Metasequoia Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Wow...NYC might get close to nothing from this. The squirrely inverted trough is all we have left...I don't think people have a good idea where that sets up...WSW's in MA not withstanding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
F5TornadoF5 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Nws new map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Snowing at a good slip and 33. Coating already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eduardo Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Wow...NYC might get close to nothing from this. The squirrely inverted trough is all we have left...I don't think people have a good idea where that sets up...WSW's in MA not withstanding. IVT's are always fickle. Nobody will know where it will set up until it actually sets up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 As long as we're getting shafted, we might as well enjoy this marvelous cyclone from afar. I can't immediately think of a prettier nor'easter in recent decades. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Upton just lowered snow amounts for today for NYC in their latest forecast update to "less than an inch" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Upton just lowered snow amounts for today for NYC in their latest forecast update to "less than an inch"Only need .3 inches for KNYC to get to 30 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Par for the course this winter unfortunately for us. Sent from my SM-N910V using Tapatalk They are very close to dropping the WWA for Rockland and Bergen I think. Latest update is less than half an inch of accumulation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
F5TornadoF5 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Upton just lowered snow amounts for today for NYC in their latest forecast update to "less than an inch" Where do you see that? I still see 2-3 from advisory at 7:21. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 They are very close to dropping the WWA for Rockland and Bergen I think. Latest update is less than half an inch of accumulation When did they put the wwa up for us in rockland? It wasnt there last night right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 They put advisories up a few hours ago. If they hurry and take them down now most people won't even have noticed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard-on-GFS Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 As long as we're getting shafted, we might as well enjoy this marvelous cyclone from afar. I can't immediately think of a prettier nor'easter in recent decades. Just imagine what could have been if this had phased with the clipper... Could have been the GOAT for some areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drz1111 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Look at the little warm core piece underneath the 500mb low. Shades of 1991. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Upton "AN INVERTED TROUGH WILL EXTEND W FROM THIS OFFSHORE LOW...AND COULD BE THE FOCUS FOR SOME MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW JUST TO ITS NORTH. HARD TO SAY EXACTLY WHERE THIS WILL SET UP ATM...AND BEARS WATCHING ESPECIALLY FOR NYC METRO AND LONG ISLAND." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Upton "AN INVERTED TROUGH WILL EXTEND W FROM THIS OFFSHORE LOW...AND COULD BE THE FOCUS FOR SOME MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW JUST TO ITS NORTH. HARD TO SAY EXACTLY WHERE THIS WILL SET UP ATM...AND BEARS WATCHING ESPECIALLY FOR NYC METRO AND LONG ISLAND." For when? Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Wow that really is impressive. Look at the amount of dry air wrapped into it and the density and volatility of the "wet" clouds to the north of it. Beautifully layered core area too with a nicely defined eye. As long as we're getting shafted, we might as well enjoy this marvelous cyclone from afar. I can't immediately think of a prettier nor'easter in recent decades. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 For when? Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Radar sort of reminds me of late last January. The band over Nassau and Queens looks to be putting down some good rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Radar sort of reminds me of late last January. The band over Nassau and Queens looks to be putting down some good rates. Damn right it is, went from flurries to MOD to to S+ in 25 minutes in Kew Gardens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 gfs for the ivt? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 and no one mentioned how the NAM looked for the IVT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Here's to hoping the instability axis parks right across our region later tomorrow into the evening. The core of this thing almost has a March 2009 type of intensity look to it. 700-500 lapse rate: 7.71 C/km Total Totals Index: 55.87 C Risk: Severe Thunderstorms probable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 gfs for the ivt? Its not as defined with it, even down in the MA but it definitely showed more activity further north with the IVT with time than it did on the 00Z run last night. The NAM was noticeably more north than last night's run. The RGEM is largely still well down south although it eventually gets something up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Here's to hoping the instability axis parks right across our region later tomorrow into the evening. The core of this thing almost has a March 2009 type of intensity look to it. 700-500 lapse rate: 7.71 C/km Total Totals Index: 55.87 C Risk: Severe Thunderstorms probable Chris where is this ripped from ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Its not as defined with it, even down in the MA but it definitely showed more activity further north with the IVT with time than it did on the 00Z run last night. The NAM was noticeably more north than last night's run. The RGEM is largely still well down south although it eventually gets something up here Look at the RH field instead of just the precip field . It`s well N of the precip grids . Also I agree with Chris we are very unstable , 'there are actually 2 mesoscale features that take off from E of AC to S of the BM between hours 18 and 42 on the GFS . Waiting on the UKIE it has been steady with it position Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Look at the RH field instead of just the precip field . It`s well N of the precip grids . Also I agree with Chris we are very unstable , 'there are actually 2 mesoscale features that take off from E of AC to S of the BM between hours 18 and 42 on the GFS . Waiting on the UKIE it has been steady with it position I don't trust the RGEM at all lately, its been too east with everything, how that would translate with W-E oriented IVT I don't know but its busting badly today, even its most west runs yesterday didn't have moderate snow anywhere near WRN LI or NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yhbrooklyn Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Precip totals for the Inverted Trough 12z GFS 12z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Look at the RH field instead of just the precip field . It`s well N of the precip grids . Also I agree with Chris we are very unstable , 'there are actually 2 mesoscale features that take off from E of AC to S of the BM between hours 18 and 42 on the GFS . Waiting on the UKIE it has been steady with it position PB... what would this mean for the area in regards to the IVT? Are you thinking that it will trend north into the metro area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 That storm is a beaut. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Globals aren't going to do well with forecasting the IVT. Short term meso models will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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