LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Anytime white gold is falling i get excited. And i love to see you guys here get excited as well. Me too. But it's not looking good for accumulations on paved surfaces at least in the city. That's the true white gold for me. Looks like an eastern Suffolk special. We haven't had one of those in a while. There was a sick one back in the late 90s (sick for them) where the hamptons had like 6" and Montauk 10". Meanwhile a dusting west of the Nassau border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 a decent chunk of sne fared worse than nyc last janWhat?? NYC had 9.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 gfs with a huge step towards the euro at 12z 984 cuts off just outside the bm I think Isotrenpic would have a heart attack if the GFS is correct with a NYC and east event again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 It needs to slow down so that the trough dropping into the lakes can capture. If that happens, we'll be in business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Can we please get that piece in the GL to phase in? Please and thank you. Seriously though, a nice look on the GFS. High end potential certainly, with goalposts set a bit further north than last time around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 I think Isotrenpic would have a heart attack if the GFS is correct with a NYC and east event again. Verbatim it would still be a pretty decent hit out my way. I'm only 25 miles from the GWB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Verbatim it would still be a pretty decent hit out my way. I'm only 25 miles from the GWB. I'd be the one on suicide watch.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Can we please get that piece in the GL to phase in? Please and thank you. Seriously though, a nice look on the GFS. High end potential certainly, with goalposts set a bit further north than last time around. It's in a really crappy spot at the moment because it's helping to guide the system OTS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 I'd be the one on suicide watch.. Aren't you always on suicide watch lately? In any event, this has big winners and big losers written all over it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Early thoughts... I think this is going to be a really close call for those south of NYC based on what the foreign models look like right now. I'm afraid that this doesn't deepen quick enough to really give the Metro a run at another major shot. Favoring New England heavily right now. Miller B's are always the most heart-breaking ones to track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 UKMET won't give up on Fridays wave. So far the GFS wants the least part of it vs other models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 DAY 6 Look at that PNA spike and the block over the top . The EURO is even deeper in the SE . Seeing that spike should allow this to deepen even further S than the GFS is showing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 UKMET won't give up on Fridays wave. So far the GFS wants the least part of it vs other models UKMET might even be more west. Also, doesn't mean much but the Navgem came well west as well now and is similar to the ukmet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 UKMET might even be more west. Also, doesn't mean much but the Navgem came well west as well now and is similar to the ukmet. I think the UKMET may have been the only model that was well west at this range on the light snow event on the 17th as well. This may play out similar where everything moves west inside 36-42 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 I think the UKMET may have been the only model that was well west at this range on the light snow event on the 17th as well. This may play out similar where everything moves west inside 36-42 hours Anymore west then the ukmet, and it's a warning level snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 THE CANADIAN IS A DAY 6 CRUSHER Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Early thoughts... I think this is going to be a really close call for those south of NYC based on what the foreign models look like right now. I'm afraid that this doesn't deepen quick enough to really give the Metro a run at another major shot. Favoring New England heavily right now. Miller B's are always the most heart-breaking ones to track. I agree. This one has New England event written all over it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Aren't you always on suicide watch lately? In any event, this has big winners and big losers written all over it. Well when your seasonal average is +70" and you haven't even gotten a dusting yet... I'd say it's warranted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 ggem is a 988 into sne, nyc and northern nj crushed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 I agree. This one has New England event written all over it We have a nice PNA ridge out west with a little bit of blocking from a 50/50 unless this tracks north of us i think we will get a good amount of qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Well when your seasonal average is +70" and you haven't even gotten a dusting yet... I'd say it's warranted You haven't gotten a dusting yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 ggem is a 988 into sne, nyc and northern nj crushed It's stronger than that...984 SE if LI at 150 and 979 N of Boston at 156, strange surface change between those hours thoughm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 UKMET won't give up on Fridays wave. So far the GFS wants the least part of it vs other models Gfs looked west on 12z at least least it's still generally west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Also, Do not worry about the precipitation depictions this far out. If you have RH fields available to you, use them! Even the European was too bearish with its QPF output due to how intense and coiled up the low was. The shield would have extended much further NW and would have spread the intensity of precip out as well. But I digress. Precip is the last thing to worry about. Anytime you see the 0C line nosing into the center of a mid-latitude cyclone, its a monster. Lets just get a general idea of what the H5 setup will be for Wave 3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaPo Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Miller Bs are nearly always a thread the needle event for us. It's something to certainly watch, but keep in mind how many times we've been burned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Just an FYI... The main player will be on the table by early Saturday morning. What happens with the next two is going to be what ultimately decides if this storm happens from PHL-BOS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 GEFS mean develops the low further south and tucks it into se mass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Miller Bs are nearly always a thread the needle event for us. It's something to certainly watch, but keep in mind how many times we've been burned. There have been jump zones with these but there is an omega block over the top with this one that would slow this down and deepen to your S . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 You haven't gotten a dusting yet? I had 1.5" of sleet.. Have not seen ANY snow this season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 JMA rather moist for Friday as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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