Shawn Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 The control run looks more aggressive vs the mean. Not that it matters, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Good signal on 12z eps mean for the day 7 storm. Temps look warmer overall though. Sweet spot still W. NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Eps looks more amped than the 0z run this should be good! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Yeah, by Monday/Tuesday looking better on the mean, storm signal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 euro ensembles agree w/ the op with the 15/16th storm. raleigh with close to nada Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Well, maybe we can get the east trend this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Eps looks more amped than the 0z run this should be good! Overall, I thought the mean was very similar to 00z run, but yes, a little more amped with the wave....temps were similar. Ideas of the Op marry with the ideas on the ens mean. The 12z Euro suite pressed the precip into the cold air a little more / a little quicker than 00z....an obvious plus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 According to the EPS mean & control... ATL, GSP, CLT, Asheville, Mountains sitting pretty by day 8. Lows placed all over the place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Overall, I thought the mean was very similar to 00z run, but yes, a little more amped with the wave....temps were similar. Ideas of the Op marry with the ideas on the ens mean. The 12z Euro suite pressed the precip into the cold air a little more / a little quicker than 00z....an obvious plus control looks fairly similar too, maybe a little faster North than the op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 By day 8 the control has the surface low sitting over bricks house. Definitely more amped on the 500 means. It looks good for western posters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 euro ensembles agree w/ the op with the 15/16th storm. raleigh with close to nada well then I wont even bother looking....I will get another 3-4" of 34 and rain.........maybe PGV can set the record for wettest Feb ever at this rate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mrdaddyman Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 euro ensembles agree w/ the op with the 15/16th storm. raleigh with close to nada By day the control has the surface low sitting over bricks house. I've said it before about these types of systems but if it's already a close call for central NC a week out, we can hang it up. It doesn't matter how cold it gets or how strong of a HP it is if it retreats and doesn't stay in place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 well then I wont even bother looking....I will get another 3-4" of 34 and rain.........maybe PGV can set the record for wettest Feb ever at this rate Welcome to the club. Basically, this EPS would clip my area and Columbia, SC with some token flakes if we were lucky. Not a great track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Welcome to the club. Basically, this EPS would clip my area and Columbia, SC with some token flakes if we were lucky. Not a great track. With the degree of cold air preceding it, doesn't it seem more likely that it will wind up further suppressed? I mean, obviously I love the look for my area, but I doubt it looks even close to that at 0Z tonight, much less by next Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 By day 8 the control has the surface low sitting over bricks house. Definitely more amped on the 500 means. It looks good for western posters. When does the Euro Para normally come out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 I've said it before about these types of systems but if it's already a close call for central NC a week out, we can hang it up. It doesn't matter how cold it gets or how strong of a HP it is if it retreats and doesn't stay in place. agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 By day 8 the control has the surface low sitting over bricks house. Definitely more amped on the 500 means. It looks good for western posters. If by western posters you mean the folks in the mts then ya, otherwise its gonna be sleet city or a ice storm at best for everywhere outside the mts with the SLP sitting over the Triangle.....that's horrible.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 When does the Euro Para normally come out? I think around 7ish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 If by western posters you mean the folks in the mts then ya, otherwise its gonna be sleet city or a ice storm at best for everywhere outside the mts with the SLP sitting over the Triangle.....that's horrible.... I feel pretty certain there's no way the low will track over the Triangle with CAD in place, though. The track should be over the Pamlico Sound at least, IMO. Anyways, the control run means pretty much nothing, anyways, so meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 If by western posters you mean the folks in the mts then ya, otherwise its gonna be sleet city or a ice storm at best for everywhere outside the mts with the SLP sitting over the Triangle.....that's horrible....was meaning for all western posters including ga, sc, AL, and Tenn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 When does the Euro Para normally come out?different times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 I feel pretty certain there's no way the low will track over the Triangle with CAD in place, though. The track should be over the Pamlico Sound at least, IMO. Anyways, the control run means pretty much nothing, anyways, so meh. it's close to the op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 I feel pretty certain there's no way the low will track over the Triangle with CAD in place, though. The track should be over the Pamlico Sound at least, IMO. Was wondering about that myself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormcatt Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 When does the Euro Para normally come out?Wxbell has it out early , yesterday the 12z run was out by 450. Central But Saturday the 12z run loaded by 615 Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 it's close to the op. I see the op tracks from Myrtle Beach to Goldsboro. Still too far west, IMO, but a bit better. Verbatim, it's a massive cold snowstorm here, though, with a foot+ of snow and temperatures in the low 20s. That track would typically be mixy here for at least a portion of the storm, though. Massive snowstorm from BHM to ATL to GSO to CHO, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 I see the op tracks from Myrtle Beach to Goldsboro. Still too far west, IMO, but a bit better. Verbatim, it's a massive cold snowstorm here, though, with a foot+ of snow and temperatures in the low 20s. How could it be so much colder there than RDU? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 How could it be so much colder there than RDU? Because GSO is 75 miles WNW of RDU. It doesn't matter... it will change many times. There may be no storm at all in the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 I see the op tracks from Myrtle Beach to Goldsboro. Still too far west, IMO, but a bit better. Verbatim, it's a massive cold snowstorm here, though, with a foot+ of snow and temperatures in the low 20s. That track would typically be mixy here for at least a portion of the storm, though. Massive snowstorm from BHM to ATL to GSO to CHO, etc. at 168 the op Euro has -10 850 over all of wnc. That's very rare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 Ukie looks like it would be a big hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 8, 2016 Share Posted February 8, 2016 at 168 the op Euro has -10 850 over all of wnc. That's very rare. It reminds me of February 2014 a little bit. CAD is locked in, so the surface is good, but mid-levels go to hell as the system progresses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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