dmillz25 Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 When was the last time NYC got into a IVT? I feel like I asked this question before Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 When was the last time NYC got into a IVT? I feel like I asked this question before They've been in some bastardized ones but I don't recall any very good ones recently, just many which were weak or we got fringed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Need that inverted trough to shift north on the gfs and euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 When was the last time NYC got into a IVT? I feel like I asked this question before An event in Feb 2014 was the last real one I think, which came at the end of a coastal storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Need that inverted trough to shift north on the gfs and euro Ivts are notoriously known to shift north. It will in due time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCGreg Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Need that inverted trough to shift north on the gfs and euro Forget that; let's get this monster coastal storm to come up the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 An event in Feb 2014 was the last real one I think, which came at the end of a coastal storm.Was that the event that we saw 4" an hour snow rates? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Forget that; let's get this monster coastal storm to come up the coast. Well yea of course . we need a major west shift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mranger48 Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Where does the latest RGEM and sref's have this ivt setting up Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windman18 Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 RGEM is way south into dc and md. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jason215 Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Well yea of course . we need a major west shift.Would love this monster to come in much closer! BTW, has the IVT threat replaced the Miller B thread for Tuesday/Wednesday? I haven't heard any talks of a Miller B lately. Is that threat now dead?Thanks, -Jason Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZNSTATED Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 <p>Is Upton snow maps down, I can't get their page to load on my phone</p> Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joe4alb Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 http://www.weather.gov/okx/winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Wakefield, VA radar is all that's important right now. (and maybe the super bowl too) How much precip builds back into the SE tip of Virginia...to show how wrong GFS is. The system is currently about 2 to 3 mb's stronger than progged...even on mesoscale analysis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 NOAA mesoscale site is a good way to track this storm. Models suggest the low slides east for a prolonged period of time starting about now. Let's see if this happens as progged. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=17 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Would love this monster to come in much closer! BTW, has the IVT threat replaced the Miller B thread for Tuesday/Wednesday? I haven't heard any talks of a Miller B lately. Is that threat now dead? Thanks, -Jason I wouldn't call it totally dead. Probably on life support. The closer this ocean storm gets and/or slower it is to move out, the less chance there is of a Miller B. Chances right now are better for a INVT. Though I wouldn't totally rule out somewhat of a Miller B just yet, but if that happens it's probably moisture starved since the ocean storm is wringing out the atmosphere. I guess I could see a scenario where there is a sort of Miller B look that enhances the INVT a bit? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 NOAA mesoscale site is a good way to track this storm. Models suggest the low slides east for a prolonged period of time starting about now. Let's see if this happens as progged. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=17 Yeah I just posted about that in the NE subforum. No sign of it yet, doesn't mean it's not coming.At first I thought it might have been doing that earlier than modeled, pivoting the precip shield and tricking people into thinking it was further west than modeled. But I didn't see that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 23z RAP looked pretty snowy out over Long Island after 4AM or so... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman86 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Is Passaic county in the warning zone...for snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Is Passaic county in the warning zone...for snow.Nope they're not even in the advisory zone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Is Passaic county in the warning zone...for snow. Not even an advisory for tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
F5TornadoF5 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Srefs look a tad less wet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Intense lightning / hail...almost never seen from a winter storm - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCGreg Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Intense lightning / hail...almost never seen from a winter storm - Looks to me like the storm has started its move due east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow1 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Looks to me like the storm has started its move due east. I agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windman18 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 http://weather.unisys.com/satellite/sat_wv_us_loop.gif Huge storm, but heading east now as modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 you guys need to not focus directly on the low pressure, but more importantly the precipitation shield. precip is much further west now than expected. Eastern NJ is in the game. The system is also 3MB's stronger than currently projected, which could counter any slight eastward movement you guys may be seeing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Srefs look a tad less wet.Yeah a bit. Still a nice little event with 2-4" in NENJ and 3-5" for the city. Bigger deal for C and ELI 6-10" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 She's on the move east for sure...for a couple hours now. It's time to pay attention to RAP, HRR, etc. Let's hope we get some norlun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Star Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 http://weather.unisys.com/satellite/sat_wv_us_loop.gif Huge storm, but heading east now as modeled. I can't make heads or tails out of its movement. It appears that the front half of the storm is getting pulled due east, while the other part is tracking north, with rotation that seems to be pulling it inland. I don't remember ever seeing this before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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