cyclone77 Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 Lol! I benefited from the Geos magnet when I lived in the Chicago burbs. But he will not be turning his magnet on now. Haha I think you and Brewers had a covert operation sometime over the last few days and disabled Geos magnet. Well played. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 I think you and Brewers had a covert operation sometime over the last few days and disabled Geos magnet. Well played. I had nothing to do with it haha. I almost gave up on this thing a couple days ago. With that said, I was thankful for the Geos magnet when I was back home! FWIW the latest HRRR and RAP look to be slightly stronger and farther north compared to other guidance by 15-18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 All the local schools here have been cancelled... I remember as a kid waking up at like 5am to listen to the radio and pray that our school district would be on the list of school closings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 The best part of this storm for here is that it rains for like less than 6 hours. Nice and quick. Get it over with. 10 days of models for 6 hours of rain... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 The best part of this storm for here is that it rains for like less than 6 hours. Nice and quick. Get it over with. 10 days of models for 6 hours of rain... Yeah really. Low heading towards OKC. RGEM not backing down, actually the opposite here into MI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 Lol, Geos. You and I are both in that prime snow zone there. Oh, how I would love to be surprised with 7 inches of snow... Did you say it was the one to pick up on colder air/sleet fest for the Dec. 28 storm? Are we grasping at straws here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 remember TT counts all frozen precip as snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 Hmmm...as I mentioned a couple of days ago, the RGEM seems to be liking a dynamic cooling situation. Looking at temps, they go from the mid 30s down to the lower 30s and snow here for the heavy precip.....then the temp spikes to 38 degrees after it moves through, then slowly falls again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 Lol, Geos. You and I are both in that prime snow zone there. Oh, how I would love to be surprised with 7 inches of snow... Did you say it was the one to pick up on colder air/sleet fest for the Dec. 28 storm? Are we grasping at straws here? We probably are grasping quite a bit. It would be cool if it decides to thunder snow tomorrow morning. The model did get the cold air right for the sleet storm and the HRRR did too. I don't really see any sleet signature in that model. Pretty sharp rain snow line. I will say the GFS is running about 6° too warm here. Currently 27° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 We probably are grasping quite a bit. It would be cool if it decides to thunder snow tomorrow morning. The model did get the cold air right for the sleet storm and the HRRR did too. I don't really see any sleet signature in that model. Pretty sharp rain snow line. I will say the GFS is running about 6° too warm here. Currently 27° Getting close to "go time" for the RAP, which is trying to show snow into Northern Illinois at 18 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 I think you and Brewers had a covert operation sometime over the last few days and disabled Geos magnet. Well played. We'll disclose how we did it ONLY if this storms pans out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 I don't know...I'm sort of liking where things are going in terms of getting at least SOME wintry precip. GFS on TT has definitely trended towards more precip. and look at what the HRRR is trying to do in Northern Illinois as well... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 Getting close to "go time" for the RAP, which is trying to show snow into Northern Illinois at 18 hours. There goes the convection. Will be really interesting late morning/early afternoon for sure. Was just looking at temp guidance for tonight and the GEM and RGEM are the most accurate in this area. Quite a few 20s over the region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 Wow NAM/GFS are quite too warm now that I look. DPA is at 27 and ARR 27 GFS at 3z has about 35 and NAM has 32 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 Our snowpack is all frozen solid again with the temp below freezing...Hoping we can still have some of it after whatever happens tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 Ice/snow pack breaking up here, but there's enough on the ground to count today as total cover. CMC through 27 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 Some lightning showing up with that band of showers over central MO. Storm is starting to take shape. The earlier runs of the HRRR showed precip at the onset starting as snow as far south as I-80 near the QC, but subsequent runs have been steadily pushing that north. Don't expect any flakes here until Wed morning when we may get some wind blown scraps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 3.5 inches...I'll take it! I wonder with what is going on if GRR NWS will extend my area into the advisory tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 There's definitely some 20s on the map in the region. Down to 27.0° now. http://www.aviationweather.gov/metar?zoom=5&lat=43.28323&lon=-92.6604&layers=B00FFTFFFFFTT&plottype=temp%2Cwind%2Cwx%2Ccover%2Cdew%2Cwgst%2Cid&scale=1&density=0&metric=false&decoded=false&taf=false RGEM gets you into the snow Cyclone for a short time. 11 am tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 RGEM gets you into the snow Cyclone for a short time. Yeah it has been pretty adamant about giving our area a brief period of snow. With none of the other models showing that I'm a bit skeptical. I wouldn't be surprised if it happens, but I'm definitely not expecting it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 Congrats Bo, you look to cash in quite nicely with this one. Good Luck Minny peeps! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 Congrats Bo, you look to cash in quite nicely with this one. Good Luck Minny peeps! Hmph. As if Bo needs anymore snow......................................... lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 Bo needs to share some that snow he has. Down to 26° now. New primary low taking over it seems back to the west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 Primary low shown above^, took a jump far to the west. Only 4km NAM and RGEM caught this for the most part. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 As long as convection doesn't get out of control down south we're still on track for 6-9". MPX expanded the Winter storm warning a few rows north overnight. RAP and HRRR definitely show the low a bit farther west than expected. All systems go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 It's 34.7F here right now, though my thermometer may be running a tad warm. This won't even be starting as snow probably. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mogget Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 Snowing nicely in Madison; started down south at about 5:30 AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 It's 34.7F here right now, though my thermometer may be running a tad warm. This won't even be starting as snow probably. 27F ...will you even get anything ? Still showing 8 to 12 here but i still think we end up more on the 8 side of things. Reminds me of the last big storm when we ended up with about 9 inches. Still under 20 inches for the year so this will at least help get us towards are avg (low 40 inches). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 Lots of lightning showing up in the snow band from Iowa into Nebraska. Pretty impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 Blizzard conditions as far east as Knoxville Iowa (southeast of Des Moines). Currently 1/4 mile with 52mph gust SN. EDIT: Oskaloosa just east of there recently reported 53mph at 3/4 mile. Looks like CR crew could get a brief period of blizzard conditions as that moves northeast right at them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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