superjames1992 Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 7" SN, 3" IP, and a tenth an inch of ZR to top it off? Not bad. Not bad at all... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 You know, as ridiculous as the 12z GFS was, the 18z GFS was even worse. That's the type of storm exclusively reserved for the 300+ hr GFS, unfortunately. It would be nice if real storms happened like that. Honestly, it's just textbook 300-hr GFS stuff. Wacky thermals, ridiculous QPF, 36-hr storms... The good thing is, if it starts on the 29th, it's only 240 or so hours out ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormcatt Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 You know, as ridiculous as the 12z GFS was, the 18z GFS was even worse. That's the type of storm exclusively reserved for the 300+ hr GFS, unfortunately. It would be nice if real storms happened like that. Honestly, it's just textbook 300-hr GFS stuff. Wacky thermals, ridiculous QPF, 36-hr storms... Starts day ten for Arkansas and tenn it's way inside hr 300 lol Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Hmm, yeah, I guess you're right. Still, it's post-truncation. Usually, that's the kind of crap you see at hr 348, not hr 264, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 25-30" for Florence?? That is insanity, even for a clown map! But fun to look at! I would like to see this happen even if I didn't get an inch. It would be insane for the south to get those totals. Once in a lifetime type stuff. Like the blizzard of 1888 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 I would like to see this happen even if I didn't get an inch. It would be insane for the south to get those totals. Once in a lifetime type stuff. Like the blizzard of 1888Speaking of, I listened to a podcast today on that year and they spent most of the time on this system: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Schoolhouse_BlizzardThey briefly mention the blizzard of 1888 we all know about on the east coast, but the schoolhouse one was especially chilling since it has to do with children. Podcast can be found here, good stuff: http://www.missedinhistory.com/podcasts/the-schoolhouse-blizzard/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 I thought all those maps were for next week's system, until I went back and looked at the labels... I'm getting caught up on the last 3 pages of posts.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 I thought all those maps were for next week's system, until I went back and looked at the labels... I'm getting caught up on the last 3 pages of posts.. Don't worry your not the only one Back to 300+ hour snow storms. Better than nothing i guess.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Don't worry your not the only one Back to 300+ hour snow storms. Better than nothing i guess.. The Euro had one around hr 120 for some on the board. Granted, that looks like more of a mountain storm at this point, but it sure beats chasing 300-hr GFS fantasy storms, in any case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Don't worry your not the only one Back to 300+ hour snow storms. Better than nothing i guess..Y'all's math is so wack! 10 (24) = 240 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 I would like to see this happen even if I didn't get an inch. It would be insane for the south to get those totals. Once in a lifetime type stuff. Like the blizzard of 1888 Includes synoptic and accumulation maps. http://www.wunderground.com/blog/weatherhistorian/the-great-blizzard-of-1888-americas-greatest-snow-disaster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Only about 45 minutes or so, till the March 1st comes in a rainer, and preceded by a Rainer on the 24th! All hail GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 I thought all those maps were for next week's system, until I went back and looked at the labels... I'm getting caught up on the last 3 pages of posts.. same old same old instead of next weeks storm we're talking 10 days out again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Before anyone asks... I think this speaks for itself Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Before anyone asks... I think this speaks for itself Thank goodness it's the GFS! Had me a little concerned there for a minute. lol That looks like a big hit for a lot of of us.... Just where you you want the GFS at home in la la land................ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Looks like the giant SE snowstorm hit from 12/18z is gone now. No HP. Better luck next Winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 A big chunk of that is ZR also for the area. I'd have to figure out how to get Tony up this way. No way he could miss out on over 4 inches of sleet. And I think that color scale is at the limit so it could be much more. If that storm comes back on the maps later, I'll have to think about going to where it's the deepest, lol. I'd prefer it come to me, and I was going to do pretty good if it verifies. I just hope you get all sleet and snow, and no zr unless it's to put a crust on all your snow/ip, lol. I'll start to get excited if it comes back and is there the last day of Feb, lol. I've had two dustings, but I was hoping for more with all the split flows. Plenty of time to pull a big one out of the hat yet. T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 I am not sure why I bothered to look, but the 00z Euro is a cold rain outside the mountains for the D5 system as the low runs a little inland. Decent hit for the mountains, though. I am sure the higher elevations get clocked. Looks like a Shenandoah Valley Special up in VA. It's really not that far off from getting some others involved, but that's just late-winter hope as no model shows anything in the lower elevations at this point. This always seemed like a pattern that favored the mountains, if anything, ever since the EPS started advertising a possible Miller A early this week. The 00z UKMET is a nice hit for Cleveland. 