PB GFI Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 As per Doug . Alluded to this in an earlier post . That`s a nice Baroclinic zone . Would like to see that set up W to E . But still impressive . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Yeah it's snow but warm ground, yeah it's decent precip and can overcome warmth. Either way UK was positive today...EURO bite a little on Friday yet? 7 days out the Euro is a full blown Miller B Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 -40C AIR OVER HB There is your PV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Just an ABSOLUTE quick-hitting animal on the European and it could have been even stronger. I pointed out this time period a few days ago to be extremely volatile and now it's showing up. The GFS was also a hair away from a bomb like the EURO, I'd like to stay cautious until Wave 1 and two are out of the way Sent from my SM-G925V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSNOWMAN2020 Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Please go over time frame ..wave one Is Friday ...when is time frame for potential wave #2 and #3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Please go over time frame ..wave one Is Friday ...when is time frame for potential wave #2 and #3 Away from here today was wave 1 . Ignore here . For this board Friday ( hit - a few inches or just a shave ) would be Wave 1 . Tuesday would be Wave 2 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Upton with Friday's wave "THERMAL PROFILES SHOULD BE SUPPORTIVE OF SNOW THURSDAY NIGHT...ESPECIALLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF LONG ISLAND AND SOUTH EAST CT TOWARDS DAYBREAK FRIDAY. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR ADVISORY LEVEL AMOUNTS HERE. IF MODEL TRENDS CONTINUE...THEN SOME LIGHT ACCUMULATING SNOW WOULD BE POSSIBLE FURTHER WEST. " Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Away from here today was wave 1 . Ignore here . For this board Friday ( hit - a few inches or just a shave ) would be Wave 1 . Tuesday would be Wave 2 . Wave 2 is the southern slider. Wave 3 would be the Miller B for Tuesday/ Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 9z SREF plumes have over an inch of snow for LGA http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/srefplumes/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Since last night precip introduced into the NYC area albeit at this time POP of 20%, 30% with marginal surface temperatures and warmer ground. Any snowfall occurring overnight could have more success at accumulating (one factor, being cooler- will see.) An active and interesting pattern over the next several days. As I've heard, "timing is everything" or at least quite important when it comes to weather forecasting. ZONE FORECAST PRODUCTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY557 AM EST WED FEB 3 2016NYZ072-032130-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-557 AM EST WED FEB 3 2016.TODAY...CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN THIS MORNING. RAIN THIS AFTERNOON.PATCHY FOG THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 90 PERCENT..TONIGHT...RAIN...MAINLY IN THE EVENING. PATCHY FOG. RAIN MAY BEHEAVY AT TIMES IN THE EVENING. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF RAIN NEAR 100 PERCENT..THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN PARTLY SUNNY IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. HIGHSIN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT..THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN IN THEEVENING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWSIN THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION20 PERCENT..FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO10 MPH..FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S..SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S..SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S..SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S..SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S..MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 40..MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWSIN THE LOWER 30S. CHANCE OF SNOW 30 PERCENT..TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW IN THE MORNING...THEN ACHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S.CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 RGEM is more west for Friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Not sure how each storm staying with today's is labeled, but the Friday/threat 2, seems to still be happening. Best chances still look for long island! Good stretch coming up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 RGEM is more west for Friday Keep in mind that the RGEM is notoriously over amped at 48hrs so if it's showing a scraper at that range it probably means this will eventually miss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Keep in mind that the RGEM is notoriously over amped at 48hrs so if it's showing a scraper at that range it probably means this will eventually miss. Every model has come west. This bears watching. Euro mean is near an inch of snow for NYC and LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Keep in mind that the RGEM is notoriously over amped at 48hrs so if it's showing a scraper at that range it probably means this will eventually miss. The Ukmet being so far west for 3 runs in a row now is a flag, IMO. Wouldn't count this one out yet. Especially that Forky has been on board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 7 days out the Euro is a full blown Miller BI can see that, I was alluding to 54 hours out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Not sure how each storm staying with today's is labeled, but the Friday/threat 2, seems to still be happening. Best chances still look for long island! Good stretch coming up! You are in a great spot for Friday. Srefs, Rgem and Ukmet all have 2"-3" for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 I just can't get excited anymore about non KU events when the bar has been raised so high in the 2000's. Something like this would have been nice during the snow drought years from the 80's into the early 90's or even late 90's. But not compared to blizzards jackpotting over 20 inches on an almost annual basis around the area. I can. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 I just can't get excited anymore about non KU events when the bar has been raised so high in the 2000's. Something like this would have been nice during the snow drought years from the 80's into the early 90's or even late 90's. But not compared to blizzards jackpotting over 20 inches on an almost annual basis around the area. You get excited for random statistical oddities like 6+ inches of snow in a month following well above normal temps... but you can't get psyched for a ground whitener? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mriceyman Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 I just can't get excited anymore about non KU events when the bar has been raised so high in the 2000's. Something like this would have been nice during the snow drought years from the 80's into the early 90's or even late 90's. But not compared to blizzards jackpotting over 20 inches on an almost annual basis around the area. Anytime white gold is falling i get excited. And i love to see you guys here get excited as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 I just can't get excited anymore about non KU events when the bar has been raised so high in the 2000's. Something like this would have been nice during the snow drought years from the 80's into the early 90's or even late 90's. But not compared to blizzards jackpotting over 20 inches on an almost annual basis around the area. I don`t think you have seen your last KU of the year . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 How's the gfs looking? For the Tuesday storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 I don`t think you have seen your last KU of the year . I agree! I just did not want to post a statement like that and get mocked by all the warm mongers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCGreg Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 I don`t think you have seen your last KU of the year . Hope you are right. But, as far as this storm is concerned, when was the last time a Miller B dropped a KU storm on NYC and points west? Last time I remember was BDB. Obviously, LI and SNE got crushed by the Blizzards of '13 and '15, but we didn't get nearly the impact from those storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 How's the gfs looking? For the Tuesday storm Still running, so far 1002 Low just off South Carolina coast, well west of 06z same time frame, but still running so we shall see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Hope you are right. But, as far as this storm is concerned, when was the last time a Miller B dropped a KU storm on NYC and points west? Last time I remember was BDB. Obviously, LI and SNE got crushed by the Blizzards of '13 and '15, but we didn't get nearly the impact from those storms. a decent chunk of sne fared worse than nyc last jan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 gfs with a huge step towards the euro at 12z 984 cuts off just outside the bm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Good spot 6 days out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Is that a good thing moving to the euro for snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikemost Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Is that a good thing moving to the euro for snow? Yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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