JoshM Posted February 11, 2016 Author Share Posted February 11, 2016 Unless the Euro shows something amazing then let's bring on spring!!! Dump march idc anymore. Let's keep the WAA pumpin in on the Canadian... maybe we can from ice to spring storms! I'm still skeptical... I don't care if the HP has left for vacation, I want to see a Low plow into this... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Nice things come in spring... flowers, leaves, hummingbirds... Bees, mosquitos, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Let's keep the WAA pumpin in on the Canadian... maybe we can from ice to spring storms! I'm still skeptical... I don't care if the HP has left for vacation, I want to see a Low plow into this... If this waits till Tuesday , we are black, crusty toast! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Not seeing people like Wow and burgertime posting tells me to throw in the towel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Not seeing people like Wow and burgertime posting tells me to throw in the towel. But WxSouth is all-in! But I'm not sure how to feel about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted February 11, 2016 Author Share Posted February 11, 2016 But WxSouth is all-in! But I'm not sure how to feel about it. He hasn't posted since the 12z runs came and drug us thru the mud... literally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bevo Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 As much as I made fun of you for your forecast you were spot on this summer and winter. Good job. WTH did you read? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 We just can't have nice things anymore.It's just weather dude, life goes on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 I haven't said this before but i am honestly ready for spring if this is another cold heavy rain. Being an outdoor programmer will turn you against winter unless its snowy.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx n of atl Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 models only show what they know.... I am hoping that more sampling in the coming days might change things toward a winter weather system for GA (wish casting), but if it doesn't on to Spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfide Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 models only show what they know.... I am hoping that more sampling in the coming days might change things toward a winter weather system for GA (wish casting), but if it doesn't on to Spring. I know we are done south of Atlanta. I'll keep an I on severe weather season until May. La Nina next year? I hope it's a weak one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 He hasn't posted since the 12z runs came and drug us thru the mud... literally. Wxsouth jumps on board, it's usually the KOD.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Once they go west, they don't come back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted February 11, 2016 Author Share Posted February 11, 2016 Why oh why does it have to be the 84hr NAM... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 I think this sums up our storm at the moment..... Our storm in Jeopardy!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 When are people going to learn to not downtalk the NWS, especially GSP. They know more than the idiots bad mouthing them. That's why they make the money, while you wishcast and model chase. Freakin' annoying man. Every damn event. Every damn year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Anyone else having problems with the board loading? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 I'm sorry??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 RNK hanging on for now, but this was out before 18z GFS .SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT.COLD WITH LOWS AROUND 20. CHANCE OF SNOW 30 PERCENT..WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER30S. CHANCE OF SNOW 70 PERCENT..MONDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. NEAR STEADY TEMPERATURE AROUND 30.CHANCE OF SNOW 70 PERCENT..TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING PARTLYSUNNY. SNOW LIKELY IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THELOWER 40S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 WTH did you read? Lol. He called for a hot dry summer and a warm crappy winter. Pretty spot on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 I'm sorry??? In the words of Donald trump. You're fired. Get the hell out of my sight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 The fact that the three Jon's other than myself (JohnWow, JonBurger, Jon) have been ghosts while we've been tracking this fantasy rainstorm basically speaks for itself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted February 11, 2016 Share Posted February 11, 2016 Indicies dont match up in my opinion. Positive NAO to go with a Phase 5 MJO,that just screams higher heights in the SE.The splitting vortex is cold but its getting pushed out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 From News 2 Grant Gilmore. 15 minutes ago MONDAY-TUESDAY STORM UPDATE: There remains a great deal of uncertainty in terms of the exact details, but there is at least enough confidence to start talking timeline and general impacts. SETUP: Arctic air will move in over the weekend and remain in place through Monday. A relatively weak system will swing in from the northwest Sunday night through Monday. Meanwhile, on Monday an area of low pressure will develop over the western Gulf States and begin to track to east and then northeast from Monday into Tuesday. CURRENT THINKING: The arrival of the first and weaker system through the day on Monday looks to bring scattered snow showers to the Triad. It is difficult to really pin down forecast totals at this point, but I will say we have roughly a 50% chance of seeing between 0.5"-1" of snow. As the area of low pressure moves northeast out of the Gulf States it will bring with it more moisture, but it will also bring warmth up from the south. This injection of warmth (in the mid-levels of the atmosphere first) will cause the precipitation in the Triad to change from snow to either sleet or freezing rain. Currently it looks like there will be a greater threat for freezing rain, but sleet cannot be completely ruled out. With such a strong surge of warmth ahead of the approaching storm I currently don't expect the threat of freezing rain/sleet to last that long resulting in minimal icing (this can definitely change). Temperatures Tuesday will quickly warm and result in the precipitation through the rest of Tuesday being just rain. Between the transition to sleet/freezing rain Monday night and Tuesday morning and then just rain on Tuesday any snow accumulation from Monday would quickly melt. IMPACTS: Currently, the snow showers Monday could result in some minor travel issues with some roads potentially becoming a little icy or slushy. Near freezing temperatures overnight Monday into Tuesday will maintain a concern for slick spots into Tuesday morning, but as temperatures warm into the 40s Tuesday afternoon icy roads will no longer be a concern. Freezing rain (icing) is not a huge concern right now, but the potential for some minor icing does exist. Any remaining water on the roads Tuesday night could refreeze as temperatures drop back into the low 30s producing some black ice Wednesday morning. IN SHORT: Monday will definitely produce some type of winter weather in the Triad and requires a close watch. There will be some impacts and caution will need to be taken if out driving. The details of this storm are still coming together and things WILL change. Keep checking back for the latest update. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Justicebork Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Nash county trolls us hard by canceling school tomorrow Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gwlee7 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 Nash county trolls us hard by canceling school tomorrow Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk And on our make up day, I guarantee it will be a perfect day for golf. Tomorrow I will wish I was at school instead of doing the list my wife is preparing even as I type this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 I know a lot of you guys are very knowledgeable in weather. Where do you guys get your weather knowledge from? Greg Fischel, Brick Tamland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 I know we are done south of Atlanta. I'll keep an I on severe weather season until May. La Nina next year? I hope it's a weak one. La Niña can produce snow in the southeast, it generally requires blocking more so while El Niños can produce without it because in general the southern branch is more active. I would watch for an active southern branch next winter due to possible lag effect from the strength or this El Niño Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 La Niña can produce snow in the southeast, it generally requires blocking more so while El Niños can produce without it because in general the southern branch is more active. I would watch for an active southern branch next winter due to possible lag effect from the strength or this El NiñoI agree, I'm leaning towards a neutral enso. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 12, 2016 Share Posted February 12, 2016 It seems nearly impossible to have a good winter here anymore. No matter how good things supposedly look heading into winter, it seems there is always something these days to throw a wrench in things. Not sure if the climate is changing or things just don't work like they did in the past, but I think long range outlooks are really useless here. Just too many things can happen, and I don't think anyone can really know which way things can go here for winter. Mets don't even know of 12 hours out sometimes what is going to happen with a winter storm threat, and we sure as heck can't depend on the models most of the time to get it right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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