983 mb surface LP over Pittsburgh at hr 144, which is obviously just a wonderful track for winter weather lovers in the SE. The 00z GGEM shows some snow in the mountains and maybe N NC to start off briefly, but it's largely a rainer. Meanwhile, the 00z NAVGEM basically doesn't have a storm at all. It's probably time to punt, basically. Too bad the 12z/18z D12 GFS phantom superstorm turned into a rainer on the 00z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 I am not sure why I bothered to look, but the 00z Euro is a cold rain outside the mountains for the D5 system as the low runs a little inland. Decent hit for the mountains, though. I am sure the higher elevations get clocked. Looks like a Shenandoah Valley Special up in VA. It's really not that far off from getting some others involved, but that's just late-winter hope as no model shows anything in the lower elevations at this point. This always seemed like a pattern that favored the mountains, if anything, ever since the EPS started advertising a possible Miller A early this week. The 00z UKMET is a nice hit for Cleveland. 983 mb surface LP over Pittsburgh at hr 144, which is obviously just a wonderful track for winter weather lovers in the SE. The 00z GGEM shows some snow in the mountains and maybe N NC to start off briefly, but it's largely a rainer. Meanwhile, the 00z NAVGEM basically doesn't have a storm at all. It's probably time to punt, basically. Too bad the 12z/18z D12 GFS phantom superstorm turned into a rainer on the 00z run. 850 temps are a furnace in the mtns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 6z gfs heads to Pittsburgh, even the eps mean is a Miller b that goes through Tennessee. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Every run they are different and basically worthless right now, at least the operational runs. The 00Z GFS had a 1025 high over the southeast @D10, 06Z run has a stalled frontal boundary and rain. Go figure... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Time to pack it up and go outside to enjoy this beautiful weather. Yep. 70 and sunny. Bring it on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mrdaddyman Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 The EPS Mean track goes from the coastline to an Apps runner in one cycle. Are you kidding me? Just another example of how this winter has been for a lot of this board. I'm not expecting another flake of snow to add to the half inch I've gotten this winter unless blocking develops. And even then I would be cautiously optimistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 The EPS Mean track goes from the coastline to an Apps runner in one run. Are you kidding me? Just another example of how this winter has been for a lot of this board. I'm not expecting another flake of snow to add to the half inch I've gotten this winter unless blocking develops. And even then I would be cautiously optimistic. Yep, nothing can ever break in our favor it seems. All the ensemble means have been advertising a miller A coastal, then in one cycle last night they all start showing an apps cutter... NEXT! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 The EPS Mean track goes from the coastline to an Apps runner in one cycle. Are you kidding me? Just another example of how this winter has been for a lot of this board. I'm not expecting another flake of snow to add to the half inch I've gotten this winter unless blocking develops. And even then I would be cautiously optimistic. Yeah. Really wasn't expecting the EPS to change that drastically but given the horrible spread I should have figured. Either way we'll get rain so why bother. We live in the same town, btw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Any update on what's happening with our Day 10+ post truncation storm out there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Any update on what's happening with our Day 10+ post truncation storm out there?Rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Yep, nothing can ever break in our favor it seems. All the ensemble means have been advertising a miller A coastal, then in one cycle last night they all start showing an apps cutter... NEXT! why is it we get these great storms showing up 10 days out then 2 days later its just a rain event. I would think by now all the models could predict better 10 days out than what they do being all the improvements to the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 about to punt myself even living in the mtns. 4 days of rain, you would think cold air would filter in and get some snow a couple of those days, where is the cold H pressure when you need one. Geeeeezzzzz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 So you don't think the ensemble means can go back the other direction if they made that big of a jump in one cycle? Maybe we can only get things like that to trend in a worse direction instead of a better one. I know Matthew East said on his video this morning there is still a lot of uncertainty about next week and the models are not handling the system well at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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