mikemost Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Major shift west on the RGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 RGEM is 200 miles west with the precip shield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 RGEM is 200 miles west with the precip shield. Nam FTW again? What's this world coming to Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 RGEM is 200 miles west with the precip shield.That is a mind-boggling shift. If one model after another takes NAM bait will strongly amend my prospective on that model Permanently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Btw, just peaked at the temps on the nam, 15:1+ ratios easily... Nam is 4-8+ area wide up to Albany even Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 6, 2016 Author Share Posted February 6, 2016 Is rgem just improved or actually giving us snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Is rgem just improved or actually giving us snow? Gives snow to EWR and east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowBlitzkrieg Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Is rgem just improved or actually giving us snow? it's a good hit. more for SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 The 12z GEPS ensembles are very wet .75 to 1.0" for everyone, more on eastern Long Island.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 RGEM is 200 miles west with the precip shield. Along with how much deeper NAM is from last run to current = crappy ocean obs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Along with how much deeper NAM is from last run to current = crappy ocean obs. This could be another case where the models are picking up on the earth of ocean temps.. Still very warm concidering Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikemost Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 It looks like it tries to tuck into the coast as the h5 trough tilts a bit negative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 That monster ocean storm reminds me of something you'd see late in the hurricane season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jason WX Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 4k nam's 957 mb low would be a cat 3 cane if it were tropical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 GFS another fish storm Indices support that unfortunately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 GFS another fish storm Awful analysis. Precip shield is almost 100 miles further west, gets snow into the NYC Metro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 4K nam says eastern Long Island gets a foot + lol... I really hate u guys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Awful analysis. Precip shield is almost 100 miles further west, gets snow into the NYC Metro. What? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Awful analysis. Precip shield is almost 100 miles further west, gets snow into the NYC Metro. 12z18z Before you call me out on "awful analysis".. Learn to analyze yourself.. The initial wave is OTS, EXACTLY the same as 12z... The "100 mile shift" you think you saw.. Is the precip developing ahead of the ULL.... The initial "fish storm" as I put it is nowhere in the picture at that timeframe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 If you guys can't see the difference i dont know what to tell you, compare the runs side by side, the storm is further SW and slower Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 If you guys can't see the difference i dont know what to tell you, compare the runs side by side, the storm is further SW and slower I just posted them side by side.. Your wrong.. Period Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 12zimage.png 18zimage.png Before you call me out on "awful analysis".. Learn to analyze yourself.. The initial wave is OTS, EXACTLY the same as 12z... The "100 mile shift" you think you saw.. Is the precip developing ahead of the ULL.... The initial "fish storm" as I put it is nowhere in the picture at that timeframe Different than NCEP map, but the low has shifted west, simply saying its a "fish storm" is pretty poor analysis. Do you disagree that the precip field shifted west? BTW NCEP maps have precip over all of LI... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 I just posted them side by side.. Your wrong.. Period Wait, so the storm didn't come west? Or did it go east? And the storm has slowed down a bit, allowing to be closer to interacting with the trough to the west. Its a large difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Different than NCEP map, but the low has shifted west, simply saying its a "fish storm" is pretty poor analysis. Do you disagree that the precip field shifted west? BTW NCEP maps have precip over all of LI... Post them then.. Cause both TTB, and Wxbell maps show the low in the same place.... With no precip making into our area from the initial wave Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 I just posted them side by side.. Your wrong.. Period On the 12z none of Rhode Island gets snow, on 18z it gets snow, at hour 60 the whole area has snow. Sorry man, saying its a "fish storm" doesnt look at the timing of the storm and the interaction with the 3rd wave Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 I just posted them side by side.. Your wrong.. Period Lol it's about as close to identical as you'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Post them then.. Cause both TTB, and Wxbell maps show the low in the same place.... With no precip making into our area from the initial wave Here ya go, hour 54, much much better look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 On the 12z none of Rhode Island gets snow, on 18z it gets snow, at hour 60 the whole area has snow. Sorry man, saying its a "fish storm" doesnt look at the timing of the storm and the interaction with the 3rd wave Do you have idea of the set-up or are you just clueless?...HR 60 has NOTHING TO DO WITH THE INITAL WAVE.. For the 3rd time.. That is the ULL, aka the 2nd wave.. The INITAL storm is OTS, aka fish storm.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 most of will mis the coastal. If we get the norlun trough..a few inches are possible. Big story will be the cold end of next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Here ya go, hour 54, much much better look Once again.. You just posted a map proving yourself wrong.. Look where the INITAL storm is located... The precip is from the ULL NOT the INITAL storm that comes off the coast, Jesus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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