Mophstymeo Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 The euro this winter is just another model. It could be right, though. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Could be worse. You could the Hudson valley or interior new england. Most of nj is running well above average ytd My ytd is 7.8" and I average 50-52"..This winter has been a disaster! Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 My ytd is 7.8" and I average 50-52"..This winter has been a disaster! Lol My YTD is 0.0 and average about the same.. Gotcha beat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mriceyman Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 My YTD is 0.0 and average about the same.. Gotcha beat ThAts really wild.. Just in a bad spot this year eh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 ThAts really wild.. Just in a bad spot this year eh Can't win em all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 My YTD is 0.0 and average about the same.. Gotcha beat Sleet counts as snow, stop exaggerating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Sleet counts as snow, stop exaggerating. Hahaha not in my world! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Hahaha not in my world! I think you'll get snow this evening, as should most everyone else here. Light snow should break out after 5pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 NAM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 8, 2016 Author Share Posted February 8, 2016 NAM? South through hour 30....flurries through that time for Metro. Looks like NY Metro might be in worst area for this period; missing coastal and INVT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 New nam gives hope to the interior for a few iches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mriceyman Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 South through hour 30....flurries through that time for Metro. Looks like NY Metro might be in worst area for this period; missing coastal and INVTDoes monmouth get in on the ivt action? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 UKMET has similar idea some other models have hinted at. Initial IVT down in the MA then as the second offshore low forms it develops or redevelops it near NYC this is the only way nyc is going to get over 2" from this event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
F5TornadoF5 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 2nd offshore low better than 12z in regards that it produces further inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 18Z has a low develop south of NYC, which pivots northeast (east of NYC) at 0Z Wednesday throwing back snow into most of our region...looks like it develops from Norlun. Norlun hits Philly south before redeveloping low south of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Nam looks nice for the arez tomorrow night. Develops a low near li. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Nam looks nice for the arez tomorrow night. Develops a low near li. Maps ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 8, 2016 Author Share Posted February 8, 2016 Yeah actually the inverted trough turns into a 'mini-coastal' and given NYC and south 2-4" from that...not a bad look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 The setup looks a bit like 1/2004 to me, the overall synoptic pattern over the NE is not the same, but that was a low that more or less formed off the NJ coast and had a semi inverted trof feature I believe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Yeah actually the inverted trough turns into a 'mini-coastal' and given NYC and south 2-4" from that...not a bad lookWith good snow growth ratios, Most The LHV gets 2-4" as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 You get the idea... Looks like 24 hours or so of snow from this developing low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 YOU WILL DO BETTER THAN 10 TO 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 The setup looks a bit like 1/2004 to me, the overall synoptic pattern over the NE is not the same, but that was a low that more or less formed off the NJ coast and had a semi inverted trof feature I believe 12 to 15 hours from A/C to the BM . So its crawling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 YOU WILL DO BETTER THAN 10 TO 1 2mt in 20s, with 850s around -7..... Should be 15:1, great snowgrowth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 HRRR says 1-2" area wide, from the backfill interaction tonight... Before the IVT even hits us, could be a lot of surprises tomorrow.. Or upsets lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Source: Tropicaltidbits.com Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 12 to 15 hours from A/C to the BM . So its crawling As progged by NAM low slowly develops. If it were to develop quickly, we'd be in a great place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 you can't just look at 850's and guess ratios. you look at where the models are pegging the lift to be and see if that lines up with the DGZ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 you can't just look at 850's and guess ratios. you look at where the models are pegging the lift to be and see if that lines up with the DGZ In general in this region if you just guess 11 or 12 to 1 you will be right more times than not. Anything more than that and you're going to get burned because it won't happen often. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 18z RGEM just came way N Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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