WintersGrasp Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 There is so much potential early next week. There is a real chance of a WIDESPREAD 10-20"+ of snow. Even if nothing fully comes together, there should still be significant snow. If one of these storms really bombs out, it could be huge. Sleep stops here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 If that comes close to verifying I'm going to have to postpone my drive to Florida for a day to cover this at the inlet....can't turn down two monster storms in a month? that storm regardless of weather we get hit directly is going to cause more beach erosion down the Jersey shore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monmouth_County_Jacpot Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 I would think the strength of the low would bring it closer no??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 I would think the strength of the low would bring it closer no??? needs help from the trough - needs to turn negative sooner then later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchel Volk Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 A sharper trough would also do that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jims Videos Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 that storm regardless of weather we get hit directly is going to cause more beach erosion down the Jersey shoreNew moon is Monday. Once again awful timing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 FYI, WE DO NOT WANT THE MONDAY STORM......NEW MOON, WE KNOW WHAT HAPPENED LAST TIME in Jersey Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 New moon is Monday. Once again awful timing Lol dammit you beat me to it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 GFS takes first wave OTS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow1 Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Gfs wants no part of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Gfs might be east,but only slightly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 GFS forms secondary low off south jersey coast 998mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Nice inverted trough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 This was probably posted earlier and is from the 12z run, but to make a point.. Look how indecisive the members are on the low placement as it rides up off the Jersey shore... Almost half say it tucks, the other half are OTS.... We may be shocked by tomorrow's suites Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 If you looked back at all the storms of recent, they have almost all shifted west..will this be the case as well? Well have to wait and see! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 In any case.. The GFS verbatim would be the biggest accumulation a lot of the interior has seen this season .50+ LE, should be about 5-7".. I'd take that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 GFS, keep in mind this is with ZERO first wave precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 GGEM looks very similar to nam, came west atleast 50-100 miles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 GGEM forms a 995 low just south of Long Island Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Wave 2 on the GGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Just so its clear... Wave 3 on the GGEM which is ots but shows an IVT in the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 The difference between the GFS and GGEM is H5. GGEM closes off in Miss/GA, allows it to slow down a bit to go neg tilt, therefore closer. GFS doesn't do that, so away it goes. I'll be curious to see what the Euro brings, but I'll look in the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 not to jinx it but nam is king this year let's face it! Especially 4K it performed perfect with the blizzard and today's system! Tell that to most of us around the 84 corridor, nam was awful for us in terms of precip shield Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 http://bit.ly/1KvynZT A great video from Bernie this afternoon, explains that YES.. This can come up the coast.. And YES we CAN get hit with both systems back to back... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 In any case.. The GFS verbatim would be the biggest accumulation a lot of the interior has seen this season .50+ LE, should be about 5-7".. I'd take that In any case.. The GFS verbatim would be the biggest accumulation a lot of the interior has seen this season .50+ LE, should be about 5-7".. I'd take that In any case.. The GFS verbatim would be the biggest accumulation a lot of the interior has seen this season .50+ LE, should be about 5-7".. I'd take that It seems so odd, when I was a kid your area always got the good stuff. I am at a loss as to why areas like yours have not been in the jackpot or even close. If it would deliver to you does this mean rain at the coast? Realize we are days out and anything can happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 The UKMET is closer than 12Z for the first system but still a miss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCGreg Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 All we can do at this point is hope the good trends continue overnight and tomorrow. Hopefully we can get this monster to ride up the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 GGEM jackpots most of EPA, central to Norhern Jersey, thru the city/Long Island, most around EPA tho and jersey Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 All we can do at this point is hope the good trends continue overnight and tomorrow. Hopefully we can get this monster to ride up the coast.FWIW, the 48hr RGEM is really similar to the nam at 48, looks a bit west even, WAY west of the GFS at 48Edit: 48 HR RGEM is way west of even the NAM, by atleast 50-100 miles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 RGEM at 48 NAM at 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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