cyclone77 Posted February 1, 2016 Share Posted February 1, 2016 Last call for here/QC 0.2-0.6". All of that from the back-end flurries and snow showers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 1, 2016 Share Posted February 1, 2016 Think you might do a smidgen better than that Cyclone. There's the storm hanging out at Vegas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TravisWx Posted February 1, 2016 Share Posted February 1, 2016 I slept horrible last night because of this storm. I need a SE swing to get me back in the game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted February 1, 2016 Share Posted February 1, 2016 Nam performed back to its disasterous form.. Of course the one time a yr it finds a nut it was for the east coast storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted February 1, 2016 Share Posted February 1, 2016 Talk to us on Wednesday. Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday - won't matter. GFS has ben consistent with this thing 7 days out. Kind of like me in summer fighting those storms that came down the lake... Thought it was a bust, then poof - models were right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 1, 2016 Share Posted February 1, 2016 yeah, modeling was excellent for this storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 1, 2016 Share Posted February 1, 2016 Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday - won't matter. GFS has ben consistent with this thing 7 days out. Kind of like me in summer fighting those storms that came down the lake... Thought it was a bust, then poof - models were right. Really would be squabbling over 100 mile swings with this storm. Which given the sharp gradient in snow amounts has a bigger impact on sensible weather. If the low tracks over Dubuque as the GFS showed on Frdays nights 00Z run it pulled a minor win. If it goes over Chicago or just north it's a minor loss. All in all most modeling did well as we sit today. Of course, there is usually a surprise twist. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
josh_4184 Posted February 1, 2016 Share Posted February 1, 2016 I slept horrible last night because of this storm. I need a SE swing to get me back in the game. I definitely wouldn't be losing sleep over a storm. The storm occludes to fast then we get dry slotted to see any real action, this is a plains and Central UP (to some extent) storm. Some areas should see some pretty good blizzard conditions which is good for them considering how ****ty this winter really has been. With that being said Northern Mi will still get a solid 3-6" from front end then with a little Lake Enhancement and some minor LES on the back end deformation as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted February 1, 2016 Share Posted February 1, 2016 Looks like my call of 5 to 6 inches of snow is in jeopardy. DVN only calls for 3 inches for me as we are forecast to be in the mid 30s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted February 1, 2016 Share Posted February 1, 2016 12z NAM slightly west thru hr36. Trends are looking good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted February 1, 2016 Share Posted February 1, 2016 We are trying so hard to reel this one in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted February 1, 2016 Share Posted February 1, 2016 We are trying so hard to reel this one in.We really are. We won't get a big dog, but this could be our biggest event since we both moved here. I'll take it.That high north of the border stays west enough to allow the low to come at us on the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted February 1, 2016 Share Posted February 1, 2016 We really are. We won't get a big dog, but this could be our biggest event since we both moved here. I'll take it. That high north of the border stays west enough to allow the low to come at us on the NAM Just watching things at 500mb...the closed low has shifted farther west and is stronger...its not just the NAM doing it either. Anyways...12z NAM with .60-.70" qpf across most of the metro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted February 1, 2016 Share Posted February 1, 2016 Just checked the 0z EPS..... Wow the clusters in eastern Iowa. Need the 12z run to hold serve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 1, 2016 Share Posted February 1, 2016 nice to see the minny crew reel this one in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 1, 2016 Share Posted February 1, 2016 NAM hinting at some long shot wrap around ULL snows, 1.25" call still alive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 1, 2016 Share Posted February 1, 2016 NAM hinting at some long shot wrap around ULL snows, 1.25" call still alive lol...unusual for you to hold out hope for some snows. Do those ever work out for this area? ULL snows only seem to survive in Wisconsin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 1, 2016 Share Posted February 1, 2016 One good thing is this thing is booking it, so we won't have to deal with it for too long. Get it over with, and move on to the next miss, er, system... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimChgo9 Posted February 1, 2016 Share Posted February 1, 2016 Actually, kind of glad the snow is missing us. Not thrilled with the rain end of things either. However, I just wasn't feeling this one. Just get me on to spring. This winter has been such a pain....nothing worthwhile to get excited about. Just one question: For the season, Dec, Jan, Feb, are we below average as far as the amount of sunshine goes? Seems like cloudy, miserable days have outnumbered sunny ones by quite a bit, or, at least, that is my perception. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AWMT30 Posted February 1, 2016 Share Posted February 1, 2016 Would love to see the folks in MSP get a good storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Marusak Posted February 1, 2016 Share Posted February 1, 2016 well, I see the GFS joined the NAM train on this one. even the Canadian Regional also seems to go along with the idea. if this trend holds up, I see myself being spotlighted at the plant in Cottage Grove, asked questions about the storm when I head in tonight. time to think decent shovels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted February 1, 2016 Share Posted February 1, 2016 I can foresee Waterloo, Iowa being downgraded to a Winter Weather Advisory based on the trends. As for here, it's going to be a boring cold rain here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted February 1, 2016 Share Posted February 1, 2016 yeah, modeling was excellent for this storm The GFS nailed this storm 10 days out. Scary accurate modeling now days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 1, 2016 Share Posted February 1, 2016 We are trying so hard to reel this one in. Looks like you guys got it. It's been a really long time since eastern Nebraska has had a big snow, so I'm glad for them there too. For reference this was the GFS solution 10 days ago. Run before this was flatter. It became really consistent about day 7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 1, 2016 Share Posted February 1, 2016 NAM hinting at some long shot wrap around ULL snows, 1.25" call still alive CMC does too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 1, 2016 Share Posted February 1, 2016 NAM hinting at some long shot wrap around ULL snows, 1.25" call still alive Saw that too but feel like those secondary/backside areas never seem to happen as well as modeled Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 1, 2016 Share Posted February 1, 2016 I can foresee Waterloo, Iowa being downgraded to a Winter Weather Advisory based on the trends. As for here, it's going to be a boring cold rain here. RGEM gives you and hawk 4-5hrs of heavy snow tomorrow morning before dry slot/drizzle moves in. Would probably add up pretty good. Even has this area see a brief period of heavy snow and sleet before quickly changing to rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 1, 2016 Share Posted February 1, 2016 Saw that too but feel like those secondary/backside areas never seem to happen as well as modeled I think it was after the main synoptic snow went through on GHDB I that this area got underneath the ULL for a time. Also happened at the end of the New Years Blizzard of 99 too. I flipped through the models quickly and each have that ULL snow passing through N IL and/or SE WI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Marusak Posted February 1, 2016 Share Posted February 1, 2016 went from not even a winter storm watch right up to a Winter Storm Warning here in the twin cities metro now that all the models finally came into agreement. this is going to be fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 1, 2016 Share Posted February 1, 2016 Low looking to kick out near Roswell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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