franklin NCwx Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Early phase on the gfs, you could see that one coming early on in the run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover91 Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Not seeing much for the 23-25th Storm. Cold air is marginal, weak HP, inland LP track, late February with higher sun angle, etc. The mountains and Piedmont area MIGHT get a little snow from this one but the cold air just looks like it arrives too late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormcatt Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Early phase on the gfs, you could see that one coming early on in the run. Need a lot more northern stream Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bsudweather Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Yeah the 12z eps run really favors Tennessee at the moment Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk I sure hope so since I'm gonna be up there next week! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 The way the radar is blossoming in the lee...... reminds me of the Jan 2003 clipper. Obviously this one is much warmer, but the lee-side enhancement is a cool thing to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Can't help but think what could have been if we had the cold here like a few days ago when this little disturbance rolls though on the path its taking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MichaelJ Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 I hate it but this one looks to cut west of the Appalachians. Maybe we will get lucky in March but February is not looking good for those of us not in Tenn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 39.6 now in Colfax. Hoping we might see some flakes late tonight or in the morning. Live cam of King Street in Boone shows the flakes flying right now. http://www.resortcams.com/webcams/king-street-boone/ TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ozmaea Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 This next threat will save our winter! We get all our big snows after a minor to moderate ice storm. What's this one showing for upstate sc Sent from my SM-G900P using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 What's this one showing for upstate sc Sent from my SM-G900P using Tapatalk A huge storm around the 24-26th of Feb! Lots and lots of rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bsudweather Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 A huge storm around the 24-26th of Feb! Lots and lots of rain Well since I'm in TN next week I'm pulling for a cutter with this one! I'm up there a lot so always love to see snow when I'm in the hills!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 00z GFS is way too warm and has a track through the Piedmont of NC and really cranks the storm as it heads up the east coast. Still plenty of time, I remain optimistic with the threat. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 What's this one showing for upstate sc Close to a line of thunderstorms maybe severe as it pushes further east into 60 degree readings over eastern SC/NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 00z GFS is way too warm and has a track through the Piedmont of NC and really cranks the storm as it heads up the east coast. Still plenty of time, I remain optimistic with the threat. Track isn't the problem check the 18z GFS. Waycross, GA to Myrtle Beach, SC. Still wet. Any potential problem that would ruin my forecast of cold chasing moisture would be changes in the speed/timing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Guess the EURO was a dud, eh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormcatt Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Guess the EURO was a dud, eh? Crushed northern Alabama , Georgia , central and eastern Tennessee and extreme western NC Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Crushed northern Alabama , Georgia , central and eastern Tennessee and extreme western NC Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Yep CRUSH job!!! Congrats Franklin! take some Pics!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover91 Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Guess the EURO was a dud, eh? Depends on where you live A solid 6-10" from Nashville TN to mountains, 6-12" in mountains and locally higher 18 and 20" blips, 1-2" for Atlanta, Ga and up to 7" for NW GA with a nice 3" for Birmingham, AL and up to 8" for the northern areas of the state. A few inches in the immediate Piedmont region of NC. WV jackpots and Northern VA with 18-22" amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover91 Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Euro ensemble mean has a nice Miller A track instead of an inland runner like the previous run. Euro control crushes RDU and central NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 This one bears watching for sure. However, we need to remember the Euro's bias of phasing systems to often at this range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Depends on where you live A solid 6-10" from Nashville TN to mountains, 6-12" in mountains and locally higher 18 and 20" blips, 1-2" for Atlanta, Ga and up to 7" for NW GA with a nice 3" for Birmingham, AL and up to 8" for the northern areas of the state. A few inches in the immediate Piedmont region of NC. WV jackpots and Northern VA with 18-22" amounts.That's about what the models were spitting out for the Valentines Day storm, about a week out, then slowly took the snow N, and TN, AL, GA, out of the game, and the wedge saved the Carolinas!Euro sucked so bad last week, it's hard to want to hug it now!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 RAHHOW STRONG OF A PUSH OF COLD AIR WILLREACH DOWN INTO NC/SC NEXT WEEK COURTESY OF THE STRONG POLAR HIGH PRESSURETHAT IS FORECAST TO BUILD INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST AND GREAT LAKES...THEN POSSIBLY NEW ENGLAND BY MID-WEEK? IF THE HIGH PRESSURE CAN BUILD DOWNTHE EASTERN SEABOARD AS IN THE LATE JANUARY AND RECENT FEBRUARY STORMS... THENOUR CHANCE OF SIGNIFICANT WINTRY WEATHER WILL INCREASE (IF THE PATTERN TURNSWET COURTESY OF ONE OR TWO WAVES OF LOW PRESSURE - POSSIBLY EVEN ANOTHER COASTALSTORM) AS THE OPERATIONAL MODELS ARE SUGGESTING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Can't ask for better than this. Bannana high to the NE and low off the cost. Man, I hope the Euro is right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXinCanton Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 That's about what the models were spitting out for the Valentines Day storm, about a week out, then slowly took the snow N, and TN, AL, GA, out of the game, and the wedge saved the Carolinas! Euro sucked so bad last week, it's hard to want to hug it now!? The Euro nailed the track of LP. Better than pretty much any other model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 6z GFS at day 7 (low in Gulf but high too far west: http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=168ℑ=data%2Fgfs%2F06%2Fgfs_namer_168_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif&model=gfs&area=namer¶m=850_temp_mslp_precip&group=Model+Guidance&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20160217+06+UTC&imageSize=M&ps=model Day 8 (low off the east coast. Cold chasing moisture, but taken literally would have some back end snow): http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=192ℑ=data%2Fgfs%2F06%2Fgfs_namer_192_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif&model=gfs&area=namer¶m=850_temp_mslp_precip&group=Model+Guidance&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20160217+06+UTC&imageSize=M&ps=model We need to see that high out west move quicker eastward. opposite of this last event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Canadian ensemble mean looks wonderful. Nice high in perfect CAD position with a surface low sliding out of the northeastern gulf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 WPC favors the Euro setup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 I like the setup on the models coming up next week. Def. interested in that one and will keep watching it. Of course I'm coming back to NC next week but leave that Wed....that means we will for sure get a storm on Thursday lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Nice: This is getting interesting to say the least: I heard the 0z Para was a big hit but having seen any maps: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Nice: This is getting interesting to say the least: I heard the 0z Para was a big hit but having seen any maps: Yep, it's a big hit from GSO to RDU. About 4-6 but if the setup was as the PARA shows it would be a good bit more. Takes the perfect track for RDU and eastern NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.