josh_4184 Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Haven't measured total depth in awhile, but if I'd have to guess its around 24" inches total. With this heavy garbage on top, probably 27" to 29" by morning. Hopefully we won't get too much rain if it switches over. Wow I am a little surprised you have a higher snow depth than even my area, I am around 22-24" Picked up about what was forcasted imby about 5-6, some areas did bust really bad especially Central/Eastern UP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Des Moines especially. Des Moines was supposed to be on the southern edge of the snow (as of the last 1 or 2 days of modeling) and you know that always is a bad position-- somehow there's a northwest shift in snow (or cold sector precip) with many storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Chitown not surprised with this at all. Look at the Minnesota Forecaster site. I'm randyinchamplin there. Used Vorticity Advection for my forecast and rode it hard. http://www.minnesotaforecaster.com/ wow, 7.5" in 5 hours is hard to do. In some impressive upslope hours yesterday, my area got 6"-7" in the 7:00 to 2:00 or 3:00AM time frame (7 hours, maybe 8 hours) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Des Moines was supposed to be on the southern edge of the snow (as of the last 1 or 2 days of modeling) and you know that always is a bad position-- somehow there's a northwest shift in snow (or cold sector precip) with many storms. Poor Des Moines has continued to get tormented all evening as that little deformation band of moderate snow pivots just to their north and west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Hastings & Grand Island, NE broke some records today. That area got drilled. 1001 PM HEAVY SNOW HASTINGS NWS OFFICE 40.65N 98.38W02/02/2016 M 15.7 INCH ADAMS NE OFFICIAL NWS OBSTHIS IS THE FINAL...OFFICIAL NWS STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL FORHASTINGS. FOURTH HIGHEST TWO-DAY SNOW TOTAL ON RECORD.1001 PM HEAVY SNOW GRAND ISLAND AIRPORT 40.97N 98.32W02/02/2016 M 18.3 INCH HALL NE OFFICIAL NWS OBSTHIS IS THE FINAL...OFFICIAL NWS STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL FORGRAND ISLAND. SECOND HIGHEST TWO-DAY SNOWFALL TOTAL ONRECORD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Is it just me or is Sioux City always in the cross hairs of about everything? Severe weather included. I'm sure it's just how it seems, but damn they seem to get some weather out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Double lows now. Looks like the snow west of Des Moines is finally creeping closer. RGEM was the most correct with the track - being the most NW last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 When did the models (hi-res models, globals) pick up on the shift towards over 6" in the MSP metro area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 3, 2016 Author Share Posted February 3, 2016 Des Moines was supposed to be on the southern edge of the snow (as of the last 1 or 2 days of modeling) and you know that always is a bad position-- somehow there's a northwest shift in snow (or cold sector precip) with many storms. True. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 When did the models (hi-res models, globals) pick up on the shift towards over 6" in the MSP metro area? Yesterday. The 6z runs really made that drastic shift, then it continued until the 18z runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Is it just me or is Sioux City always in the cross hairs of about everything? Severe weather included. I'm sure it's just how it seems, but damn they seem to get some weather out there. They seem like the winter Madison of a few years ago, and with regards to severe, they always seem to have something nearby of note. Let's pull it on east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Really dense fog has formed here. ~100 ft visibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minnesota Meso Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 When did the models (hi-res models, globals) pick up on the shift towards over 6" in the MSP metro area? They never did. for some reason they did not correctly responded to the strong vorticity that the euro was showing at 300mb.. Even the Euro itself did not show the 700 frotogensises (sp) . What happens in the upper layers the lower levels need to responed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Des Moines finally in the snow band. Flakes visible on this I-35 camera. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Dense Fog Advisories up due to the surface low causing Fog development Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TravisWx Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Approximately 6 inches of total snowfall in Rogers City, measured earlier this morning. This stuff so heavy and sloppy. Light drizzle going on right now, but radar indicates that will be evacuating very soon. Once it cools back down this evening, this stuff is going to harden like concrete. Hopefully people shovel while the shoveling is good, if not RIP. lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 The storm seemed to be a large underperformer with a few exceptions. Minneapolis was certainly due for a decent snowstorm but I'm disappointed the UP didn't score better. And LOL. Every rain system this winter has busted imby. Not complaining as I hate winter rain. But like clockwork, our few snow systems performed as expected and the rain ones all bust. After a rush hour downpour yesterday evening (0.41") we got NO rain overnight! It was supposed to pour all night, gfs spitting out qpf in the 1.5-2" range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Bust-o-rama here on the warm side too. NAM/GFS suggesting 1-1.5" of rain. Looks like we ended up with <1/2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 The storm seemed to be a large underperformer with a few exceptions. Minneapolis was certainly due for a decent snowstorm but I'm disappointed the UP didn't score better. And LOL. Every rain system this winter has busted imby. Not complaining as I hate winter rain. But like clockwork, our few snow systems performed as expected and the rain ones all bust. After a rush hour downpour yesterday evening (0.41") we got NO rain overnight! It was supposed to pour all night, gfs spitting out qpf in the 1.5-2" range lol...expert timing. Yeah, when I saw the ENE trajectory of the WCB slug of showers/tsra over the OV late last evening, I knew we're in trouble. Oh well, at least it was rain and not snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 lol...expert timing. Yeah, when I saw the ENE trajectory of the WCB slug of showers/tsra over the OV late last evening, I knew we're in trouble. Oh well, at least it was rain and not snow. Great minds....Jokes aside...winter rain has been nearly non existent the last few winters, and snowstorms have been over performing like crazy here. I was starting to think model qpf biases toned down, but now I'm wondering if it was just another perfection of our amazing winters...and a sign that the next big snowstorm that shows up...cool it with the QPF and extrapolating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Still snowing here. Another band just developed to the west. Looks like a solid 12"+ with drifts well over 24". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Still snowing here. Another band just developed to the west. Looks like a solid 12"+ with drifts well over 24". It won't die....the snow falling right now looks like lake effect. Big fluffy flakes. A solid 8-12" across much of the metro...MSP sitting at 9.2" as of 6am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 The wrap around snow showers and flurries managed to stay north. Was hoping to at least see a few mood flakes today. Complete fail of a system here to be sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Anyone have UP totals? The system was severely robbed of moisture from the lame severe the south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Still snowing down here...shoveled another couple inches on the driveway this morning...totals at least for my picnic table observations look to be around 7 or 8 inches.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 As of 6 am...NWS shows 9.5" (on the bluff) and the airport shows 8.2" (nearest me)... So the models were pretty dead on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Anyone have UP totals? The system was severely robbed of moisture from the lame severe the south. I've had 8.7" so far. still snowing with 3-5" more today. west half of the UP did ok with some 10" amounts far west. Eastern UP didn't get much more than few inches. Inching towards 3' depth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 I've had 8.7" so far. still snowing with 3-5" more today. west half of the UP did ok with some 10" amounts far west. Eastern UP didn't get much more than few inches. Inching towards 3' depth. Was really hoping St. Ignace would do well... Less trailering. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Was really hoping St. Ignace would do well... Less trailering. shoreline counties all have deep snow tho. feb7-11 looks good too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
josh_4184 Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 Was really hoping St. Ignace would do well... Less trailering. Those areas were hurt from by the storms unfortunately, most of the moisture stayed well south. LES still look promising thru next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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