 5 to 10 in western and some west central areas was .25 inch hr arctic sand type stuff on a 24-30 hr storm at least parts of nyc had that stripe of two inch hr snows in the afternoon, please be careful not to generalize. not all of sne is boston to worcester to the cape Yeah I had a foot here.EURO will be an interesting watch in coming runs to see which if anybof the secondary waves want to impact us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 i think our best shot at a big event is from the juiced up southern system that wraps up off the carolinas. if it gets captured in time we get nailed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 The clipper coming through the Great Lakes kicks both the 1st and 2nd waves too far east this run. Wave 2 is further west on this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 The clipper coming through the Great Lakes kicks both the 1st and 2nd waves too far east this run. Wave 2 is 300 further W than at 0z . The Euro may be focusing on the Miller A. The wave spacing is poor so those heights are flat for the Miller B . The Miller A just needs to come W a bit more , they all have so I would watch the Monday one 1st . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 i think our best shot at a big event is from the juiced up southern system that wraps up off the carolinas. if it gets captured in time we get nailed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Wave 2 is west and has precip in here. Way 3 is messed up by wave 2. Stronger lead storm means weaker, flat secondary. Either one hits or the other, can't have both Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Stronger lead storm means weaker, flat secondary. Either one hits or the other, can't have both give me a juiced southern low over a flaky miller b Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Stronger lead storm means weaker, flat secondary. Either one hits or the other, can't have both I think 2 of the 3 waves can hit. If the friday storms trends west, it will make storm 2 come more west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 give me a juiced southern low over a flaky miller b The further NW that friday ends up would help keep heights higher along the coast for the second system correct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 many of us in northern ct and western mass which is CERTAINLY sne saw 5 to 10 after being forecast ridiculous high amounts like you guys...it was really just the eastern half of sne that had a big blizzard and the 5 to 10 in western and some west central areas was .25 inch hr arctic sand type stuff on a 24-30 hr storm at least parts of nyc had that stripe of two inch hr snows in the afternoon, please be careful not to generalize. not all of sne is boston to worcester to the cape You said portions of SNE faired far worse. How is 5-10" far worse then 9.5". And there were certainly areas in NYC that saw less then the park. The band you speak of was narrow and short lived. The actual meat of the storm produced only 4" in Central Park. I'm still confused. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Stronger lead storm means weaker, flat secondary. Either one hits or the other, can't have bothThis! Unless the timing changes significantly it'd be hard to get the third strom to really get going early. In regards to the second wave though, it's certainly possible for that one to track somewhat westward of what's currently depicted and give us a decent snow event, especially if the first wave is further west and the barolonic zone ends up being a bit west because of it. It's still early, but there is definitely potential to see a modest snow event on Friday and potentially something more significant early (or middle) next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Get that MJO 4-5 to really pump the ridge off the EC so the 1st wave gets more captured than kicked by the clipper and we'll be in business. Some may see a warning event from wave 1 . Then you keep the baroclinic zone closer to the coast and wave 2 is the monster and the temperamental miller B wave 3 would just give us some instability LS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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